Haugesund, fresh from a 2-3 loss to Kongsvinger, faces Egersund, who also finished 0-4 away. The model sees the match as a 40 % chance of an Egersund victory, 37 % for a Haugesund win and 23 % for a draw, with the away side the clear favourite. The expected total is 3.7 goals, and the most likely total number of goals is three, a 21 % probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 9.2 % chance. Haugesund, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.9 goals scored and 2.9 conceded, while Egersund, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 % with a 7 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 % with an 8 % edge), Under 7.5 (96.3 % with a 4 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.8 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (91.5 % with a 4 % edge), Over 1.5 (89.5 % with a 1 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (88.6 % with a 14 % edge) and Away under 1.5 HT goals (87.6 % with a 5 % edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win, failed as Haugesund secured a 3-0 home victory, extending their recent run of wins. The model had given the away side a 40% chance, but the outcome proved otherwise. The final score of 3-0 was a home win, contrary to the 0.37 home win probability and 0.23 draw probability. The suggested picks performed as follows: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.7%, Under 7.5 hit at 96.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals missed at 92.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 91.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 89.5%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 88.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 87.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each pick was reported once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Haugesund win✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.55
Edge
-22.5%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 20.8% · @ 4.41
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.65
Betfair
4.60
Dafabet
4.60
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Egersund win✗ Miss
40.0%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.61
Edge
+20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.92
Betano
4.85
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.75
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Haugesund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
5.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
2.53
1.25
2.50
1.21
2.57
vs Stronger (15)
0.87
2.60
1.00
2.67
0.67
2.50
vs Similar (15)
1.60
2.47
1.57
2.29
1.62
2.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.27
1.62
1.38
2.00
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.68
1.36
1.46
1.62
1.92
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.80
2.33
0.33
2.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Under 1.5
10.5%
@ 6.75-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Under
888Sport
8.50
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.0%
@ 1.31+1.1%
Under 2.5
28.0%
@ 3.19-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
888Sport
3.70
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.3%
@ 1.82-0.1%
Under 3.5
48.7%
@ 1.93+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Betano
1.87
Under
888Sport
2.15
10Bet
2.05
SBO
2.03
Unibet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.91
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.3%
@ 1.38+5.4%
No
27.7%
@ 2.78-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
No
888Sport
3.20
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.88
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%@ 9.09+4.2%
1-2
7.9%@ 13.67+4.6%
2-1
7.6%@ 7.86+1.8%
2-2
7.3%@ 10.86+3.1%
1-3
5.1%@ 28.76+3.5%
3-1
4.6%@ 9.65-0.1%
2-3
4.6%@ 23.99+2.7%
3-2
4.4%@ 13.59+1.1%
Haugesund goals ↓
Egersund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
3.7%
4.3%
2.8%
1.3%
1
3.5%
9.2%
7.9%
5.1%
2.4%
2
4.0%
7.6%
7.3%
4.6%
2.2%
3
2.4%
4.6%
4.4%
2.8%
1.3%
4
1.1%
2.1%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Haugesund goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
Haugesund is 0.57 points better than Egersund in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
Haugesund is 1.43 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (3.14 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
Haugesund is 0.14 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Haugesund or Draw✓ Hit
60.0%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-20.1%
37%
23%
40%
covers Haugesund + Draw
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Haugesund or Egersund✓ Hit
76.9%
Avg Implied 79.8% · @ 1.17
Edge
-2.9%
37%
23%
40%
covers Haugesund + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Draw or Egersund✗ Miss
63.2%
Avg Implied 40.2% · @ 2.31
Edge
+23.0%
37%
23%
40%
covers Draw + Egersund
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.42
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Haugesund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.9%
@ 1.06-4.8%
Under
16.1%
@ 8.36+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Under
888Sport
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
1xBet
7.70
Betano
7.10
Haugesund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
54.5%
@ 1.36-13.5%
Under
45.5%
@ 2.89+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
888Sport
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Haugesund over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
27.6%
@ 2.13-15.9%
Under
72.4%
@ 1.64+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Under
888Sport
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Haugesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 3.91-12.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.22+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.23
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
1xBet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Egersund over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
85.2%
@ 1.29+13.2%
Under
14.8%
@ 3.31-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Under
888Sport
3.90
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.35
Bet365
3.25
Egersund over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.8%
@ 2.39+18.0%
Under
43.2%
@ 1.52-18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Under
888Sport
1.67
10Bet
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Egersund over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.8%
@ 5.52+13.0%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.12-13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Marathonbet
5.60
Under
888Sport
1.18
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Egersund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 12.15+4.9%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.03-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Betano
10.25
Betfair
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Haugesund, so a minus line means Haugesund give that many goals of a start and Egersund receive them. At -1, Haugesund must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Haugesund win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Haugesund)Actual: Haugesund
Haugesund -2
8.6%
@ 3.84-14.7%
Draw -2
11.2%
@ 4.64-8.1%
Egersund +2
80.3%
@ 1.55+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Handicap -1 (Haugesund)Actual: Haugesund
Haugesund -1
19.7%
@ 2.24-19.8%
Draw -1
17.1%
@ 3.96-5.3%
Egersund +1
63.2%
@ 2.33+25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Unibet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
Unibet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Handicap +1 (Haugesund)Actual: Haugesund
Haugesund +1
60.0%
@ 1.17-17.4%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 6.93+4.9%
Egersund -1
22.2%
@ 9.37+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Unibet
6.25
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Unibet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Haugesund)Actual: Haugesund
Haugesund +2
77.8%
@ 1.05-11.8%
Draw +2
12.2%
@ 15.00+5.9%
Egersund -2
10.0%
@ 23.00+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Haugesund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.62
1.00
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.87
0.33
0.89
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.20
1.00
1.14
0.62
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.50
0.44
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.44
0.46
0.54
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.6%
@ 1.18-2.0%
Under 0.5
23.4%
@ 4.33+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
