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Hayq vs Olympia Yerevan Prediction & Stats

Date: 21/09/2026
Time: 13:00
Hayq
Hayq
Vs
63%
20%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Olympia Yerevan
Olympia Yerevan
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Hayq’s home form is solid, with a 4-game winning streak and an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Olympia Yerevan’s away record shows a high scoring average of 4.0 but a similar 1.0 conceded rate. The model therefore rates a home win as the clear favourite, with a 63 % probability, a draw at 20 % and an away win at 17 %. The expected total is 3.5 goals, most likely 3, and the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Hayq at 9.5 %. The suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Home +2 handicap (93.4 %), Under 6.5 (93.1 %), Home over 0.5 goals (90.7 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.5 %), Over 1.5 (87.7 %) and Under 5.5 (85.1 %). These selections reflect the model’s confidence in a high-scoring, home-side dominated match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hayq win
63.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
20.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan win
16.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HayqHayq

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W10W40W23L00D41W20W21W43WA·SHI24/03H·NOA31/03A·BKM07/04H·LER14/04A·PYU21/04H·SAR27/04A·ARA05/05H·ARA12/05H·MIK18/05A·ARA25/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.802.200.731.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.301.001.201.001.401.00
vs Weaker (20)2.300.702.700.601.900.80
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W33D30W41W21WH·BAN03/08A·BEN09/08H·SAR13/08A·AND18/08H·ARA01/09
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.801.002.330.333.502.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)3.001.002.001.004.001.00
vs Weaker (3)2.671.002.500.003.003.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.7%
Under 2.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
63.4%
No
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
Hayq goals ↓
Olympia Yerevan goals →
01234
03.7%2.6%2.0%0.8%0.2%
16.1%8.8%4.7%1.8%0.5%
28.1%9.5%5.6%2.2%0.6%
36.4%7.5%4.4%1.7%0.5%
43.8%4.5%2.6%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hayq goals (down), columns = Olympia Yerevan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Hayq is 0.97 points better than Olympia Yerevan in terms of average points per game (2.27 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Hayq is 0.47 goals better than Olympia Yerevan in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Hayq is 0.99 goals better than Olympia Yerevan in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.79).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hayq or Draw
83.4%
Avg Implied -
63%
20%
17%
covers Hayq + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hayq or Olympia Yerevan
79.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
20%
17%
covers Hayq + Olympia Yerevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Olympia Yerevan
36.8%
Avg Implied -
63%
20%
17%
covers Draw + Olympia Yerevan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hayq over/under 0.5
Over
90.7%
Under
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5
Over
68.5%
Under
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5
Over
42.3%
Under
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 3.5
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hayq, so a minus line means Hayq give that many goals of a start and Olympia Yerevan receive them. At -1, Hayq must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hayq win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hayq)
Hayq -2
23.2%
Draw -2
18.8%
Olympia Yerevan +2
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hayq)
Hayq -1
42.0%
Draw -1
21.2%
Olympia Yerevan +1
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hayq)
Hayq +1
83.4%
Draw +1
10.1%
Olympia Yerevan -1
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hayq)
Hayq +2
93.4%
Draw +2
4.6%
Olympia Yerevan -2
2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HayqHayq

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D30W02L00D41W10W10W20WA·SHI24/03H·NOA31/03A·BKM07/04H·LER14/04A·PYU21/04H·SAR27/04A·ARA05/05H·ARA12/05H·MIK18/05A·ARA25/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.231.330.130.930.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.300.600.201.200.40
vs Weaker (20)1.250.201.700.100.800.30
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W20W20W11DH·BAN03/08A·BEN09/08H·SAR13/08A·AND18/08H·ARA01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.201.000.332.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hayq over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HayqHayq

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W10W21W00D00D10W11D23LA·SHI24/03H·NOA31/03A·BKM07/04H·LER14/04A·PYU21/04H·SAR27/04A·ARA05/05H·ARA12/05H·MIK18/05A·ARA25/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.870.600.800.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.400.700.600.800.200.60
vs Weaker (20)1.050.501.000.501.100.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympia Yerevan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W13L10W21W10WH·BAN03/08A·BEN09/08H·SAR13/08A·AND18/08H·ARA01/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.801.330.001.502.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.500.001.003.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hayq over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympia Yerevan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Home +2 handicap93.4%-------
Under 6.593.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals90.7%-------
Away under 2.5 goals88.6%-------
Over 1.587.7%-------
Under 5.585.2%-------
Home or Draw83.4%-------
Home +1 handicap83.4%-------
Home or Away79.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals78.5%-------
Under 4.571.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Hayq and Olympia Yerevan have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Hayq and Olympia Yerevan have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Hayq and Olympia Yerevan have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Hayq and Olympia Yerevan have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HAY wins
0
Draws
0
OY wins

Head-to-head

Hayq vs Olympia Yerevan · H/A from HAY
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

HayqHayq

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/26AArarat-Armenia II Vs HAY3-4
18/05/26HHAY Vs Mika2-1
12/05/26HHAY Vs Araks Ararat2-0
05/05/26AArarat II Vs HAY1-4
27/04/26HHAY Vs Sardarapat0-0
21/04/26APyunik II Vs HAY3-2
14/04/26HHAY Vs Lernayin Artsakh4-0
07/04/26ABKMA II Vs HAY0-1
31/03/26HHAY Vs Noah II2-0
24/03/26AShirak II Vs HAY0-1

Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HOY Vs Araks Ararat2-1
18/08/26AAndranik Vs OY1-4
13/08/26HOY Vs Sardarapat 23-0
09/08/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs OY3-3
03/08/26HOY Vs Banants II2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hayq
Hayq
Armenia: First League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.27
HomeWWDWW2.47
AwayWWLWW2.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %73%80%67%
AVG goals2.772.932.60
Over 1.5 %67%73%60%
Over 2.5 %50%60%40%
Over 3.5 %33%33%33%
Scored1.972.201.73
Conceded0.800.730.87
BTTS33%40%27%
Clean Sheet53%53%53%
Corners---
Cards---
Olympia Yerevan
Olympia Yerevan
Armenia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.60
HomeWWW3.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %80%100%50%
AVG goals3.802.675.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %80%67%100%
Over 3.5 %40%0%100%
Scored2.802.333.50
Conceded1.000.332.00
BTTS60%33%100%
Clean Sheet40%67%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Olympia YerevanOlympia Yerevan513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II512
80%
2.4
134+9
3.4
100%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.8
-
3Pyunik IIPyunik II511
60%
2.2
117+4
3.6
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
4AndranikAndranik47
50%
1.8
94+5
3.2
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.21.0
-
5MikaMika57
40%
1.4
1011-1
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.2
-
6Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
7Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan45
25%
1.2
138+5
5.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.22.0
-
8Banants IIBanants II55
20%
1.0
713-6
4.0
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.6
-
9Noah IINoah II55
20%
1.0
613-7
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
10Araks AraratAraks Ararat34
33%
1.3
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
11Shirak IIShirak II44
25%
1.0
37-4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
12Sardarapat 2Sardarapat 243
25%
0.8
26-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II41
0%
0.2
15-4
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.21.2
-
14HayqHayq00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.00.0
-
15Ararat IIArarat II30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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