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Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen Result & Analysis

Date: 28/02/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Vs
66%
24%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian win✓ Hit
66.3%
Avg Implied 66.8% · @ 1.39
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.52
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied 12.7% · @ 7.34
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W20W11D22D30W01L10W24L10WH·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.770.871.870.671.671.07
vs Stronger (6)2.171.502.331.332.001.67
vs Similar (14)1.640.791.620.621.671.00
vs Weaker (10)1.700.602.000.251.500.83
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L02L02L10W62W03L02L20W23L00DA·FAL03/01A·RAN06/01H·RAN11/01H·RAI18/01H·LIV24/01A·KIL31/01A·MOT15/02H·MOT18/02H·DUN21/02A·DUN24/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.501.801.330.471.67
vs Stronger (7)0.432.860.672.000.253.50
vs Similar (15)0.671.071.290.860.121.25
vs Weaker (8)2.621.123.201.601.670.33
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 1.70-12.8%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 2.06+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.0%
No
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
16.0%
2-0
15.2%
1-1
10.5%
0-0
10.4%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
Aberdeen goals →
01234
010%4.4%1.5%0.3%0.0%
116%11%2.7%0.5%0.1%
215%8.6%2.4%0.5%0.1%
39.1%5.1%1.5%0.3%0.0%
44.1%2.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = Aberdeen goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Heart Of Midlothian is 1.05 points better than Aberdeen in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.05).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.71 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.05).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.55 goals better than Aberdeen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Heart Of Midlothian is 5.3 percentage points better than Aberdeen in terms of average possession (53% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 4.7 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

12084374827622354673831210129648101011H·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

1001334321153711123147336102331H·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 15.6 · Total 25.6

⚠️ Fouls

35091013171018819111213227121413515101819302827233519272028H·FALA·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AberdeenAberdeen

For 4.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1206429292437826647455410111161010121199A·DUNH·DUNH·MOTA·MOTA·KILH·LIVH·RANA·RANA·FALA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

8042446143532324221236877852635H·DUNH·MOTA·MOTA·KILH·LIVH·RANA·RANA·FALA·HIBH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.3

