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Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2025
Time: 11:15
Final 3-1
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Vs
30%
26%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Heerenveen face a tough test at home against AZ Alkmaar, but the model favours an away win. The expected total of goals is three, with the most likely scoreline 1-1 at 12.2%. Heerenveen, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.55 scored and 1.45 conceded. The probabilities for the match result are 30% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 43% for an away win. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 81.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.5% (miss), Under 5.5 cards at 77.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.6%, Over 19.5 fouls at 70.6% (miss), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.0% (miss). The model’s selection for the match outcome is an away win, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1.

Results analysis

The upset came as Heerenveen edged AZ Alkmaar 3-1, overturning the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win that had a 43% probability. The home side, coming off a draw, managed a victory that extended their recent form. The model’s call was wrong. The suggested picks delivered mixed results: Over 1.5 goals hit at 81.2%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 77.1%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 76.6%, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 70.6% and Under 11.5 corners missed at 70.0%. The match’s final score of 3-1 matched the actual result, confirming the home win and underscoring the unpredictability of the Eredivisie fixture.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heerenveen win✓ Hit
30.5%
Avg Implied 32.2% · @ 2.90
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.76
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.18
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L32W22D21W32W33D30W11D02LH·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09H·EXC04/10A·TEL19/10H·NAC24/10A·VVV28/10A·AJA01/11A·FOR08/11
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.631.931.471.001.80
vs Stronger (7)1.141.571.671.000.752.00
vs Similar (21)1.521.672.001.580.891.78
vs Weaker (2)2.001.50--2.001.50
Clean sheet %10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D12L04L21W20W10W41W10W13L15LH·PEC24/09A·NEC28/09A·AEK02/10H·TEL05/10A·AJA18/10H·SLO23/10H·UTR26/10A·SPA02/11A·CRY06/11H·PSV09/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.302.621.251.571.36
vs Stronger (1)1.005.001.005.00--
vs Similar (7)2.431.143.001.251.671.00
vs Weaker (22)2.091.182.640.911.551.45
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.7%
@ 1.50-4.2%
Under 2.5
42.3%
@ 2.44+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.0%
No
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
Heerenveen goals ↓
AZ Alkmaar goals →
01234
06.1%7.1%6.7%3.7%1.5%
15.6%12%9.1%5.0%2.1%
24.6%7.5%6.2%3.4%1.4%
32.1%3.4%2.8%1.5%0.6%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heerenveen goals (down), columns = AZ Alkmaar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Heerenveen is 0.11 points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Heerenveen is 0.07 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Heerenveen is 0.11 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Heerenveen is 2.0 percentage points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

For 5.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

17054457145116733566363799891710812910A·FORA·AJAA·VVVH·NACA·TELH·EXCA·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

60122112123222233313211354464A·FORA·AJAA·VVVH·NACA·TELH·EXCA·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

260121416685101012961712141014111091226221320212326242121A·FORA·AJAA·VVVH·NACA·TELH·EXCA·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

For 5.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

150461296821245642645911031510129108910H·PSVA·CRYA·SPAH·UTRH·SLOA·AJAH·TELA·AEKA·NECH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

8021221111524324271123421665683H·PSVA·CRYA·SPAH·UTRH·SLOA·AJAH·TELA·AEKA·NECH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

