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Hillerød vs Vendsyssel FF Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 2-2
Hillerød
Hillerød
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hillerød win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L42W00D00D03L31W30W14L03L11DA·ODE10/08H·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.331.791.711.881.00
vs Stronger (1)1.004.001.004.00--
vs Similar (24)1.581.081.551.451.620.77
vs Weaker (5)3.202.003.502.003.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W13L03L11D02L21W03L20W05L01LH·KOL10/08A·ESB17/08H·HOB21/08A·AC 24/08A·ODE30/08A·KOL03/09H·HIL14/09A·HB 20/09H·BRO25/09H·HVI28/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.871.432.071.251.69
vs Stronger (30)1.331.871.432.071.251.69
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.0%
No
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
0-0
6.3%
2-2 ✓
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
Hillerød goals ↓
Vendsyssel FF goals →
01234
06.3%5.6%4.4%1.9%0.6%
17.5%12%7.2%3.1%1.0%
27.2%9.3%6.0%2.6%0.8%
34.0%5.2%3.3%1.4%0.5%
41.7%2.1%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hillerød goals (down), columns = Vendsyssel FF goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odense
2.03
FC Fredericia
2.00
Hillerød
1.62
AC Horsens
1.59
Kolding IF
1.56
Hvidovre
1.41
Esbjerg
1.28
Hobro
1.22
B 93
1.09
HB Koge
1.06
Vendsyssel FF
0.94
Roskilde
0.81
Hillerød is 0.69 points better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odense
2.16
FC Fredericia
2.03
Hillerød
1.75
Esbjerg
1.62
AC Horsens
1.53
B 93
1.31
Hobro
1.22
Roskilde
1.16
Kolding IF
1.12
HB Koge
1.12
Vendsyssel FF
1.09
Hvidovre
1.03
Hillerød is 0.66 goals better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolding IF
0.88
FC Fredericia
0.94
Hvidovre
1.09
Odense
1.09
Hillerød
1.19
AC Horsens
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.53
Hobro
1.59
Esbjerg
1.75
HB Koge
1.78
B 93
1.91
Roskilde
1.91
Hillerød is 0.34 goals better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D00D01L31W20W02L01L11DA·ODE10/08H·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.640.710.940.44
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (24)0.710.420.550.550.850.31
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.501.001.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D01L10W01L21W02L20W04L00DH·KOL10/08A·ESB17/08H·HOB21/08A·AC 24/08A·ODE30/08A·KOL03/09H·HIL14/09A·HB 20/09H·BRO25/09H·HVI28/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.501.210.810.62
vs Stronger (30)0.670.900.501.210.810.62
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HillerødHillerød

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D00D02L00D10W12L02L00DA·ODE10/08H·HB 16/08A·HVI20/08A·B 923/08H·KOL30/08A·OKS03/09A·VEN14/09H·FC 17/09H·FC 23/09A·ESB29/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.771.141.000.940.56
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (24)0.880.671.000.910.770.46
vs Weaker (5)1.801.002.001.001.671.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L02L01L01L00D01L00D01L01LH·KOL10/08A·ESB17/08H·HOB21/08A·AC 24/08A·ODE30/08A·KOL03/09H·HIL14/09A·HB 20/09H·BRO25/09H·HVI28/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.970.930.860.441.06
vs Stronger (30)0.670.970.930.860.441.06
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hillerød) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hillerød over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hillerød over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (24)
€17m
AH (27)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Hillerød's squad is €3m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€4m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€8m
AH (9)
€4m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Hillerød and Vendsyssel FF have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Hillerød and Vendsyssel FF have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€7m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Hillerød's defence is €2m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
HIL wins
1
Draws
1
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hillerød vs Vendsyssel FF · H/A from HIL
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL0-3
23/02/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL4-4
19/08/23HHIL Vs Vendsyssel FF2-0
08/10/22HHIL Vs Vendsyssel FF2-0
22/07/22AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL5-1

HillerødHillerød

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24AEsbjerg Vs HIL1-1
23/09/24HHIL Vs FC Fredericia0-3
17/09/24HHIL Vs FC Midtjylland1-4
14/09/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HIL0-3
03/09/24AOKS Vs HIL1-3
30/08/24HHIL Vs Kolding IF0-3
23/08/24AB 93 Vs HIL0-0
20/08/24AHvidovre Vs HIL0-0
16/08/24HHIL Vs HB Koge4-2
10/08/24AOdense Vs HIL1-0

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24HVF Vs Hvidovre0-1
25/09/24HVF Vs Brondby0-5
20/09/24AHB Koge Vs VF0-2
14/09/24HVF Vs Hillerød0-3
03/09/24AKolding B Vs VF1-2
30/08/24AOdense Vs VF2-0
24/08/24AAC Horsens Vs VF1-1
21/08/24HVF Vs Hobro0-3
17/08/24AEsbjerg Vs VF3-1
10/08/24HVF Vs Kolding IF2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hillerød
Hillerød
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.44
HomeWWLLL1.42
AwayDDWWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals3.022.713.31
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %58%50%65%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.621.331.88
Conceded1.401.381.42
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet34%38%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.36
HomeWLLLL1.38
AwayLDLWW1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals3.103.173.04
Over 1.5 %80%88%73%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %38%33%42%
Scored1.421.421.42
Conceded1.681.751.62
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet30%21%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OdenseOdense3265
56%
2.0
6935+34
3.2
88%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
8372.21.1
-
2FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3264
62%
2.0
6530+35
3.0
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2332.00.9
-
3HillerødHillerød3252
44%
1.6
5638+18
2.9
78%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4AC HorsensAC Horsens3251
47%
1.6
4948+1
3.0
78%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.5
-
5Kolding IFKolding IF3250
44%
1.6
3628+8
2.0
53%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.10.9
-
6HvidovreHvidovre3245
38%
1.4
3335-2
2.1
53%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.1
-
7EsbjergEsbjerg3241
41%
1.3
5256-4
3.4
88%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.61.8
-
8HobroHobro3239
31%
1.2
3951-12
2.8
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.6
-
9B 93B 933235
28%
1.1
4261-19
3.2
78%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
3657-21
2.9
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.8
-
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3230
22%
0.9
3549-14
2.6
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12RoskildeRoskilde3226
22%
0.8
3761-24
3.1
88%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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