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Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2023
Time: 16:30
Final 2-1
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Vs
45%
29%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win✓ Hit
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W31W10W03L20W20W02L30W20W10WH·AGU17/03A·MAC31/03H·HAP07/04A·HAP14/04H·AGU21/04A·KAF28/04A·HAP05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP28/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.401.430.861.001.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.041.521.081.001.001.93
vs Weaker (3)2.670.333.500.001.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L22D01L21W02L00D21W13L00D51WH·HAP10/03A·HAP17/03A·IRO31/03H·HAP10/04A·BNE14/04A·HAP21/04H·HAP28/04A·MAC05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP24/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.501.441.141.36
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.391.601.531.151.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1 ✓
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals ↓
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals →
01234
09.4%7.4%4.5%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.6%2.3%0.6%
28.6%9.1%4.8%1.7%0.4%
34.2%4.4%2.3%0.8%0.2%
41.5%1.6%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals (down), columns = Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
2.05
Ironi Tiberias
1.95
Bnei Yehuda
1.95
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.70
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Maccabi Herzliya
1.35
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.24
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.16
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.13
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.08
Tira
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
0.54
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.32 points better than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bnei Yehuda
1.92
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.84
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.78
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ironi Tiberias
1.68
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.68
Hapoel Acre
1.46
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.27
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.27
Kafr Qasim
1.19
Hapoel Afula
1.19
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.16
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.00
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
1.00
Hapoel Kfar Saba
0.95
Tira
0.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.16 goals worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tira
0.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
0.62
Ironi Tiberias
0.92
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.05
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.22
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.30
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.38
Hapoel Afula
1.46
Maccabi Herzliya
1.65
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.68
Sektzia Nes Tziona
1.70
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.73
Ihud Bnei Shfaram
2.51
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.62 goals better than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W10W03L10W00D00D10W10W10WH·AGU17/03A·MAC31/03H·HAP07/04A·HAP14/04H·AGU21/04A·KAF28/04A·HAP05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.710.360.440.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.440.480.500.420.400.53
vs Weaker (3)1.670.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W02L00D11D02L00D10WH·HAP10/03A·HAP17/03A·IRO31/03H·HAP10/04A·BNE14/04A·HAP21/04H·HAP28/04A·MAC05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP24/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.620.500.360.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.540.570.670.530.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W00D00D10W20W02L20W10W00DH·AGU17/03A·MAC31/03H·HAP07/04A·HAP14/04H·AGU21/04A·KAF28/04A·HAP05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP17/05A·HAP28/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.710.500.561.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.591.040.580.580.601.40
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.500.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L00D11D00D00D10W11D00D41WH·HAP10/03A·HAP17/03A·IRO31/03H·HAP10/04A·BNE14/04A·HAP21/04H·HAP28/04A·MAC05/05H·HAP12/05H·HAP24/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.870.880.940.790.79
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (28)0.860.820.931.000.770.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (22)
€7m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (3)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IKS (11)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
HNI wins
0
Draws
2
MKJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · H/A from HNI
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI4-2
04/11/22HHNI Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-2

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/23AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HNI0-1
17/05/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-0
12/05/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Afula3-0
05/05/23AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HNI2-0
28/04/23AKafr Qasim Vs HNI0-2
21/04/23HHNI Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod2-0
14/04/23AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs HNI3-0
07/04/23HHNI Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion1-0
31/03/23AMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs HNI1-3
17/03/23HHNI Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod5-0

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/23HMKJ Vs Hapoel Afula5-1
12/05/23HMKJ Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-0
05/05/23AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs MKJ3-1
28/04/23HMKJ Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba2-1
21/04/23AHapoel Acre Vs MKJ0-0
14/04/23ABnei Yehuda Vs MKJ2-0
10/04/23HMKJ Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2-1
31/03/23AIroni Tiberias Vs MKJ1-0
17/03/23AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs MKJ2-2
10/03/23HMKJ Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.23
HomeWWWWW1.68
AwayWLWLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%53%20%
AVG goals2.672.682.65
Over 1.5 %79%84%75%
Over 2.5 %51%58%45%
Over 3.5 %23%16%30%
Scored1.151.420.90
Conceded1.511.261.75
BTTS38%42%35%
Clean Sheet28%37%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.45
HomeLWWDW1.68
AwayDLLDL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%53%32%
AVG goals2.712.952.47
Over 1.5 %71%79%63%
Over 2.5 %53%63%42%
Over 3.5 %32%26%37%
Scored1.371.531.21
Conceded1.341.421.26
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet24%16%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3776
65%
2.1
6623+43
2.4
68%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3121.80.6
-
2Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3772
54%
1.9
6234+28
2.6
78%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.9
-
3Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3772
59%
1.9
7145+26
3.1
78%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
4Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3763
49%
1.7
6239+23
2.7
76%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
5Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3751
38%
1.4
6862+6
3.5
89%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.7
-
6Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3750
32%
1.4
5449+5
2.8
70%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.3
-
7Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3750
35%
1.4
6464+0
3.5
86%
68%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3750
35%
1.4
4361-18
2.8
81%
54%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.6
-
9Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3747
32%
1.3
4450-6
2.5
65%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
10Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3746
30%
1.2
4751-4
2.6
84%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3744
30%
1.2
4743+4
2.4
59%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
12Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3743
30%
1.2
4454-10
2.6
76%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3743
30%
1.2
3748-11
2.3
76%
38%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.01.3
-
14Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3843
26%
1.1
3647-11
2.2
55%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.91.2
-
15Sektzia Nes TzionaSektzia Nes Tziona3740
27%
1.1
4463-19
2.9
81%
49%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
16Ihud Bnei ShfaramIhud Bnei Shfaram3720
14%
0.5
3793-56
3.5
81%
70%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
17TiraTira11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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