This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.40
1.31
0.88
0.93
2.00
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
2.00
1.29
1.29
0.67
2.83
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.94
1.33
0.56
1.12
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.7%
@ 1.88+15.5%
Under 2.5
34.3%
@ 1.90-15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.8%
Under 3.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
ST Mirren goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
2.4%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
1
7.5%
8.6%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
2
10%
9.5%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
8.3%
7.8%
3.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
5.1%
4.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = ST Mirren goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.61
Partick
2.50
Rangers
2.42
Aberdeen
1.50
Heart Of Midlothian
1.42
Hibernian
1.37
Motherwell
1.32
Livingston
1.21
ST Mirren
1.21
ST Johnstone
1.13
Kilmarnock
1.05
Ross County
0.93
Dundee Utd
0.82
Queen's Park
0.00
Ayr Utd
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.21 points better than ST Mirren in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
3.17
Celtic
3.00
Rangers
2.45
Heart Of Midlothian
1.66
Hibernian
1.50
Queen's Park
1.50
Aberdeen
1.47
Motherwell
1.39
ST Mirren
1.13
ST Johnstone
1.08
Dundee Utd
1.05
Ross County
1.00
Kilmarnock
0.97
Livingston
0.95
Ayr Utd
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.53 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals scored per game (1.66 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Celtic
0.89
Rangers
0.97
Partick
1.00
Motherwell
1.34
Heart Of Midlothian
1.50
Hibernian
1.55
ST Johnstone
1.55
Ross County
1.57
Livingston
1.58
Aberdeen
1.58
ST Mirren
1.61
Kilmarnock
1.63
Dundee Utd
1.84
Queen's Park
4.00
Ayr Utd
4.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.11 goals better than ST Mirren in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heart Of Midlothian
For 3.7 · Against 5.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
ST Mirren
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Heart Of Midlothian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.8
10.1
1.5
1.2
1.9
22.2
21.4
22.8
vs Stronger (10)
7.8
10.0
5.5
1.4
1.2
1.6
24.2
21.0
27.5
vs Similar (22)
8.9
7.8
9.8
1.9
1.3
2.4
21.8
22.0
21.6
vs Weaker (18)
12.0
9.5
13.7
1.2
1.0
1.3
21.2
20.5
21.7
% over line
44%
38%
50%
22%
17%
26%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
56%
62%
50%
78%
83%
74%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
12.5
10.0
1.3
1.4
1.1
21.5
20.0
23.0
vs Stronger (22)
11.1
12.2
9.8
1.4
1.4
1.3
19.9
18.8
21.2
vs Similar (28)
11.4
12.8
10.2
1.2
1.4
1.0
22.8
21.2
24.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
55%
60%
50%
16%
23%
8%
55%
40%
70%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
84%
77%
92%
45%
60%
30%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.6
ST Mirren
11.1
Dundee Utd
10.7
Motherwell
10.7
Rangers
10.7
Ross County
10.4
Aberdeen
10.0
ST Johnstone
10.0
Hibernian
9.9
Heart Of Midlothian
9.9
Kilmarnock
9.8
Partick
9.7
Livingston
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Rangers
4.3
Hibernian
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Livingston
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
Ross County
3.9
ST Johnstone
3.8
Dundee Utd
3.8
ST Mirren
3.3
Kilmarnock
3.3
Partick
3.1
Celtic
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
26.7
Aberdeen
26.6
Livingston
25.1
Hibernian
24.5
Heart Of Midlothian
24.1
Ross County
24.1
ST Johnstone
24.0
Kilmarnock
23.9
ST Mirren
23.0
Dundee Utd
22.7
Rangers
21.4
Celtic
20.7
Partick
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.8%
Under 9.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
46.4%
Under 3.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.4%
Under 21.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heart Of Midlothian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.87
1.00
0.71
0.56
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.71
0.25
1.75
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.77
1.50
0.50
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (10)
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.00
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.75
0.19
0.29
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.77
0.71
0.14
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.41
0.78
0.22
0.50
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heart Of Midlothian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.93
1.00
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
0.50
1.75
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.77
1.17
0.83
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (ST Mirren) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ST Mirren