William Hil
4.33
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.6%
@ 1.89-9.6%
Under 1.5
60.4%
@ 1.83+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
BetVictor
1.92
Under
SBO
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.83
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.0%
@ 3.79-0.4%
Under 2.5
76.0%
@ 1.22+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Haugesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.43-2.6%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.64+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Unibet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Unibet
2.75
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Betano
2.50
Haugesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
22.6%
@ 2.97-8.6%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.35+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
Superbet
2.72
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Haugesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
7.3%
@ 7.50-5.0%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.05+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.2%
@ 2.11-0.7%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.65+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Under
1xBet
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.64
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 6.53-1.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.08+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.25-5.9%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.01+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Haugesund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.50
0.62
1.50
0.64
1.50
vs Stronger (15)
0.47
1.73
0.67
1.78
0.17
1.67
vs Similar (15)
0.80
1.27
0.57
1.14
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Egersund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.83
1.12
0.94
1.07
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.92
1.00
1.08
0.92
0.75
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.40
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Haugesund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
83.1%
@ 1.10-2.0%
Under 0.5
16.9%
@ 6.28+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.90
Betano
5.60
William Hil
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.9%
@ 1.53-0.8%
Under 1.5
40.1%
@ 2.36+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.3%
@ 2.55-6.9%
Under 2.5
70.7%
@ 1.45+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.80
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.62
Betano
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.42
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Haugesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.3%
@ 1.28-6.8%
Under
34.7%
@ 3.33+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.29
Betano
1.28
Under
Betano
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Haugesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.1%
@ 2.33-8.5%
Under
68.9%
@ 1.53+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.35
Betano
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Haugesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.1%
@ 5.03-2.2%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.13+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.4%
@ 1.78-2.5%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.92+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 4.73-2.9%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.15+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 9.25-5.9%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+5.0%
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
91.5%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
88.7%
1.22
1xBet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+12.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
1.03
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.08
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
1.29
1xBet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.30
+13.2%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
83.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
83.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.4%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-2.0%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
82.5%
1.15
888Sport
1.22
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
77.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-11.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.4%
1.35
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.32
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+8.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.9%
1.17
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.17
-2.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.6%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
76.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
72.4%
1.64
888Sport
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
+15.9%
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
72.3%
1.38
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+5.4%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
72.0%
1.31
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.34
BetVictor
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
70.7%
1.45
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.42
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
70.2%
1.12
888Sport
1.18
Unibet
1.13
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-13.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Haugesund · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Diarra24%
Runar Espejord14%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Havard Karlsen10%
Claus Niyukuri9%
Emil Rohd8%
Julius Eskesen8%
Niko Hämäläinen8%
Ismaël Seone6%
Sander Innvær6%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Madiodio Dia4%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Morten Agnes Konradsen0%
Amund Wichne0%
Bruno Leite0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Parfait Bizoza0%
Miika Koskela0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miika Koskela38%
Bruno Leite29%
Martin Alvsaker25%
Julius Eskesen23%
Madiodio Dia22%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug18%
Niko Hämäläinen15%
Ilir Kukleci14%
Troy Nyhammer14%
Mikkel Fischer12%
Parfait Bizoza10%
Emil Rohd8%
Pyry Hannola8%
Oscar Krusnell7%
Morten Agnes Konradsen6%
Ismael Camara6%
Sory Diarra5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Claus Niyukuri4%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Amund Wichne0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Runar Espejord0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Sander Innvær0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jasper Silva Torkildsen33%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug9%
Claus Niyukuri9%
Niko Hämäläinen8%
Pyry Hannola8%
Anders Bondhus7%
Bruno Leite5%
Sory Diarra5%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Parfait Bizoza3%
Julius Eskesen0%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Morten Agnes Konradsen0%
Amund Wichne0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Runar Espejord0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Miika Koskela0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Sander Innvær0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Emil Rohd0%
Mikkel Hope0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Madiodio Dia0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Runar Espejord29%
Julius Eskesen15%
Morten Agnes Konradsen12%
Sory Diarra10%
Almar Gjerd Grindhaug9%
Troy Nyhammer5%
Mikkel Hope5%
Parfait Bizoza3%
Martin Bjørnbak0%
Amund Wichne0%
Bruno Leite0%
Martin Samuelsen0%
Oscar Krusnell0%
Niko Hämäläinen0%
Miika Koskela0%
Ilir Kukleci0%
Pyry Hannola0%
Claus Niyukuri0%
Jasper Silva Torkildsen0%
Eivind Helgeland0%
Vegard Solheim0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Sander Innvær0%
Martin Alvsaker0%
Emil Rohd0%
Anders Bondhus0%
Ismaël Seone0%
Madiodio Dia0%
Amidou Traore0%
Einar Fauskanger0%
Lars Tanggaard Eide0%
Ismael Camara0%
Havard Karlsen0%
Fabian Andre Jakobsen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
Haugesund's squad is €4m more valuable than Egersund's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Haugesund's attack is €2m more valuable than Egersund's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
Haugesund and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
Haugesund's defence is €2m more valuable than Egersund's (€4m vs €2m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →