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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Stats

Date: 16/10/2026
Time: 18:00
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Vs
43%
26%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Heerenveen’s home advantage and recent draw-heavy run give the model a clear edge for a home win, with a 43% chance versus 26% for a draw and 31% for an Excelsior victory. The expected total is 3.1 goals, yet the most likely total is 2, reflecting a moderate scoring environment. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12% probability, underscoring the balanced nature of the contest.

Heerenveen, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.89 goals scored and 1.11 conceded, while Excelsior on the road averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against comparable teams. These figures suggest a tightly contested match with both sides capable of scoring but also vulnerable to conceding.

The model’s selections include: Under 7.5 (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Under 5.5 cards (90.9%), Under 5.5 (89.1%), Home +2 handicap (88.2%), Under 25.5 fouls (88.0%), and Home under 3.5 goals (87.7%). Each pick carries its own probability, and the edge percentages are noted where provided.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heerenveen win
43.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W02L02L00D23L10W22D02L22DH·FOR25/04A·FC 03/05A·NAC10/05A·NAC11/05H·AJA17/05A·UTR21/05H·TWE09/08A·AJA16/08H·PEC22/08A·WIL30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.631.691.151.592.00
vs Stronger (8)1.122.250.671.331.402.80
vs Similar (21)1.761.431.891.111.671.67
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D02L22D50W32W11D32W40W12L21WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.401.331.331.531.47
vs Stronger (10)1.401.701.801.601.001.80
vs Similar (20)1.451.251.101.201.801.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.4%
Under 2.5
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.3%
No
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
Heerenveen goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
05.7%5.4%4.5%2.1%0.7%
16.7%12%7.6%3.5%1.2%
26.5%9.1%6.3%3.0%1.0%
33.6%5.1%3.6%1.7%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heerenveen goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
Willem II
1.14
Excelsior
1.12
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Telstar
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.09
ADO Den Haag
1.08
Cambuur
1.03
Heerenveen is 0.30 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Telstar
1.44
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Groningen
1.40
Willem II
1.32
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
ADO Den Haag
1.25
Cambuur
1.20
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
Heerenveen is 0.37 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
Willem II
1.90
ADO Den Haag
2.01
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Cambuur
2.10
Heerenveen is 0.04 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heerenveen is 3.6 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (51% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1607941274869106373757716591215161010127A·WILH·PECA·AJAH·TWEA·UTRH·AJAA·NACA·NACA·FC H·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

60113211311113322111431322642H·PECA·AJAH·TWEA·UTRH·AJAA·NACA·NACA·FC H·FORA·AZ
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 8.4 · Total 17.6

⚠️ Fouls

230595710877611981310131014810614121814171723232216A·WILH·PECA·AJAH·TWEA·UTRH·AJAA·NACA·NACA·FC H·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 3.8 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

13064178525585322525161081375135777H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

4021141341121311113144413422H·SPAH·PSVA·SPAH·FC H·UTRA·PECA·HERA·FEYH·HEEH·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 8.3 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

320137931161511107105128131089151720121726171520231732H·SPAH·PSVA·CAMA·SPAH·FC A·GROH·UTRA·PECH·NECA·HER
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeerenveenHeerenveen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.49.910.82.62.72.620.019.120.6
vs Stronger (15)10.110.49.92.31.52.919.518.020.4
vs Similar (33)10.59.511.52.93.22.620.519.621.2
vs Weaker (2)10.012.08.01.01.01.015.518.013.0
% over line57%57%56%28%30%26%37%29%44%
% under line43%43%44%72%70%74%63%71%56%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.48.710.12.42.52.421.420.522.4
vs Stronger (18)9.37.211.61.81.81.918.817.620.1
vs Similar (31)9.39.39.42.83.02.722.822.023.5
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line44%39%50%28%24%32%44%35%55%
% under line56%61%50%72%76%68%56%65%45%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.3
PSV Eindhoven
11.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.8
Willem II
10.8
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
Telstar
10.6
ADO Den Haag
10.6
AZ Alkmaar
10.4
Heerenveen
10.2
Feyenoord
10.1
Groningen
10.1
Cambuur
10.1
Twente
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
9.9
Utrecht
9.8
Ajax
9.7
Excelsior
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cambuur
3.9
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.8
Sparta Rotterdam
3.8
Feyenoord
3.7
Utrecht
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.7
Ajax
3.6
ADO Den Haag
3.6
Groningen
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.5
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Telstar
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
Willem II
3.1
Excelsior
3.1
Heerenveen
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ADO Den Haag
26.5
Cambuur
26.4
NEC Nijmegen
23.9
Fortuna Sittard
23.4
Utrecht
23.2
Feyenoord
22.8
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
PEC Zwolle
22.5
Telstar
22.5
Willem II
22.3
Ajax
21.8
Excelsior
21.7
Groningen
20.7
Twente
20.6
Sparta Rotterdam
20.6
Heerenveen
20.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.9
PSV Eindhoven
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
37.1%
Under 21.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Heerenveen or Draw
73.6%
Avg Implied -
43%
26%
31%
covers Heerenveen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen or Excelsior
75.5%
Avg Implied -
43%
26%
31%
covers Heerenveen + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Excelsior
50.9%
Avg Implied -
43%
26%
31%
covers Draw + Excelsior
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5
Over
84.8%
Under
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 3.5
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5
Over
73.9%
Under
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5
Over
38.9%
Under
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Heerenveen, so a minus line means Heerenveen give that many goals of a start and Excelsior receive them. At -1, Heerenveen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Heerenveen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Heerenveen)
Heerenveen -2
13.1%
Draw -2
15.2%
Excelsior +2
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Heerenveen)
Heerenveen -1
28.3%
Draw -1
20.9%
Excelsior +1
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Heerenveen)
Heerenveen +1
73.6%
Draw +1
14.6%
Excelsior -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Heerenveen)
Heerenveen +2
88.2%
Draw +2
7.7%
Excelsior -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L01L00D00D00D12L00D00DH·FOR25/04A·FC 03/05A·NAC10/05A·NAC11/05H·AJA17/05A·UTR21/05H·TWE09/08A·AJA16/08H·PEC22/08A·WIL30/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.690.620.530.82
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.331.330.601.40
vs Similar (21)0.620.520.780.440.500.58
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D20W11D11D10W30W01L10WA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.600.400.800.67
vs Stronger (10)0.600.800.600.800.600.80
vs Similar (20)0.750.400.600.200.900.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L01L00D23L10W10W02L22DH·FOR25/04A·FC 03/05A·NAC10/05A·NAC11/05H·AJA17/05A·UTR21/05H·TWE09/08A·AJA16/08H·PEC22/08A·WIL30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.901.000.541.061.18
vs Stronger (8)0.620.880.330.000.801.40
vs Similar (21)1.140.901.110.671.171.08
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L11D30W21W00D22D10W11D11DA·HER20/03H·NEC04/04A·PEC12/04H·UTR26/04A·GRO02/05H·FC 10/05A·SPA17/05A·CAM07/08H·PSV15/08H·SPA29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.730.930.730.80
vs Stronger (10)0.800.901.200.800.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.850.501.000.900.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.2%-------
Under 6.595.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals95.2%-------
Under 5.5 cards90.9%-------
Under 5.589.1%-------
Home +2 handicap88.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls88.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals87.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals84.8%-------
Away under 2.5 goals84.7%-------
Over 1.582.3%-------
Under 4.5 cards80.4%-------
Under 23.5 fouls77.5%-------
Under 4.577.5%-------
Home or Away75.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals73.9%-------
Home or Draw73.6%-------
Home +1 handicap73.6%-------
Away +2 handicap71.7%-------
Over 8.5 corners71.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals70.8%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Trenskow50%
Luca Oyen33%
Maxence Rivera33%
Oliver Braude33%
Dylan Vente0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Oyen33%
Dirk Wanner Proper25%
Jacob Trenskow25%
Dylan Vente0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Oliver Braude0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Vente25%
Sam Kersten25%
Jacob Trenskow25%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Luca Oyen0%
Maxence Rivera0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Oliver Braude0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maxence Rivera33%
Oliver Braude33%
Dylan Vente25%
Jacob Trenskow25%
Sam Kersten0%
Ringo Meerveld0%
Vasilios Zagaritis0%
Dirk Wanner Proper0%
Luca Oyen0%
Marcus Linday0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Casper Widell33%
David Garden33%
Irakli Yegoian33%
Nesto Groen33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Jan Plug0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Simon Janssen33%
Jan Plug33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Irakli Yegoian67%
Simon Janssen33%
Ilano Silva Timas33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
David Garden0%
Nesto Groen0%
Aymen Sliti0%
Jan Plug0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Garden33%
Aymen Sliti33%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Casper Widell0%
Rick Meissen0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Ilano Silva Timas0%
Irakli Yegoian0%
Nesto Groen0%
Jan Plug0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
Heerenveen's squad is €34m more valuable than Excelsior's (€50m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
WI (8)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
Heerenveen's attack is €16m more valuable than Excelsior's (€24m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
Heerenveen's midfield is €4m more valuable than Excelsior's (€6m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
Heerenveen's defence is €14m more valuable than Excelsior's (€20m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HEE wins
2
Draws
2
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heerenveen vs Excelsior · H/A from HEE
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AExcelsior Vs HEE1-2
04/10/25HHEE Vs Excelsior2-1
19/01/24AExcelsior Vs HEE3-0
23/09/23HHEE Vs Excelsior0-3
13/05/23HHEE Vs Excelsior0-0
05/11/22AExcelsior Vs HEE0-1
30/03/19HHEE Vs Excelsior1-0
22/09/18AExcelsior Vs HEE3-3

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AWillem II Vs HEE2-2
22/08/26HHEE Vs PEC Zwolle0-2
16/08/26AAjax Vs HEE2-2
09/08/26HHEE Vs Twente1-0
21/05/26AUtrecht Vs HEE3-2
17/05/26HHEE Vs Ajax0-0
11/05/26ANAC Breda Vs HEE2-0
10/05/26ANAC Breda Vs HEE2-0
03/05/26AFC Volendam Vs HEE0-2
25/04/26HHEE Vs Fortuna Sittard2-1

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam2-1
15/08/26HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
07/08/26ACambuur Vs EXC0-4
17/05/26ASparta Rotterdam Vs EXC2-3
10/05/26HEXC Vs FC Volendam1-1
02/05/26AGroningen Vs EXC2-3
26/04/26HEXC Vs Utrecht5-0
12/04/26APEC Zwolle Vs EXC2-2
04/04/26HEXC Vs NEC Nijmegen0-2
20/03/26AHeracles Vs EXC1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLD1.48
HomeWWDWL1.96
AwayLLLDD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%57%30%
AVG goals3.223.043.37
Over 1.5 %90%87%93%
Over 2.5 %68%61%74%
Over 3.5 %42%35%48%
Scored1.621.831.44
Conceded1.601.221.93
BTTS62%65%59%
Clean Sheet18%22%15%
Corners10.229.8310.56
Cards3.023.003.04
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.46
HomeLWDLW1.48
AwayDDWWW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals2.962.643.28
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.581.561.60
Conceded1.381.081.68
BTTS64%52%76%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.408.969.84
Cards3.113.093.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar412
100%
3.0
133+10
4.0
100%
50%
50%
14.0
100%
2.2
25%
23.8
50%
136
6121543.20.8
53%
2PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven410
75%
2.5
155+10
5.0
100%
100%
75%
10.8
50%
2.8
25%
17.5
25%
280
106601153.81.2
61%
3FeyenoordFeyenoord48
50%
2.0
106+4
4.0
75%
75%
75%
11.8
75%
2.3
0%
17.8
25%
229
9343932.51.5
53%
4AjaxAjax37
67%
2.3
82+6
3.3
100%
67%
67%
10.0
33%
4.5
100%
21.3
67%
173
9515632.70.7
56%
5GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles47
50%
1.8
119+2
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.0
50%
2.0
0%
17.2
25%
22
9482.82.2
49%
6Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard47
50%
1.8
87+1
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.8
50%
3.0
25%
17.0
0%
17
6472.01.8
45%
7NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen36
67%
2.0
84+4
4.0
100%
100%
67%
10.7
67%
3.0
67%
26.3
100%
54
225262.71.3
57%
8TwenteTwente36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
67%
67%
67%
10.7
67%
2.5
0%
16.7
0%
87
3413392.31.0
54%
9ExcelsiorExcelsior36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
10.3
67%
2.0
0%
16.3
0%
16
7362.31.0
48%
10GroningenGroningen46
50%
1.5
910-1
4.8
100%
100%
75%
8.8
25%
2.8
25%
19.8
50%
32
126142.22.5
50%
11HeerenveenHeerenveen45
25%
1.2
56-1
2.8
75%
50%
50%
10.5
50%
2.7
33%
14.5
0%
50
246201.21.5
51%
12Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam44
25%
1.0
77+0
3.5
75%
75%
50%
12.2
100%
2.7
0%
23.0
50%
28
142121.81.8
47%
13PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle43
25%
0.8
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
9.8
50%
3.3
67%
20.0
50%
21
84101.02.0
45%
14TelstarTelstar33
33%
1.0
38-5
3.7
100%
100%
67%
12.3
67%
3.0
50%
26.7
100%
8
3231.02.7
45%
15Willem IIWillem II31
0%
0.3
410-6
4.7
100%
100%
100%
9.0
33%
2.0
0%
19.3
33%
13
4451.33.3
-
16ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag41
0%
0.2
411-7
3.8
100%
75%
75%
11.2
50%
2.0
0%
20.5
75%
13
7151.02.8
-
17UtrechtUtrecht41
0%
0.2
615-9
5.2
100%
100%
75%
10.8
75%
4.7
67%
29.5
100%
61
3314151.53.8
47%
18CambuurCambuur40
0%
0.0
416-12
5.0
100%
100%
100%
10.8
75%
1.7
0%
20.5
25%
12
3181.04.0
-
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

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