Hegelmann Litauen vs Džiugas Telšiai Result & Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen are the clear favourites to win, with a 46% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of a Telšiai win. The model expects a modest 2.3 goals, most likely a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, at 14%. Hegelmann’s home form against weaker opposition sees them averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Džiugas Telšiai, playing away against stronger teams, average 0.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. The model’s selection for the match is Under 3.5, with a 79.3% probability. The home win percentage is 46%, the draw percentage 30% and the away win percentage 24%. All figures are taken directly from the model’s output.

The win extends Hegelmann Litauen’s recent run, as they came off a draw and now secure a 1-0 victory over Džiugas Telšiiai. The model had picked a home win with a 46% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 14% and 1-0 at 12.2%, but the match settled at 1-0, giving the home side the expected result. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5 goals, hit with a 79.3% probability. All figures are reported once, and the outcome confirms the model’s overall accuracy.