Hertha BSC’s recent three-game winning streak, highlighted by a 5-3 victory over Eintracht Braunschweig, fuels confidence at home, while 1. FC Magdeburg’s two-game run, capped by a 2-0 win over Holstein Kiel, suggests they are ready to challenge. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with probabilities of 41% for a Hertha victory, 27% for a draw and 33% for a Magdeburg win. The expected total goals sit at 3.0, yet the most probable total is two goals, a 1-1 scoreline carrying a 12.4% chance. Hertha averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against similar opposition; Magdeburg averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.77 conceded on the road against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.8% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5% with a 7% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.8% with a 6% edge), Under 6.5 (96.6% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (93.5% with a 2% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (93.3% with a 9% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.9% with a 6% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hertha BSC win
40.6%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 1.93
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.99
Unibet
1.98
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.73
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
Betfair
3.90
Unibet
3.85
Dafabet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
1. FC Magdeburg win
32.8%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.47
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.65
Pinnacle
3.64
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.54
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hertha BSC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.40
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.64
1.43
1.29
1.00
2.00
1.86
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.63
1.38
1.62
2.07
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.66
1.69
1.38
1.62
2.00
1.77
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hertha BSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.6%
@ 1.12-2.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
@ 5.54+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.74
Unibet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.8%
@ 1.45-7.4%
Under 2.5
43.2%
@ 2.60+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Bet365
1.48
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.65
Unibet
2.63
10Bet
2.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.4%
@ 2.13-9.7%
Under 3.5
65.6%
@ 1.68+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Under
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Both teams to score
Yes
60.6%
@ 1.42-4.5%
No
39.4%
@ 2.65+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
No
Betfair
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.69
Betano
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 7.51+6.4%
2-1
8.9%@ 8.10+3.3%
1-2
7.9%@ 11.21+3.8%
1-0
7.0%@ 10.76+2.8%
2-0
6.4%@ 11.50+2.4%
0-0
6.3%@ 16.77+3.6%
2-2
6.2%@ 10.41+1.8%
0-1
6.1%@ 14.54+3.0%
Hertha BSC goals ↓
1. FC Magdeburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
6.1%
5.0%
2.3%
0.8%
1
7.0%
12%
7.9%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.4%
8.9%
6.2%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.3%
4.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hertha BSC goals (down), columns = 1. FC Magdeburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.14
Hannover 96
1.76
1. FC Heidenheim
1.64
FC St. Pauli
1.58
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
Hertha BSC
1.50
1. FC Nürnberg
1.35
VfL Bochum
1.29
Karlsruher SC
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
1.21
Arminia Bielefeld
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg
1.15
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.11
Energie Cottbus
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.09
VfL Osnabrück
1.07
Hertha BSC is 0.35 points better than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VfL Wolfsburg
2.18
Hannover 96
1.76
SV Darmstadt 98
1.68
1. FC Heidenheim
1.67
FC St. Pauli
1.62
Dynamo Dresden
1.59
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
Karlsruher SC
1.56
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg
1.53
VfL Bochum
1.44
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.42
Hertha BSC
1.38
1. FC Nürnberg
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.29
Energie Cottbus
1.12
VfL Osnabrück
1.09
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.06
Hertha BSC is 0.15 goals worse than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
VfL Wolfsburg
0.93
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
FC St. Pauli
1.26
Hannover 96
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.29
SV Darmstadt 98
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.38
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1.38
Holstein Kiel
1.41
Arminia Bielefeld
1.50
Dynamo Dresden
1.56
Eintracht Braunschweig
1.59
1. FC Magdeburg
1.71
Energie Cottbus
1.82
VfL Osnabrück
1.87
Karlsruher SC
1.88
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.92
Hertha BSC is 0.41 goals better than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hannover 96
56%
1. FC Magdeburg
54%
Arminia Bielefeld
52%
Holstein Kiel
52%
SV Darmstadt 98
51%
Dynamo Dresden
50%
1. FC Nürnberg
49%
Hertha BSC
49%
Karlsruher SC
48%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
48%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
48%
VfL Bochum
46%
Eintracht Braunschweig
44%
Hertha BSC is 5.4 percentage points worse than 1. FC Magdeburg in terms of average possession (49% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hertha BSC
For 4.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
1. FC Magdeburg
For 5.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hertha BSC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.4
4.7
4.4
4.9
24.1
23.1
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (45)
10.4
10.5
10.1
4.6
4.3
4.9
24.0
23.2
25.0
vs Weaker (5)
11.2
9.0
11.8
5.4
7.0
5.0
24.6
21.0
25.5
% over line
56%
56%
56%
72%
68%
76%
70%
68%
72%
% under line
44%
44%
44%
28%
32%
24%
30%
32%
28%
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.7
4.7
5.1
4.3
23.7
23.2
24.2
vs Stronger (1)
6.0
6.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
14.0
14.0
-
vs Similar (45)
10.0
9.3
10.7
4.8
5.3
4.4
23.8
23.4
24.2
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
11.0
10.5
3.8
4.0
3.5
24.8
25.0
24.5
% over line
52%
42%
62%
74%
85%
62%
68%
54%
83%
% under line
48%
58%
38%
26%
15%
38%
32%
46%
17%
This opponent (Hertha BSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Energie Cottbus
13.7
VfL Wolfsburg
11.7
VfL Osnabrück
10.9
Dynamo Dresden
10.7
VfL Bochum
10.5
Hannover 96
10.5
SV Darmstadt 98
10.5
Hertha BSC
10.4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10.3
Eintracht Braunschweig
10.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
10.2
Holstein Kiel
10.1
1. FC Magdeburg
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
FC St. Pauli
9.6
1. FC Nürnberg
9.6
Karlsruher SC
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Holstein Kiel
5.4
Eintracht Braunschweig
5.1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
5.0
1. FC Nürnberg
4.9
VfL Bochum
4.9
Hannover 96
4.8
Hertha BSC
4.8
1. FC Magdeburg
4.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.6
VfL Osnabrück
4.6
Karlsruher SC
4.6
Dynamo Dresden
4.2
Arminia Bielefeld
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.0
FC St. Pauli
3.7
1. FC Heidenheim
3.7
VfL Wolfsburg
3.6
Energie Cottbus
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Holstein Kiel
26.5
Energie Cottbus
26.3
Hannover 96
26.2
Arminia Bielefeld
25.6
1. FC Kaiserslautern
25.4
VfL Osnabrück
25.2
1. FC Nürnberg
24.9
Eintracht Braunschweig
24.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
24.3
Hertha BSC
24.1
1. FC Magdeburg
23.7
SV Darmstadt 98
23.6
Karlsruher SC
23.2
Dynamo Dresden
23.1
VfL Bochum
23.0
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
1. FC Heidenheim
20.5
FC St. Pauli
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.9%
@ 1.70+7.3%
Under 9.5
38.1%
@ 2.04-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Unibet
1.57
Under
Unibet
2.20
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.96
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
67.2%
Under 21.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hertha BSC or Draw
63.6%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
-9.6%
41%
27%
33%
covers Hertha BSC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Hertha BSC or 1. FC Magdeburg
73.5%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
-2.4%
41%
27%
33%
covers Hertha BSC + 1. FC Magdeburg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
63.0%
Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.84
Edge
+12.0%
41%
27%
33%
covers Draw + 1. FC Magdeburg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.87
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hertha BSC over/under 0.5
Over
77.9%
@ 1.11-6.1%
Under
22.1%
@ 5.83+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.50
Pinnacle
6.39
Betfair
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Hertha BSC over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
@ 1.61-13.3%
Under
55.5%
@ 2.21+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Betano
2.22
Hertha BSC over/under 2.5
Over
19.3%
@ 2.92-12.5%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.37+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Hertha BSC over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
@ 6.08-8.7%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.10+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5
Over
77.6%
@ 1.24+2.9%
Under
22.4%
@ 3.65-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.64
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5
Over
44.1%
@ 2.24+2.5%
Under
55.9%
@ 1.59-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5
Over
19.0%
@ 5.07+0.7%
Under
81.0%
@ 1.14-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Pinnacle
5.46
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 3.5
Over
6.5%
@ 11.50-1.7%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.03+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hertha BSC, so a minus line means Hertha BSC give that many goals of a start and 1. FC Magdeburg receive them. At -1, Hertha BSC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hertha BSC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hertha BSC)
Hertha BSC -2
7.1%
@ 6.27-7.2%
Draw -2
11.3%
@ 5.47-5.1%
1. FC Magdeburg +2
81.6%
@ 1.30+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.10
Unibet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.25
Away
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Hertha BSC)
Hertha BSC -1
18.4%
@ 3.17-9.9%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 4.02-3.7%
1. FC Magdeburg +1
63.0%
@ 1.82+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Betfair
3.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.85
10Bet
3.80
Away
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.77
Handicap +1 (Hertha BSC)
Hertha BSC +1
63.6%
@ 1.28-7.1%
Draw +1
18.5%
@ 5.49+2.0%
1. FC Magdeburg -1
18.0%
@ 7.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Away
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Handicap +2 (Hertha BSC)
Hertha BSC +2
82.0%
@ 1.07-3.8%
Draw +2
11.1%
@ 10.50+2.3%
1. FC Magdeburg -2
6.9%
@ 17.00+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Away
Betfair
17.00
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hertha BSC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
0.67
0.27
1.07
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.54
0.64
0.29
1.07
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.44
0.81
1.14
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.72
0.83
0.44
0.81
1.08
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Hertha BSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.23-2.2%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.77+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.11-8.0%
Under 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.67+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Unibet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 4.59-7.6%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.16+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Under
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hertha BSC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.4%
@ 1.61-1.2%
Under
43.6%
@ 2.19+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.15
Hertha BSC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.7%
@ 4.01-3.4%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.21+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Hertha BSC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 9.62-7.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.1%
@ 2.00-8.5%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.74+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.9%
@ 6.12-6.2%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.09+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
Betano
6.00
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 16.50-4.3%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hertha BSC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.67
0.73
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.89
0.64
0.71
0.93
1.07
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (1. FC Magdeburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
1. FC Magdeburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
0.94
0.81
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.93
0.86
0.94
0.81
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hertha BSC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.0%
@ 1.12-0.9%
Under 0.5
18.0%
@ 5.44+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Under
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.65
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.2%
@ 1.66-7.8%
Under 1.5
51.8%
@ 2.12+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Unibet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.5%
@ 3.03-10.1%
Under 2.5
79.5%
@ 1.34+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
2.93
Marathonbet
2.93
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hertha BSC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
60.3%
@ 1.41-5.5%
Under
39.7%
@ 2.72+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Under
Betano
2.77
10Bet
2.75
1xBet
2.65
Hertha BSC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
23.5%
@ 2.90-8.4%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.35+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Hertha BSC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.1%
@ 7.00-6.1%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.06+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.0%
@ 1.69-4.8%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.02
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.6%
@ 4.44-7.3%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.17+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1. FC Magdeburg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.2%
@ 10.75-5.6%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.6%
Under 6.5
96.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+3.8%
Away under 3.5 goals
93.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+1.7%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+8.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.1%
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.09
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
+6.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+6.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+7.6%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.4%
1.17
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+7.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-0.9%
Home +2 handicap
82.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-
-3.8%
Away +2 handicap
81.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+12.3%
Under 4.5
81.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.25
+7.8%
Away under 2.5 goals
81.0%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.13
-0.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.7%
1.37
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
+12.5%
Over 1.5
80.6%
1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
Pinnacle
1.14
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-2.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.3%
1.21
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+3.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.34
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.30
+10.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
77.9%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Pinnacle
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-6.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
77.6%
1.24
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+2.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.35
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
-
+8.4%
Home or Away
73.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-2.4%
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
1.40
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.41
Unibet
1.34
-
-
+7.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.23
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-2.2%
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hertha BSC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastian Grønning50%
Oluwaseun Adewumi50%
Deyovaisio Zeefuik33%
Josip Brekalo25%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson25%
Paul Seguin25%
Kevin Sessa0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Niklas Kolbe0%
Jan Luca Schuler0%
Márton Dárdai0%
Linus Gechter0%
Julian Eitschberger0%
Pascal Klemens0%
Soufian Gouram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson50%
Paul Seguin50%
Linus Gechter50%
Julian Eitschberger50%
Deyovaisio Zeefuik33%
Josip Brekalo25%
Kevin Sessa25%
Oluwaseun Adewumi25%
Pascal Klemens25%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Niklas Kolbe0%
Jan Luca Schuler0%
Márton Dárdai0%
Soufian Gouram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josip Brekalo50%
Jan Luca Schuler25%
Soufian Gouram25%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson0%
Sebastian Grønning0%
Kevin Sessa0%
Paul Seguin0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Deyovaisio Zeefuik0%
Niklas Kolbe0%
Márton Dárdai0%
Linus Gechter0%
Julian Eitschberger0%
Oluwaseun Adewumi0%
Pascal Klemens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebastian Grønning50%
Josip Brekalo25%
Kevin Sessa25%
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson0%
Paul Seguin0%
Marius Gersbeck0%
Deyovaisio Zeefuik0%
Niklas Kolbe0%
Jan Luca Schuler0%
Márton Dárdai0%
Linus Gechter0%
Julian Eitschberger0%
Oluwaseun Adewumi0%
Pascal Klemens0%
Soufian Gouram0%
1. FC Magdeburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mateusz Żukowski67%
Emmanuel Iyoha33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Barış Atik0%
Tobias Müller0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Falko Michel0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Magnus Baars0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pierre Nadjombe67%
Barış Atik33%
Tobias Müller33%
Mateusz Żukowski33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Falko Michel33%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Emmanuel Iyoha0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Magnus Baars0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barış Atik100%
Tobias Müller33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Luka Hyryläinen33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Emmanuel Iyoha0%
Mateusz Żukowski0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Falko Michel0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Magnus Baars0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mateusz Żukowski100%
Emmanuel Iyoha33%
Alexander Nollenberger33%
Falko Michel33%
Dominik Reimann0%
Barış Atik0%
Tobias Müller0%
Richmond Tachie0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Pierre Nadjombe0%
Luka Hyryläinen0%
Magnus Baars0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (33)
€154m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
1FK (26)
€28m
HB (24)
€25m
SD9 (28)
€24m
1FM (26)
€21m
EB (27)
€21m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
EC (26)
€11m
VO (25)
€10m
Hertha BSC's squad is €3m more valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€25m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (10)
€56m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
1FK (9)
€12m
1FM (9)
€10m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
HB (8)
€8m
EB (8)
€7m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
EC (10)
€4m
SGF (6)
€4m
Hertha BSC's attack is €2m less valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€8m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (8)
€32m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
1FK (6)
€5m
EB (7)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
1FM (4)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VO (7)
€3m
EC (4)
€2m
Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VW (15)
€66m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
1FK (11)
€11m
SGF (10)
€9m
EB (12)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
1FM (13)
€7m
EC (12)
€5m
VO (9)
€3m
Hertha BSC's defence is €5m more valuable than 1. FC Magdeburg's (€13m vs €7m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
1. FC Nürnberg
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Kaiserslautern
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Karlsruher SC
Eintracht Braunschweig
Arminia Bielefeld
VfL Bochum
Energie Cottbus
Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
SV Darmstadt 98