⚠️ Fouls

330613131016151815101616131512121121914819233133262927233022A·DUNH·DUNH·MOTA·MOTA·KILH·LIVH·RANA·RANA·FALA·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.73.43.13.723.623.124.0
vs Stronger (8)10.912.89.04.45.03.823.924.023.8
vs Similar (19)8.99.28.63.83.44.525.826.924.5
vs Weaker (23)10.810.511.02.72.23.121.118.523.6
% over line56%62%50%42%38%46%56%48%65%
% under line44%38%50%58%62%54%44%52%35%
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.74.35.03.624.624.824.3
vs Stronger (12)10.010.79.24.15.02.823.222.823.6
vs Similar (25)10.310.89.84.95.64.225.325.025.5
vs Weaker (13)10.912.010.03.43.83.024.526.622.7
% over line58%73%43%60%76%44%73%77%70%
% under line42%27%57%40%24%56%27%23%30%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.2
ST Mirren
10.9
Rangers
10.7
Dundee Utd
10.7
Aberdeen
10.6
Falkirk
10.6
Hibernian
10.6
Dundee
10.2
Partick
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.2
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Livingston
10.0
Arbroath
9.8
Dunfermline
9.7
Motherwell
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.7
Livingston
4.5
Hibernian
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.2
Partick
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.2
Falkirk
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Dunfermline
3.8
ST Mirren
3.8
Celtic
3.6
Dundee
3.4
Arbroath
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.8
Motherwell
25.5
Rangers
25.3
Aberdeen
24.3
Falkirk
23.8
Kilmarnock
23.6
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
Hibernian
22.3
Dundee Utd
21.9
ST Mirren
21.7
Dundee
21.2
Celtic
21.1
Dunfermline
20.9
Arbroath
20.5
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
Under 9.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.9%
Under 3.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D00D01L20W00D00D22D10WH·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.730.270.730.67
vs Stronger (6)1.170.671.000.671.330.67
vs Similar (14)0.640.500.620.250.670.83
vs Weaker (10)0.600.300.750.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L01L10W32W02L01L10W12L00DA·FAL03/01A·RAN06/01H·RAN11/01H·RAI18/01H·LIV24/01A·KIL31/01A·MOT15/02H·MOT18/02H·DUN21/02A·DUN24/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.800.670.200.73
vs Stronger (7)0.141.570.331.000.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.270.400.430.430.120.38
vs Weaker (8)1.250.501.600.800.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W11D21W10W01L10W02L00DH·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.130.400.930.40
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.330.670.671.00
vs Similar (14)1.000.291.000.381.000.17
vs Weaker (10)1.100.301.250.251.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberdeen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AberdeenAberdeen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L00D30W01L01L10W11D00DA·FAL03/01A·RAN06/01H·RAN11/01H·RAI18/01H·LIV24/01A·KIL31/01A·MOT15/02H·MOT18/02H·DUN21/02A·DUN24/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.801.000.670.270.93
vs Stronger (7)0.291.290.331.000.251.50
vs Similar (15)0.400.670.860.430.000.88
vs Weaker (8)1.380.621.600.801.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberdeen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls70.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland52%
Cláudio Braga32%
Craig Halkett13%
Pierre Landry Kaboré12%
Stuart Findlay12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Alexandros Kyziridis11%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Stephen Kingsley10%
Blair Spittal8%
Marc Leonard8%
Cameron Devlin7%
Oisin McEntee7%
Frankie Kent5%
Harry Milne3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Craig Halkett30%
Harry Milne27%
Marc Leonard23%
Cameron Devlin21%
Christian Borchgrevink20%
Oisin McEntee18%
Stuart Findlay15%
Ageu14%
Lawrence Shankland14%
Alexandros Kyziridis13%
Michael Steinwender12%
Blair Spittal12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Frankie Kent10%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Beni Baningime8%
Alan Forrest8%
Jordi Altena6%
Cláudio Braga5%
Jamie McCart5%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Craig Gordon0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Leonard23%
Harry Milne20%
Alexandros Kyziridis18%
Sabah Kerjota11%
Oisin McEntee11%
Lawrence Shankland10%
Blair Spittal8%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Cláudio Braga8%
Michael Steinwender6%
Jordi Altena6%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Beni Baningime4%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Frankie Kent0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland45%
Cláudio Braga39%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Marc Leonard8%
Harry Milne7%
Alexandros Kyziridis5%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Aberdeen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Karlsson21%
Kevin Nisbet18%
Kenan Bilalovic17%
Toyosi Olusanya12%
Aremu Afeez10%
Marko Lazetić9%
Mitchel Frame9%
Dennis Geiger8%
Adil Aouchiche8%
Liam Morrison7%
Emmanuel Gyamfi7%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen6%
Stuart Armstrong6%
Nicky Devlin6%
Topi Keskinen5%
Dante Polvara4%
Ante Palaversa0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Mats Knoester0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Lyall Cameron0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dennis Geiger42%
Tom McIntyre33%
Liam Morrison29%
Dylan Lobban28%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen25%
Mats Knoester24%
Nicky Devlin23%
Marko Lazetić21%
Graeme Shinnie21%
Adil Aouchiche20%
Emmanuel Gyamfi20%
Ante Palaversa18%
Jesper Karlsson17%
Topi Keskinen15%
Stuart Armstrong15%
Kusini Yengi14%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson12%
Leighton Clarkson12%
Nicolas Milanović11%
Aremu Afeez10%
Jack Milne10%
Mitchel Frame9%
Kevin Nisbet8%
Lyall Cameron7%
Alexander Jensen6%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Gavin Molloy6%
Kenan Bilalovic6%
Dimitar Mitov5%
Dante Polvara4%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stuart Armstrong15%
Toyosi Olusanya12%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson12%
Topi Keskinen10%
Aremu Afeez10%
Mitchel Frame9%
Dennis Geiger8%
Lyall Cameron7%
Ante Palaversa6%
Graeme Shinnie5%
Marko Lazetić3%
Kevin Nisbet2%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Mats Knoester0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Jesper Karlsson0%
Adil Aouchiche0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Jack Milne0%
Liam Morrison0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Dante Polvara0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Karlsson17%
Adil Aouchiche12%
Kevin Nisbet10%
Dante Polvara9%
Lyall Cameron7%
Toyosi Olusanya6%
Stuart Armstrong6%
Marko Lazetić6%
Jack Milne2%
Dennis Geiger0%
Ante Palaversa0%
Sivert Heltne Nilsen0%
Dimitar Mitov0%
Tom McIntyre0%
Elvis Bwomono0%
Nicky Devlin0%
Mats Knoester0%
Graeme Shinnie0%
Per Kristian Bråtveit0%
Aremu Afeez0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Kusini Yengi0%
Gavin Molloy0%
Topi Keskinen0%
Alexander Jensen0%
Nicolas Milanović0%
Alfie Dorrington0%
Liam Morrison0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Dylan Lobban0%
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson0%
Mitchel Frame0%
Kenan Bilalovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Heart Of Midlothian's squad is €7m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€22m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's attack is €9m more valuable than Aberdeen's (€12m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian and Aberdeen have a similar midfield value (both €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's defence is €1m less valuable than Aberdeen's (€6m vs €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
HOM wins
3
Draws
3
ABE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heart Of Midlothian vs Aberdeen · H/A from HOM
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25AAberdeen Vs HOM1-0
04/08/25HHOM Vs Aberdeen2-0
19/04/25HHOM Vs Aberdeen1-1
12/01/25AAberdeen Vs HOM0-0
01/12/24HHOM Vs Aberdeen1-1
06/10/24AAberdeen Vs HOM3-2
27/01/24HHOM Vs Aberdeen2-0
09/12/23AAberdeen Vs HOM2-1

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-0
15/02/26ARangers Vs HOM4-2
10/02/26HHOM Vs Hibernian1-0
03/02/26AST Mirren Vs HOM1-0
31/01/26ADundee Utd Vs HOM0-3
25/01/26HHOM Vs Celtic2-2
17/01/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-1
14/01/26HHOM Vs ST Mirren2-0
11/01/26ADundee Vs HOM0-1
03/01/26HHOM Vs Livingston1-0

AberdeenAberdeen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/02/26ADundee Utd Vs ABE0-0
21/02/26HABE Vs Dundee2-3
18/02/26HABE Vs Motherwell2-0
15/02/26AMotherwell Vs ABE2-0
31/01/26AKilmarnock Vs ABE3-0
24/01/26HABE Vs Livingston6-2
18/01/26HABE Vs Raith Rovers1-0
11/01/26HABE Vs Rangers0-2
06/01/26ARangers Vs ABE2-0
03/01/26AFalkirk Vs ABE1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW2.02
HomeWDDWW2.19
AwayLWWLL1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.722.732.71
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.841.961.71
Conceded0.880.771.00
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet42%42%42%
Corners10.0210.389.65
Cards4.023.864.19
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.08
HomeLWWWL1.28
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.522.922.12
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.021.520.52
Conceded1.501.401.60
BTTS36%56%16%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.3811.059.74
Cards4.895.434.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches