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Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Vs
43%
27%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa win✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L00D13L34L21W02L01L02L01L02LH·HAP13/12H·HAP20/12A·HAP03/01A·HAP13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP27/01H·KAF31/01A·HAP04/02H·MAC07/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.571.471.531.331.60
vs Stronger (2)1.503.003.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.461.361.361.431.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L12L22D12L11D03L01L00DA·HAP16/12A·MAC20/12H·HAP03/01A·HAP10/01A·HAP17/01H·BNE24/01A·HAP31/01H·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.901.201.731.002.07
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.003.000.501.50
vs Similar (27)1.191.891.291.641.082.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.9%
Under 2.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.2%
No
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.3%
0-1 ✓
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals ↓
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals →
01234
07.3%6.4%4.7%2.0%0.6%
18.3%13%7.3%3.0%0.9%
27.4%9.1%5.7%2.3%0.7%
33.8%4.7%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.5%1.8%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Nazareth Illit goals (down), columns = Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.38
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Acre
1.49
Maccabi Herzliya
1.38
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.35
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.30
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.24
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.16
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.11
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0.92
Hapoel Afula
0.70
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.62
Nordia Jerusalem
0.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.19 points worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.11
Nordia Jerusalem
2.00
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.76
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.68
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.32
Maccabi Herzliya
1.24
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.19
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.16
Hapoel Acre
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.08
Kafr Qasim
0.95
Hapoel Afula
0.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.78
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.11 goals worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.54
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.68
Kafr Qasim
0.89
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0.95
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.22
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.32
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.43
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.43
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.53
Hapoel Afula
1.65
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.92
Nordia Jerusalem
5.00
Hapoel Nazareth Illit is 0.09 goals worse than Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L12L10W01L01L00D00D02LH·HAP13/12H·HAP20/12A·HAP03/01A·HAP13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP27/01H·KAF31/01A·HAP04/02H·MAC07/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.730.930.600.93
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.930.640.930.640.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L11D00D10W11D01L11D01L00D00DA·HAP16/12A·MAC20/12H·HAP03/01A·HAP10/01A·HAP17/01H·BNE24/01A·HAP31/01H·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.530.600.470.93
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.740.570.570.540.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D12L22D11D01L00D02L01L00DH·HAP13/12H·HAP20/12A·HAP03/01A·HAP13/01H·HAP17/01A·HAP27/01H·KAF31/01A·HAP04/02H·MAC07/02A·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.730.600.730.67
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.750.540.710.430.790.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L02L11D11D00D02L01L00DA·HAP16/12A·MAC20/12H·HAP03/01A·HAP10/01A·HAP17/01H·BNE24/01A·HAP31/01H·HAP04/02A·HAP07/02H·HAP14/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.130.671.130.531.13
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.002.000.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.631.150.711.070.541.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Nazareth Illit) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Nazareth Illit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (27)
€18m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (13)
€11m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (4)
€2m
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (10)
€5m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
HNI wins
1
Draws
3
MKJ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa · H/A from HNI
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI0-3
24/05/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI2-2
12/01/24AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI3-2
31/08/23HHNI Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa2-1
27/02/23AMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa Vs HNI4-2
04/11/22HHNI Vs Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa1-2

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/25AHapoel Kfar Saba Vs HNI2-0
07/02/25HHNI Vs Maccabi Herzliya0-1
04/02/25AHapoel Acre Vs HNI2-0
31/01/25HHNI Vs Kafr Qasim0-1
27/01/25AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs HNI2-0
17/01/25HHNI Vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2-1
13/01/25AHapoel Kfar Shalem Vs HNI4-3
03/01/25AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HNI3-1
20/12/24HHNI Vs Hapoel Ra'anana0-0
13/12/24HHNI Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon1-4

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/25HMKJ Vs Hapoel Ra'anana0-0
07/02/25AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs MKJ1-0
04/02/25HMKJ Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-3
31/01/25AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs MKJ1-1
24/01/25HMKJ Vs Bnei Yehuda1-2
17/01/25AHapoel Afula Vs MKJ2-2
10/01/25AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs MKJ2-1
03/01/25HMKJ Vs Hapoel Kfar Saba0-1
20/12/24AMaccabi Herzliya Vs MKJ1-1
16/12/24AHapoel Acre Vs MKJ2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.30
HomeLDWLL1.52
AwayLLLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.822.722.92
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.461.561.36
Conceded1.361.161.56
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.06
HomeDLLLD1.08
AwayDLDDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals3.063.202.92
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.401.441.36
Conceded1.661.761.56
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3788
73%
2.4
7825+53
2.8
78%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
11252.10.7
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3788
73%
2.4
6420+44
2.3
59%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.5
-
3Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3771
59%
1.9
7135+36
2.9
76%
51%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.90.9
-
4Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem3763
51%
1.7
6553+12
3.2
86%
57%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1001.81.4
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3755
46%
1.5
4249-7
2.5
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.3
-
6Maccabi HerzliyaMaccabi Herzliya3751
41%
1.4
4664-18
3.0
84%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.7
-
7Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3750
35%
1.4
3533+2
1.8
62%
19%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.90.9
-
8Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3750
41%
1.4
4951-2
2.7
73%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.4
-
9Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3748
38%
1.3
6271-9
3.6
86%
68%
49%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.9
-
10Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3747
32%
1.3
4349-6
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.3
-
11Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3746
35%
1.2
5055-5
2.8
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.41.5
-
12Hapoel RaHapoel Ra'anana3743
27%
1.2
4045-5
2.3
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
13Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3741
24%
1.1
4453-9
2.6
78%
49%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
14Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3835
24%
0.9
4158-17
2.6
71%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
15Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3726
11%
0.7
3061-31
2.5
73%
43%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.6
-
16Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3723
14%
0.6
2964-35
2.5
70%
51%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
17Nordia JerusalemNordia Jerusalem10
0%
0.0
25-3
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.05.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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