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Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Afula Result & Analysis

Date: 26/12/2022
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Vs
59%
25%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm win✗ Miss
58.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula win✗ Miss
16.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L11D20W30W00D10W41W02LA·BNE21/09H·AGU30/09A·MAC07/10H·IRO14/10A·HAP21/10H·MAC28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP14/11A·HAP07/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.871.500.751.141.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.290.931.430.861.141.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L21W15L10W02L00D01L22D11D11DA·AGU21/09H·MAC30/09A·IRO07/10H·HAP14/10A·MAC21/10H·HAP28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP11/11A·HAP08/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.271.380.500.862.14
vs Stronger (6)1.501.501.750.751.003.00
vs Similar (9)0.891.111.000.250.801.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.1%
Under 3.5
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.2%
1-1 ✓
12.0%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.1%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm goals ↓
Hapoel Afula goals →
01234
08.6%5.1%2.5%0.7%0.1%
112%12%4.5%1.2%0.3%
212%9.6%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.9%5.7%2.3%0.6%0.1%
43.0%2.5%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hapoel Umm al-Fahm goals (down), columns = Hapoel Afula goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2.03
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.81
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.62
Hapoel Acre
1.51
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.41
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Bnei Yehuda
1.30
Hapoel Afula
1.24
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.24
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.19
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.18
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.14
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is 0.38 points better than Hapoel Afula in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.97
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.68
Ironi Tiberias
1.54
Bnei Yehuda
1.38
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.35
Hapoel Acre
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.30
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.22
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.19
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1.19
Kafr Qasim
1.16
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.16
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
0.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
0.00
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is 0.14 goals worse than Hapoel Afula in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.84
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0.86
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.92
Ironi Tiberias
1.03
Hapoel Acre
1.05
Kafr Qasim
1.27
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon
1.27
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.27
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.32
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.35
Hapoel Afula
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.49
Hapoel Nazareth Illit
1.55
Bnei Yehuda
1.59
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
2.00
Agudat Sport Ashdod
2.11
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm is 0.51 goals better than Hapoel Afula in terms of goals conceded per game (0.86 vs 1.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D11D00D20W00D10W30W01LA·BNE21/09H·AGU30/09A·MAC07/10H·IRO14/10A·HAP21/10H·MAC28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP14/11A·HAP07/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.270.620.250.570.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.290.710.290.570.29
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W12L00D00D00D01L11D00D11DA·AGU21/09H·MAC30/09A·IRO07/10H·HAP14/10A·MAC21/10H·HAP28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP11/11A·HAP08/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.880.250.431.14
vs Stronger (6)1.000.501.250.250.501.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.500.250.401.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W01L00D20W10W00D00D11D01LA·BNE21/09H·AGU30/09A·MAC07/10H·IRO14/10A·HAP21/10H·MAC28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP14/11A·HAP07/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.880.500.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.640.710.570.570.71
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Afula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L10W02L00D00D11D11D00DA·AGU21/09H·MAC30/09A·IRO07/10H·HAP14/10A·MAC21/10H·HAP28/10A·HAP07/11H·HAP11/11A·HAP08/12H·HAP16/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.600.500.250.431.00
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.500.500.502.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.330.500.000.400.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Umm al-Fahm) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Afula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (25)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
BY (26)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MPT (11)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HPT (5)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
BY (5)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
BY (12)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
HUA wins
0
Draws
1
HA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Afula · H/A from HUA
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/22AHapoel Afula Vs HUA2-0

Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/22HHUA Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-2
07/12/22AHapoel Ramat Gan Vs HUA1-4
14/11/22HHUA Vs Hapoel Rishon LeZion1-0
07/11/22AHapoel Ramat HaSharon Vs HUA0-0
28/10/22HHUA Vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth3-0
21/10/22AHapoel Nazareth Illit Vs HUA0-2
14/10/22HHUA Vs Ironi Tiberias1-1
07/10/22AMaccabi Petah Tikva Vs HUA1-0
30/09/22HHUA Vs Agudat Sport Ashdod2-0
21/09/22ABnei Yehuda Vs HUA1-1

Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/12/22HHA Vs Hapoel Acre1-1
08/12/22AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs HA1-1
11/11/22HHA Vs Hapoel Ramat Gan2-2
07/11/22AHapoel Rishon LeZion Vs HA1-0
28/10/22HHA Vs Hapoel Ramat HaSharon0-0
21/10/22AMaccabi Ahi Nazareth Vs HA2-0
14/10/22HHA Vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit1-0
07/10/22AIroni Tiberias Vs HA5-1
30/09/22HHA Vs Maccabi Petah Tikva2-1
21/09/22AAgudat Sport Ashdod Vs HA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.53
HomeWDWWL1.88
AwayDLWDW1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.202.252.14
Over 1.5 %80%88%71%
Over 2.5 %27%25%29%
Over 3.5 %13%12%14%
Scored1.331.501.14
Conceded0.870.751.00
BTTS40%38%43%
Clean Sheet40%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Afula
Israel: Liga Leumit
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.20
HomeWWDDD2.00
AwayLLLLD0.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%50%0%
AVG goals2.401.883.00
Over 1.5 %67%62%71%
Over 2.5 %40%38%43%
Over 3.5 %20%12%29%
Scored1.131.380.86
Conceded1.270.502.14
BTTS47%38%57%
Clean Sheet33%62%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Maccabi Petah TikvaMaccabi Petah Tikva3775
62%
2.0
7334+39
2.9
78%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.00.9
-
2Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3771
57%
1.9
6231+31
2.5
76%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.70.8
-
3Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3767
51%
1.8
5738+19
2.6
73%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.0
-
4Hapoel Umm al-FahmHapoel Umm al-Fahm3760
46%
1.6
4432+12
2.1
70%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Hapoel AcreHapoel Acre3756
41%
1.5
5039+11
2.4
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.1
-
6Maccabi Kabilio JaffaMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa3752
41%
1.4
4750-3
2.6
70%
51%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.4
-
7Hapoel Kfar SabaHapoel Kfar Saba3751
41%
1.4
4852-4
2.7
78%
49%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.4
-
8Hapoel Ramat GanHapoel Ramat Gan3750
35%
1.4
5049+1
2.7
73%
46%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.3
-
9Bnei YehudaBnei Yehuda3748
35%
1.3
5159-8
3.0
78%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.6
-
10Hapoel AfulaHapoel Afula3746
32%
1.2
4951-2
2.7
76%
49%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.4
-
11Hapoel Ramat HaSharonHapoel Ramat HaSharon3746
32%
1.2
4447-3
2.5
76%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Nazareth Illit3845
34%
1.2
4459-15
2.7
82%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
13Hapoel Rishon LeZionHapoel Rishon LeZion3744
30%
1.2
4547-2
2.5
65%
41%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Kafr QasimKafr Qasim3742
24%
1.1
4347-4
2.4
65%
32%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
15Maccabi Ahi NazarethMaccabi Ahi Nazareth3742
30%
1.1
3755-18
2.5
78%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16Agudat Sport AshdodAgudat Sport Ashdod3722
11%
0.6
2678-52
2.8
89%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.1
-
17Hapoel Kfar ShalemHapoel Kfar Shalem10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1000.02.0
-
Israel: Liga Leumit 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →

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