3209101414127414161219137138131614121019281918283220213022H·PSVA·CRYA·SPAH·UTRH·SLOA·AJAH·TELA·AEKA·NECH·PEC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeerenveenHeerenveen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.28.82.93.42.421.921.222.6
vs Stronger (10)9.19.58.82.72.52.818.918.019.5
vs Similar (37)9.910.69.03.13.82.323.121.924.4
vs Weaker (3)7.06.07.51.70.02.518.722.017.0
% over line47%70%25%38%52%26%55%52%58%
% under line53%30%75%62%48%74%45%48%42%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.710.04.24.04.322.322.522.1
vs Stronger (2)11.010.012.02.53.02.017.019.015.0
vs Similar (17)9.19.58.64.44.83.924.523.825.2
vs Weaker (31)10.29.710.74.23.74.721.522.120.9
% over line53%54%52%62%62%62%47%50%43%
% under line47%46%48%38%38%38%53%50%57%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Telstar
10.4
Fortuna Sittard
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
Heracles
10.3
NEC Nijmegen
10.2
Excelsior
10.0
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
Utrecht
9.7
Heerenveen
9.5
NAC Breda
9.5
Twente
9.3
Ajax
9.2
Groningen
9.2
PEC Zwolle
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.6
Ajax
4.1
Twente
4.1
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.8
NEC Nijmegen
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
Excelsior
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Sparta Rotterdam
3.6
Heracles
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Telstar
3.3
Heerenveen
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.9
Ajax
24.2
FC Volendam
23.9
Heracles
23.1
NEC Nijmegen
23.0
Excelsior
22.9
Fortuna Sittard
22.9
Utrecht
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
Twente
22.1
PEC Zwolle
21.8
Heerenveen
21.8
NAC Breda
21.4
Feyenoord
21.1
Groningen
21.0
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
PSV Eindhoven
18.6
Sparta Rotterdam
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L10W11D01L21W10W10W01L00DH·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09H·EXC04/10A·TEL19/10H·NAC24/10A·VVV28/10A·AJA01/11A·FOR08/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.930.600.400.87
vs Stronger (7)0.431.001.000.330.001.50
vs Similar (21)0.710.670.920.670.440.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L01L20W20W10W20W00D02L13LH·PEC24/09A·NEC28/09A·AEK02/10H·TEL05/10A·AJA18/10H·SLO23/10H·UTR26/10A·SPA02/11A·CRY06/11H·PSV09/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.620.560.640.71
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (7)1.290.431.750.250.670.67
vs Weaker (22)1.140.591.640.450.640.73
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D22D11D20W11D23L20W10W02LH·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09H·EXC04/10A·TEL19/10H·NAC24/10A·VVV28/10A·AJA01/11A·FOR08/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.901.000.870.600.93
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.670.670.750.50
vs Similar (21)0.811.001.080.920.441.11
vs Weaker (2)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D03L01L00D00D21W10W11D02LH·PEC24/09A·NEC28/09A·AEK02/10H·TEL05/10A·AJA18/10H·SLO23/10H·UTR26/10A·SPA02/11A·CRY06/11H·PSV09/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.000.690.930.64
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (7)1.140.711.251.001.000.33
vs Weaker (22)0.950.591.000.450.910.73
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Trenskow39%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente24%
Václav Sejk21%
Ringo Meerveld21%
Maxence Rivera15%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Luca Oyen12%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen11%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Joris van Overeem5%
Vasilios Zagaritis5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Maas Willemsen3%
Sam Kersten3%
Marcus Linday3%
Oliver Braude3%
Andries Noppert0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Mats Egbring0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Linday19%
Oliver Braude19%
Nolhan Courtens17%
Maxence Rivera15%
Maas Willemsen14%
Sam Kersten14%
Luuk Brouwers11%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås11%
Mats Egbring11%
Joris van Overeem11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Hristiyan Petrov8%
Bernt Klaverboer6%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Václav Sejk5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Dylan Vente3%
Ringo Meerveld3%
Jacob Trenskow3%
Andries Noppert0%
Luca Oyen0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joris van Overeem24%
Jacob Trenskow18%
Maxence Rivera18%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Ringo Meerveld12%
Mats Egbring11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Dylan Vente9%
Oliver Braude8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås6%
Marcus Linday5%
Václav Sejk5%
Andries Noppert0%
Sam Kersten0%
Luca Oyen0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente26%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Maxence Rivera24%
Ringo Meerveld6%
Luca Oyen6%
Luuk Brouwers6%
Vasilios Zagaritis3%
Andries Noppert0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Sam Kersten0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Václav Sejk0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Oliver Braude0%
Mats Egbring0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott50%
Sven Mijnans36%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink25%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Mees De Wit12%
Matěj Šín11%
Kees Smit11%
Denso Kasius10%
Peer Koopmeiners8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Jordy Clasie6%
Weslley Patati5%
Alexandre Penetra4%
Mateo Chávez3%
Wouter Goes2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zico Buurmeester33%
Rio Robbemond33%
Mateo Chávez31%
Wouter Goes30%
Jordy Clasie29%
Mees De Wit25%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Kasper Boogaard18%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Troy Parrott17%
Peer Koopmeiners12%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal10%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Dave Kwakman8%
Elijah Dijkstra8%
Ayoub Oufkir8%
Billy van Duijl8%
Weslley Patati8%
Isak Steiner Jensen7%
Lequincio Zeefuik7%
Sven Mijnans6%
Matěj Šín4%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ernest Poku0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ernest Poku50%
Bendegúz Kovács25%
Mees De Wit23%
Wassim Bouziane20%
Troy Parrott19%
Kees Smit17%
Denso Kasius17%
Sven Mijnans16%
Isak Steiner Jensen13%
Kasper Boogaard12%
Jizz Hornkamp11%
Mexx Meerdink9%
Mateo Chávez6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Jeroen Zoet5%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro5%
Weslley Patati5%
Ro-Zangelo Daal5%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Matěj Šín4%
Elijah Dijkstra3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Ibrahim Sadiq0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott46%
Sven Mijnans34%
Ernest Poku25%
Mexx Meerdink19%
Denso Kasius14%
Weslley Patati12%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Ro-Zangelo Daal7%
Kees Smit7%
Isak Steiner Jensen4%
Peer Koopmeiners2%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Jizz Hornkamp0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees De Wit0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Matěj Šín0%
Billy van Duijl0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Mateo Chávez0%
Rion Ichihara0%
Wassim Bouziane0%
Ayoub Oufkir0%
Rio Robbemond0%
Kasper Boogaard0%
Bendegúz Kovács0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Heerenveen's squad is €85m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€50m vs €136m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Heerenveen's attack is €37m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€24m vs €61m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Heerenveen's midfield is €15m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€6m vs €21m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Heerenveen's defence is €33m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€20m vs €54m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
HEE wins
2
Draws
5
AA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar · H/A from HEE
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/25AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE4-1
02/03/25HHEE Vs AZ Alkmaar3-1
14/09/24AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE9-1
28/01/24HHEE Vs AZ Alkmaar2-2
21/10/23AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE3-0
01/04/23AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE1-1
14/01/23HHEE Vs AZ Alkmaar0-2
23/04/22AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE2-1

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AFortuna Sittard Vs HEE2-0
01/11/25AAjax Vs HEE1-1
28/10/25AVVV Venlo Vs HEE0-3
24/10/25HHEE Vs NAC Breda3-3
19/10/25ATelstar Vs HEE2-3
04/10/25HHEE Vs Excelsior2-1
28/09/25AUtrecht Vs HEE2-2
21/09/25HHEE Vs NEC Nijmegen3-2
13/09/25AFeyenoord Vs HEE1-0
30/08/25HHEE Vs GO Ahead Eagles2-2

AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25HAA Vs PSV Eindhoven1-5
06/11/25ACrystal Palace Vs AA3-1
02/11/25ASparta Rotterdam Vs AA0-1
26/10/25HAA Vs Utrecht4-1
23/10/25HAA Vs Slovan Bratislava1-0
18/10/25AAjax Vs AA0-2
05/10/25HAA Vs Telstar2-1
02/10/25AAEK Larnaca Vs AA4-0
28/09/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs AA2-1
24/09/25HAA Vs PEC Zwolle2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDL1.34
HomeLDWWD1.96
AwayDWWDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%22%
AVG goals3.122.963.26
Over 1.5 %86%87%85%
Over 2.5 %60%52%67%
Over 3.5 %34%35%33%
Scored1.421.831.07
Conceded1.701.132.19
BTTS62%70%56%
Clean Sheet16%26%7%
Corners9.5110.228.83
Cards3.373.763.00
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.82
HomeDWWWL2.19
AwayLLWWL1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%65%38%
AVG goals3.323.313.33
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.982.271.67
Conceded1.341.041.67
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners9.859.6710.04
Cards4.454.384.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches