This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
1.07
1.13
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.96
1.07
1.14
1.14
0.79
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.3%
Under 1.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.2%
No
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
11.8%
1-0 ✓
10.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
Helsingborg goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.5%
2.4%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.6%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
3
2.6%
2.9%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Helsingborg goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.17
Kalmar FF
2.13
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.87
Oddevold
1.60
Falkenbergs FF
1.53
Hammarby Talang
1.50
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.43
Sandviken
1.37
Landskrona BoIS
1.37
IK brage
1.37
Helsingborg
1.37
GIF Sundsvall
1.33
Ostersunds FK
1.20
Utsikten
0.97
Orebro SK
0.78
Trelleborg
0.73
Umeå FC
0.63
Helsingborg and IK brage are level in average points per game (both 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vasteras SK FK
2.07
Norrby IF
2.00
Orgryte IS
1.90
Falkenbergs FF
1.77
Kalmar FF
1.73
IK brage
1.70
Utsikten
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.50
Oddevold
1.40
Helsingborg
1.40
Landskrona BoIS
1.30
Orebro SK
1.25
Sandviken
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Umeå FC
1.00
Trelleborg
0.77
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Helsingborg is 0.30 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby Talang
0.50
Kalmar FF
0.70
Vasteras SK FK
1.00
Orgryte IS
1.10
Falkenbergs FF
1.20
Oddevold
1.20
GIF Sundsvall
1.27
Helsingborg
1.30
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.40
Norrby IF
1.50
Sandviken
1.57
Landskrona BoIS
1.57
Ostersunds FK
1.70
IK brage
1.70
Trelleborg
1.70
Orebro SK
1.72
Utsikten
1.78
Umeå FC
1.90
Helsingborg is 0.40 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby Talang
64%
Landskrona BoIS
63%
Sandviken
56%
Ostersunds FK
56%
Kalmar FF
53%
Vasteras SK FK
53%
Orebro SK
52%
IK brage
52%
GIF Sundsvall
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Helsingborg
48%
Utsikten
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Varbergs BoIS FC
46%
Umeå FC
44%
Oddevold
44%
Norrby IF
42%
Falkenbergs FF
41%
Helsingborg is 4.3 percentage points worse than IK brage in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Helsingborg
For 2.9 · Against 6.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
For 4.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 15.1 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Helsingborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.4
9.4
2.4
2.4
2.3
23.2
22.6
23.8
vs Stronger (5)
7.3
8.0
6.0
3.2
3.3
3.0
26.0
23.0
32.0
vs Similar (45)
10.7
12.0
9.6
2.3
2.2
2.3
22.9
22.5
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
71%
50%
36%
38%
35%
60%
57%
62%
% under line
40%
29%
50%
64%
62%
65%
40%
43%
38%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
10.7
11.3
1.9
1.5
2.3
24.0
23.4
24.7
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
-
8.0
0.7
0.0
1.0
9.0
-
9.0
vs Similar (47)
11.1
10.7
11.5
2.0
1.5
2.5
24.6
23.4
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
83%
87%
80%
26%
12%
38%
63%
60%
67%
% under line
17%
13%
20%
74%
88%
62%
37%
40%
33%
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Orgryte IS
11.6
Trelleborg
10.8
Helsingborg
10.7
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Vasteras SK FK
10.7
IK brage
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.4
GIF Sundsvall
10.4
Umeå FC
10.3
Utsikten
10.3
Sandviken
10.2
Orebro SK
10.1
Ostersunds FK
10.1
Norrby IF
9.9
Kalmar FF
9.9
Oddevold
9.3
Falkenbergs FF
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.3
Umeå FC
5.0
Norrby IF
4.3
Falkenbergs FF
4.3
Ostersunds FK
4.2
Landskrona BoIS
4.2
Helsingborg
4.2
Orgryte IS
4.0
Sandviken
4.0
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.9
Oddevold
3.8
Orebro SK
3.7
Trelleborg
3.7
IK brage
3.4
Vasteras SK FK
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Kalmar FF
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Umeå FC
28.8
Utsikten
28.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.0
Falkenbergs FF
25.7
Ostersunds FK
25.6
Trelleborg
25.1
Norrby IF
24.6
Helsingborg
24.4
IK brage
24.3
Sandviken
24.2
Landskrona BoIS
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.8
Orebro SK
23.6
Vasteras SK FK
23.1
Orgryte IS
22.7
GIF Sundsvall
20.6
Oddevold
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
63.0%
Under 9.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.1%
Under 3.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.6%
Under 21.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.63
1.00
0.92
0.65
0.41
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.50
1.00
0.60
0.69
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.53
0.60
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.39
0.64
0.57
0.57
0.21
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Helsingborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.38
0.62
0.76
0.82
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.33
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.65
0.40
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.40
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Helsingborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Helsingborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Helsingborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Helsingborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Svanback36%
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Oscar Aga21%
Marcus Gudmann20%
Ervin Gigović9%
Max Svensson7%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wilhelm Nilsson42%
Adrian Svanback27%
Simon Bengtsson25%
Ture Görefält25%
Johan Brattberg15%
Samuel Asoma14%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen8%
Adam Akimey8%
Lukas Kjellnas8%
Benjamin Orn8%
Max Svensson7%
Oscar Aga0%
Wilhelm Loeper0%
Ervin Gigović0%
William Westerlund0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Wilhelm Loeper21%
Lukas Kjellnas15%
Jon Birkfeldt11%
Marcus Gudmann10%
Ervin Gigović9%
Adam Akimey8%
Oscar Aga0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
William Westerlund0%
Adrian Svanback0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Wilhelm Loeper29%
Adrian Svanback18%
Oscar Aga14%
Marcus Gudmann0%
Jon Birkfeldt0%
Max Svensson0%
Johan Brattberg0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Wilhelm Nilsson0%
Milan Justin Silva Rasmussen0%
Ervin Gigović0%
Simon Bengtsson0%
Lukas Kjellnas0%
William Westerlund0%
Benjamin Orn0%
Adam Akimey0%
Casper Ljung Hofvendahl0%
Alvin Nordin0%
Ture Görefält0%
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amar Muhsin50%
Filip Trpčevski29%
Anton Lundin14%
Teodor Walemark14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Pontus Jonsson9%
Marinus Larsen9%
Gustav Nordh7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Haris Brkic0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Östberg0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin43%
Jacob Stensson29%
Teodor Walemark29%
Gustav Berggren27%
Alexander Zetterstrom21%
Cesar Weilid20%
Malte Persson15%
Haris Brkic14%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Lorik Konjuhi14%
Noah Astrand John10%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Noah Östberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Noah Östberg43%
Filip Trpčevski21%
Haris Brkic14%
Gustav Nordh13%
Cesar Weilid10%
Anton Lundin7%
Amar Muhsin7%
Gustav Berggren7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Malte Persson0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Marinus Larsen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amar Muhsin21%
Filip Trpčevski14%
Marinus Larsen9%
Emil Tot Wikstrom8%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Haris Brkic0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Teodor Walemark0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Lorik Konjuhi0%
Noah Astrand John0%
Noah Östberg0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
NI (17)
€3m
HT (2)
€0m
Helsingborg's squad is €2m more valuable than IK brage's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KF (8)
€4m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
Helsingborg's attack is €1m more valuable than IK brage's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (6)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
HT (0)
€0m
Helsingborg and IK brage have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
HT (1)
€0m
Helsingborg and IK brage have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →