Hayq are tipped to win in a high-scoring affair, with the model picking a home victory at 58%. The expected total is 3.1 goals, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10.7% chance. Hayq, playing at home against a weaker side, average 2.7 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Pyunik II, on the road to a stronger opponent, average 1.14 scored and 2.57 conceded. The match’s odds are 58% for a home win, 23% for a draw and 19% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (95.9%), Home +2 handicap (92.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.3%), Under 5.5 (90.2%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (84.9%). Hayq’s recent four-game winning streak and Pyunik II’s unbeaten run add extra weight to the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hayq win
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II win
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hayq
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.80
2.20
0.73
1.73
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
1.00
1.20
1.00
1.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
2.30
0.70
2.70
0.60
1.90
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.47
1.75
1.19
1.50
1.79
vs Stronger (13)
1.46
2.15
1.83
1.67
1.14
2.57
vs Similar (10)
1.90
0.80
2.00
1.00
1.67
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.57
1.14
1.00
0.67
2.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
8.0%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
Hayq goals ↓
Pyunik II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.8%
2.6%
0.9%
0.3%
1
8.0%
11%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.9%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
6.2%
6.8%
3.7%
1.3%
0.4%
4
3.2%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hayq goals (down), columns = Pyunik II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Hayq is 0.80 points better than Pyunik II in terms of average points per game (2.27 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Hayq is 0.53 goals better than Pyunik II in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Hayq is 0.63 goals better than Pyunik II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hayq or Draw
81.4%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Hayq + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hayq or Pyunik II
77.1%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Hayq + Pyunik II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Pyunik II
41.5%
Avg Implied -
58%
23%
19%
covers Draw + Pyunik II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hayq over/under 0.5
Over
87.1%
Under
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5
Over
60.6%
Under
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5
Over
33.5%
Under
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 3.5
Over
15.1%
Under
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5
Over
66.3%
Under
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5
Over
29.6%
Under
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5
Over
9.7%
Under
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hayq, so a minus line means Hayq give that many goals of a start and Pyunik II receive them. At -1, Hayq must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hayq win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hayq)
Hayq -2
18.1%
Draw -2
18.1%
Pyunik II +2
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hayq)
Hayq -1
36.2%
Draw -1
22.3%
Pyunik II +1
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hayq)
Hayq +1
81.4%
Draw +1
11.4%
Pyunik II -1
7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hayq)
Hayq +2
92.8%
Draw +2
5.1%
Pyunik II -2
2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hayq
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.23
1.33
0.13
0.93
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.30
0.60
0.20
1.20
0.40
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.20
1.70
0.10
0.80
0.30
Clean sheet %
80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.81
0.44
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
0.69
0.67
0.50
0.29
0.86
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.50
1.29
0.57
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.57
0.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hayq over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hayq
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
1.05
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Pyunik II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pyunik II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.87
0.94
0.75
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.46
1.17
1.17
0.86
1.71
vs Similar (10)
0.90
0.30
0.71
0.43
1.33
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.57
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hayq) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hayq over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hayq over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pyunik II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Hayq and Pyunik II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Hayq and Pyunik II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Hayq and Pyunik II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Hayq and Pyunik II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →