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Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 1-1
Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen
Vs
34%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This Lithuania: A Lyga match between Hegelmann Litauen and Banga is finely balanced, with Hegelmann Litauen's recent form a major storyline. After three straight defeats, Hegelmann Litauen will be looking to bounce back, but their struggles at home are evident, with an average of scoring 2 goals and conceding 1 against weaker opponents.

Banga, on the other hand, has shown resilience, coming off a defeat but having a strong away form, scoring 1.18 goals and conceding 1.36 against stronger opponents. The model predicts an away win, with a 37% chance of Banga taking the three points.

The expected total goals is 2.8, and the most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.2% chance. The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.7% chance of occurring. In terms of match result probabilities, Hegelmann Litauen has a 35% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 37% chance of losing to Banga.

Results analysis

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, Banga, failed to secure the win, with the match ending in a 1-1 draw. Hegelmann Litauen, coming off a draw, and Banga, also fresh from a draw, both held their own. The model had picked an away win with a 39 % probability, but that call was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 (98.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.1 %) hit, Under 6.5 (96.8 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.5 %) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.5 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (94.4 %) hit, and Away under 3.5 goals (92.9 %) hit. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure appears only once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.37
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.50
Unibet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.45
1xBet
3.41
Betfair
3.40
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.22
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.30
Banga win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 45.5% · @ 1.97
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.02
SBO
2.01
William Hil
2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L21W41W02L11D15L20W23L12L02LA·FK 02/11H·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.271.751.251.001.28
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.181.551.891.440.691.62
vs Weaker (8)1.620.501.330.671.800.40
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D60W00D40W00D31W01L31W03L32WA·FK 26/10H·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.100.921.171.441.06
vs Stronger (11)0.551.450.001.401.001.50
vs Similar (18)1.500.941.571.001.450.91
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
@ 1.27+9.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
@ 3.12-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.94+9.5%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 1.74-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Unibet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Superbet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
@ 3.28+6.9%
Under 3.5
65.5%
@ 1.25-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Unibet
3.30
Under
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.8%
@ 1.76+9.3%
No
39.2%
@ 1.88-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Betfair
1.80
William Hil
1.75
No
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.4%@ 5.87+5.1%
1-2
8.7%@ 7.77+3.2%
2-1
8.1%@ 10.94+4.1%
0-1
6.8%@ 6.55+0.2%
0-0
6.3%@ 8.58+1.3%
2-2
6.2%@ 13.13+2.9%
1-0
6.2%@ 9.08+1.5%
0-2
6.1%@ 8.57+1.1%
Hegelmann Litauen goals ↓
Banga goals →
01234
06.3%6.8%6.1%3.1%1.2%
16.2%12%8.7%4.5%1.7%
25.2%8.1%6.2%3.2%1.2%
32.5%3.8%2.9%1.5%0.6%
40.9%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hegelmann Litauen goals (down), columns = Banga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Hegelmann Litauen is 0.62 points worse than Banga in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga are level in goals scored per game (both 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Hegelmann Litauen is 0.50 goals worse than Banga in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hegelmann Litauen or Draw✓ Hit
60.7%
Avg Implied 53.3% · @ 1.70
Edge
+7.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Hegelmann Litauen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.75
SBO
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.67
Hegelmann Litauen or Banga✗ Miss
73.3%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
+0.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Hegelmann Litauen + Banga
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Banga✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 73.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
-8.0%
34%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Banga
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Betfair
1.25
1xBet
1.24