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.56
0.69
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.23
0.57
1.14
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.53
0.56
0.33
0.62
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ST Mirren over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland47%
Josh Ginnelly26%
Liam Boyce20%
Stephen Humphrys17%
Garang Kuol12%
Alan Forrest10%
Barrie McKay9%
Nathaniel Atkinson9%
Andy Halliday9%
Yutaro Oda8%
Jorge Grant6%
Michael Smith6%
Alex Cochrane5%
Robert Snodgrass4%
Kye Rowles3%
Cameron Devlin3%
Craig Gordon0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
James Hill0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Peter Haring0%
Connor Smith0%
Zander Clark0%
Ross Stewart0%
Craig Halkett0%
Euan Henderson0%
Lewis Neilson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nathaniel Atkinson36%
Connor Smith36%
Robert Snodgrass35%
Garang Kuol25%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou23%
James Hill21%
Michael Smith21%
Liam Boyce20%
Toby Sibbick20%
Gary Mackay-Steven20%
Stephen Kingsley19%
Lawrence Shankland16%
Peter Haring16%
Cameron Devlin14%
Kye Rowles14%
Alex Cochrane12%
Craig Gordon9%
Jorge Grant9%
Andy Halliday9%
Stephen Humphrys9%
Josh Ginnelly9%
Alan Forrest2%
Barrie McKay2%
Yutaro Oda0%
Zander Clark0%
Ross Stewart0%
Craig Halkett0%
Euan Henderson0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gary Mackay-Steven20%
Robert Snodgrass17%
Cameron Devlin14%
Josh Ginnelly14%
Andy Halliday12%
Barrie McKay12%
Nathaniel Atkinson9%
Jorge Grant9%
Alex Cochrane8%
Lawrence Shankland7%
Kye Rowles3%
Toby Sibbick3%
Craig Gordon0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Liam Boyce0%
James Hill0%
Stephen Humphrys0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Peter Haring0%
Michael Smith0%
Connor Smith0%
Zander Clark0%
Ross Stewart0%
Craig Halkett0%
Alan Forrest0%
Euan Henderson0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Garang Kuol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland42%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Stephen Humphrys13%
Garang Kuol12%
Andy Halliday9%
Cameron Devlin6%
Alan Forrest5%
Stephen Kingsley4%
Barrie McKay2%
Craig Gordon0%
Nathaniel Atkinson0%
Kye Rowles0%
Jorge Grant0%
Robert Snodgrass0%
Liam Boyce0%
James Hill0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Yutaro Oda0%
Gary Mackay-Steven0%
Peter Haring0%
Michael Smith0%
Connor Smith0%
Zander Clark0%
Ross Stewart0%
Craig Halkett0%
Euan Henderson0%
Alex Cochrane0%
Lewis Neilson0%
ST Mirren
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mark O'Hara23%
Curtis Main16%
Jonah Ayunga16%
Alex Greive14%
Ryan Strain11%
Tony Watt10%
Richard Tait8%
Declan Gallagher7%
Alexander Gogić7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Greg Kiltie6%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Thierry Small0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Keanu Baccus27%
Charles Dunne27%
Jonah Ayunga26%
Declan Gallagher26%
Marcus Fraser21%
Mark O'Hara20%
Alexander Gogić20%
Ethan Erhahon15%
Thierry Small14%
Curtis Main14%
Scott Tanser13%
Greg Kiltie11%
Ryan Strain11%
Kieran Offord11%
Richard Taylor9%
Richard Tait8%
Alex Greive7%
Ryan Flynn5%
Joe Shaughnessy5%
Trevor Carson3%
Eamonn Brophy0%
Tony Watt0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eamonn Brophy17%
Ryan Strain14%
Jonah Ayunga11%
Joe Shaughnessy9%
Thierry Small7%
Keanu Baccus6%
Mark O'Hara6%
Curtis Main5%
Ethan Erhahon5%
Ryan Flynn5%
Alexander Gogić3%
Greg Kiltie3%
Scott Tanser0%
Tony Watt0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Alex Greive0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonah Ayunga32%
Curtis Main30%
Mark O'Hara11%
Tony Watt10%
Ryan Strain8%
Eamonn Brophy8%
Thierry Small7%
Greg Kiltie6%
Alex Greive4%
Alexander Gogić3%
Keanu Baccus3%
Joe Shaughnessy0%
Scott Tanser0%
Trevor Carson0%
Charles Dunne0%
Richard Tait0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Ryan Flynn0%
Marcus Fraser0%
Caolan Boyd-Munce0%
Richard Taylor0%
Lewis Jamieson0%
Jay Henderson0%
Fraser Taylor0%
Kieran Offord0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
Heart Of Midlothian's squad is €14m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€22m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RC (1)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's attack is €11m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€12m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
RC (3)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's midfield is €1m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€4m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
Heart Of Midlothian's defence is €2m more valuable than ST Mirren's (€6m vs €3m).
Scotland: Premiership 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Celtic
Rangers
Aberdeen
Hibernian
Motherwell
Livingston
ST Johnstone
Kilmarnock
Ross County
Dundee Utd
Partick
Queen's Park
Ayr Utd