Hapoel Tel Aviv is tipped to win, with a 51% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw, and 23% that Hapoel Ramat Gan will edge out the match. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, but the single most likely total is 2 goals, a 25% probability. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.4% chance. At home, Hapoel Tel Aviv typically nets 2.3 goals and concedes 0.7 against weaker opposition, while Hapoel Ramat Gan’s away form against this tier is not provided. The model’s selection includes Over 1.5 with a 78.2% probability, and the edge percentage is not listed. The recent form narrative shows Hapoel Tel Aviv coming off a draw, whereas Hapoel Ramat Gan has endured two straight defeats. The final score was 1-0, confirming the home win.
Results analysis
The match saw Hapoel Tel Aviv extend their recent run, coming off a draw in their last outing, while Hapoel Ramat Gan had just endured two straight defeats. The final score was 1-0, a home win that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite was the home side, with a 51% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The only suggested pick was Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.2% probability, but it missed as the game ended with a single goal. All figures are taken directly from the data, with no additional commentary.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv win✓ Hit
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.13
2.07
1.14
1.38
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
1.67
1.50
2.25
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
1.95
0.90
2.30
0.70
1.64
1.09
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.00
2.12
1.00
1.79
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.92
1.00
2.25
0.92
1.62
1.08
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.67
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
1-0 ✓
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
Hapoel Tel Aviv goals ↓
Hapoel Ramat Gan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.5%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.2%
12%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.7%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.1%
5.6%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Tel Aviv goals (down), columns = Hapoel Ramat Gan goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2.38
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Hapoel Acre
1.49
Maccabi Herzliya
1.38
Kafr Qasim
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.35
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.30
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.24
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.16
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.11
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0.92
Hapoel Afula
0.70
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.62
Nordia Jerusalem
0.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.46 points better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of average points per game (2.38 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2.11
Nordia Jerusalem
2.00
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.92
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.76
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.68
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.32
Maccabi Herzliya
1.24
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.19
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.16
Hapoel Acre
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.08
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.08
Kafr Qasim
0.95
Hapoel Afula
0.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.78
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.19 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.54
Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.68
Kafr Qasim
0.89
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0.95
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.22
Hapoel Acre
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.32
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.43
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.43
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.53
Hapoel Afula
1.65
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.73
Maccabi Herzliya
1.73
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.92
Nordia Jerusalem
5.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv is 0.27 goals better than Hapoel Ramat Gan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.68 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.33
0.79
0.14
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.44
0.50
0.25
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
0.81
0.29
0.90
0.10
0.73
0.45
Clean sheet %
77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.00
0.50
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.88
0.60
0.92
0.58
0.85
0.62
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.80
1.29
1.00
0.81
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
1.00
2.00
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.14
0.62
1.40
0.60
0.91
0.64
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ramat Gan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.47
1.12
0.50
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.40
1.33
0.33
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
0.67
0.33
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Tel Aviv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Tel Aviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ramat Gan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hapoel Tel Aviv · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chico67%
Falcão33%
Fernand Mayembo33%
Marcus Coco33%
Omri Altman33%
Andrian Kraev33%
Doron Leidner33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Roee Alkokin0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roee Alkokin33%
Emmanuel Boateng0%
Chico0%
Falcão0%
Fernand Mayembo0%
Marcus Coco0%
Omri Altman0%
Assaf Tzur0%
Andrian Kraev0%
Doron Leidner0%
Mor Buskila0%
Douglas Owusu0%
Daniel Dappa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (27)
€18m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's squad is €12m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€18m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (13)
€11m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's attack is €9m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€11m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (4)
€2m
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's midfield is €1m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HTA (10)
€5m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defence is €3m more valuable than Hapoel Ramat Gan's (€5m vs €2m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →