PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Kafr Qasim Result & Analysis

Date: 17/02/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Vs
33%
29%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win✓ Hit
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W11D23L02L21W12L00D21W01LA·AGU19/12A·MAC23/12H·IRO30/12A·HAP06/01A·MAC13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP27/01H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.961.581.081.750.831.42
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.961.611.081.750.821.45
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L11D00D20W01L35L41W00D11DH·HAP26/12A·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.361.151.311.001.42
vs Stronger (9)0.671.670.601.400.752.00
vs Similar (16)1.311.191.501.251.121.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %28% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.0%
Under 1.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.5%
Under 2.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
1-0 ✓
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals ↓
Kafr Qasim goals →
01234
08.9%9.0%6.9%3.1%1.0%
18.1%14%8.5%3.8%1.3%
25.8%7.7%5.2%2.3%0.8%
32.4%3.2%2.1%1.0%0.3%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals (down), columns = Kafr Qasim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.62
Hapoel Acre
1.51
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.41
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.30
Hapoel Afula
1.24
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.19
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.18
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.14
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.05 points better than Kafr Qasim in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.97
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.68
Ironi Tiberias
1.54
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.30
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.22
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.19
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.16
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.16
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.00 goals worse than Kafr Qasim in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.84
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.86
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.03
Hapoel Acre
1.05
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.27
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.32
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.55
Bnei Yehuda
1.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2.11
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.28 goals worse than Kafr Qasim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W11D10W00D11D11D00D10W00DA·AGU19/12A·MAC23/12H·IRO30/12A·HAP06/01A·MAC13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP27/01H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.420.500.580.580.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.520.430.500.580.550.27
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %71% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D00D20W01L13L21W00D11DH·HAP26/12A·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.680.540.620.330.75
vs Stronger (9)0.220.780.200.600.251.00
vs Similar (16)0.560.620.750.620.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W00D13L02L10W01L00D11D01LA·AGU19/12A·MAC23/12H·IRO30/12A·HAP06/01A·MAC13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP20/01H·HAP27/01H·HAP10/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.421.170.581.170.251.17
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.431.170.581.170.271.18
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %29% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kafr Qasim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D00D00D00D22D20W00D00DH·HAP26/12A·HAP30/12H·HAP06/01H·HAP13/01A·MAC17/01H·HAP20/01A·BNE27/01H·AGU03/02A·MAC10/02H·IRO14/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.680.620.690.670.67
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.400.800.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.560.750.620.750.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kafr Qasim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
HNI wins
1
Draws
0
KQ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Kafr Qasim · H/A from HNI
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/22AKafr Qasim Vs HNI2-2

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23AHapoel Umm al-Fahm Vs HNI1-0
10/02/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Afula2-1
27/01/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan0-0
20/01/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HNI2-1
17/01/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2-1
13/01/23AMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs HNI2-0
06/01/23AHapoel Acre Vs HNI3-2
30/12/22HHNI Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
23/12/22AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs HNI0-2
19/12/22AAgudat Sport Ashdod Vs HNI1-1

Kafr QasimKafr Qasim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/23HKQ Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
10/02/23AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs KQ0-0
03/02/23HKQ Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod4-1
27/01/23ABnei Yehuda Vs KQ5-3
20/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1
17/01/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs KQ0-2
13/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Acre0-0
06/01/23HKQ Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1-1
30/12/22AHapoel Afula Vs KQ1-0
26/12/22HKQ Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL0.88
HomeLDWDW1.17
AwayWLLLL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%33%8%
AVG goals2.542.832.25
Over 1.5 %79%92%67%
Over 2.5 %50%67%33%
Over 3.5 %21%17%25%
Scored0.961.080.83
Conceded1.581.751.42
BTTS54%67%42%
Clean Sheet12%8%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Kafr Qasim
Kafr Qasim
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDD1.00
HomeDDLWD1.08
AwayWLWLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%15%25%
AVG goals2.442.462.42
Over 1.5 %60%62%58%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.081.151.00
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3775
62%
2.0
7334+39
2.9
78%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.00.9
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3771
57%
1.9
6231+31
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.8
-
3Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3767
51%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
73%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.0
-
4Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3760
46%
1.6
4432+12
2.1
70%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3756
41%
1.5
5039+11
2.4
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3752
41%
1.4
4750-3
2.6
70%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.4
-
7Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3751
41%
1.4
4852-4
2.7
78%
49%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.4
-
8Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3750
35%
1.4
5049+1
2.7
73%
46%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.3
-
9Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3748
35%
1.3
5159-8
3.0
78%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.6
-
10Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3746
32%
1.2
4951-2
2.7
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3746
32%
1.2
4447-3
2.5
76%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3845
34%
1.2
4459-15
2.7
82%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3744
30%
1.2
4547-2
2.5
65%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3742
24%
1.1
4347-4
2.4
65%
32%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
15Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth3742
30%
1.1
3755-18
2.5
78%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16Agudat Sport AshdodAgudat Sport Ashdod3722
11%
0.6
2678-52
2.8
89%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
17Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.02.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

← all matches