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.44+12.0%
Under
24.1%
@ 2.55-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.70
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.41
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.6%
@ 3.06+11.5%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.32-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Under
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 7.72+5.4%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.04-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.30
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Under
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 13.00-1.6%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Banga over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.6%
@ 1.21+2.3%
Under
21.4%
@ 3.88-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Superbet
3.70
Banga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.6%
@ 2.06+0.8%
Under
54.4%
@ 1.67-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Banga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 4.34-0.9%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.16+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Under
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
Banga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 8.55-3.7%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.04+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Hegelmann Litauen, so a minus line means Hegelmann Litauen give that many goals of a start and Banga receive them. At -1, Hegelmann Litauen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hegelmann Litauen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hegelmann Litauen)Actual: Banga
Hegelmann Litauen -2
6.0%
@ 21.00+1.5%
Draw -2
10.3%
@ 11.00+1.8%
Banga +2
83.8%
@ 1.07-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Handicap -1 (Hegelmann Litauen)Actual: Banga
Hegelmann Litauen -1
16.2%
@ 7.70+4.8%
Draw -1
17.8%
@ 5.03+0.2%
Banga +1
65.9%
@ 1.25-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.90
Bet365
7.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Hegelmann Litauen)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen +1
60.7%
@ 1.69+9.6%
Draw +1
19.4%
@ 3.50-5.3%
Banga -1
19.9%
@ 3.58-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.00
Away
Marathonbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.60
Unibet
3.10
Handicap +2 (Hegelmann Litauen)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen +2
80.1%
@ 1.22+6.5%
Draw +2
12.0%
@ 5.83-3.3%
Banga -2
7.9%
@ 8.10-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Marathonbet
6.15
Bet365
5.50
Away
Marathonbet
8.70
Bet365
7.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D30W00D00D03L20W11D01L02LA·FK 02/11H·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.400.920.330.560.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.551.000.440.310.62
vs Weaker (8)1.000.000.670.001.200.00
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W00D20W00D11D01L21W02L11DA·FK 26/10H·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.420.580.720.39
vs Stronger (11)0.180.550.000.400.330.67
vs Similar (18)0.780.440.710.710.820.27
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.8%
@ 1.37+6.6%
Under 0.5
27.2%
@ 2.68-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.37
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.88
Pinnacle
2.81
1xBet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.75+3.3%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.36-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.84
William Hil
2.80
Marathonbet
2.79
1xBet
2.79
Under
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 6.50-1.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.06+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.20
Under
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.4%
@ 2.38+9.9%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.49-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.5%
@ 9.30+5.7%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.01-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 1.88-5.5%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.81+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 5.95-4.6%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.07+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W11D02L11D12L00D12L11D00DA·FK 02/11H·SUD08/11A·TAU21/04A·TRA20/05A·PAN04/07A·SUD20/07A·ŠIA24/07H·FK 27/07H·TRA02/08A·KAU08/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.870.830.920.440.83
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.591.000.891.000.381.00
vs Weaker (8)0.620.500.670.670.600.40
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W00D20W00D20W00D10W01L21WA·FK 26/10H·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.500.580.720.67
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.001.000.670.83
vs Similar (18)0.720.500.860.290.640.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.6%
@ 1.24+4.5%
Under 0.5
21.4%
@ 3.55-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.45
William Hil
3.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 2.17+6.1%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.60-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.8%
@ 4.71+2.2%
Under 2.5
78.2%
@ 1.15-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Under
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.4%
@ 2.02+9.9%
Under
44.6%
@ 1.68-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 6.58+6.0%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.06-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.65
1xBet
6.50
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.2%
@ 1.62-5.5%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.12+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 4.15-4.4%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.17+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.596.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals95.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.5%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+1.6%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals92.9%1.04
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.03
---+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.9%1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
---0.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.3%1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
---+4.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.0%1.06
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+1.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals84.5%1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
----5.7%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap83.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----3.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals82.8%1.04
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
--5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.4%1.17
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
---+4.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.582.1%1.06
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-3.4%✓ Hit
Over 1.580.7%1.27
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
+9.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.2%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.05
----6.0%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.1%1.22
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.18
---+6.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals79.8%1.16
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
-+0.9%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.6%1.21
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.19
--+2.3%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.6%1.24
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.22
-+4.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.2%1.15
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.13
--2.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals75.9%1.44
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
+12.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away73.3%1.24
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+0.5%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals72.8%1.37
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.37
+6.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Hegelmann Litauen and Banga have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HL wins
3
Draws
1
BAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hegelmann Litauen vs Banga · H/A from HL
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25HHL Vs Banga0-0
13/08/25ABanga Vs HL0-1
31/05/25HHL Vs Banga2-0
01/03/25ABanga Vs HL2-0
09/11/24ABanga Vs HL1-1
29/09/24ABanga Vs HL0-0
16/08/24HHL Vs Banga3-0
12/07/24ABanga Vs HL2-4

Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs HL2-0
02/08/26HHL Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-2
27/07/26HHL Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-3
24/07/26AŠiauliai Vs HL0-2
20/07/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs HL5-1
04/07/26APanevėžys Vs HL1-1
20/05/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs HL2-0
21/04/26ATauras Vs HL1-4
08/11/25HHL Vs Suduva Marijampole2-1
02/11/25AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs HL3-1

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs BAN2-3
09/08/26HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-3
03/08/26AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-3
19/07/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN1-0
12/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs BAN1-3
20/05/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN0-0
21/04/26AVilniaus Vytis Vs BAN0-4
08/11/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-0
02/11/25HBAN Vs Dainava6-0
26/10/25AFK Trakai Vs BAN2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hegelmann Litauen
Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.68
HomeDWWLL1.91
AwayLDLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%59%46%
AVG goals2.823.002.68
Over 1.5 %76%82%71%
Over 2.5 %52%64%43%
Over 3.5 %30%32%29%
Scored1.561.821.36
Conceded1.261.181.32
BTTS48%64%36%
Clean Sheet32%23%39%
Corners---
Cards---
Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.20
HomeLLDWL1.00
AwayDWLWW1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals2.222.092.33
Over 1.5 %64%65%63%
Over 2.5 %36%26%44%
Over 3.5 %22%13%30%
Scored1.100.961.22
Conceded1.121.131.11
BTTS34%30%37%
Clean Sheet30%26%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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