Haverfordwest County AFC vs Trefelin Result & Analysis

Haverfordwest County AFC are the clear favourites, with a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 27% for Trefelin. The model expects 3.0 goals overall and the most likely total is 2, with a 23% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries an 11.8% probability. Haverfordwest’s home form shows they average no goals scored and concede one against weaker opposition, while Trefelin, playing away against stronger teams, averages 2.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 7.5 at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4% (edge 7%), Under 6.5 at 96.4% (edge 5%), Away under 3.5 goals at 95.8% (edge 3%), Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.4% (edge 6%), Under 5.5 at 91.1% (edge 3%) and Home under 3.5 goals at 89.8% (edge 6%).

The win extends Haverfordwest County AFC’s run, finishing their last five with a victory over Trefelin. The model’s favourite, a Home win, proved correct as the final score was 2-1 in favour of the hosts. The pre-match probability for the favourite was 48%. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 95.9%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.8%, Under 5.5 hit at 91.1%, and Away under 1.5 2H goals hit at 89.8%. The model’s predictions aligned closely with the match outcome.