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HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir Result & Analysis

Date: 18/08/2024
Time: 19:15
Final 0-2
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Vs
51%
23%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fylkir
Fylkir
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HK Kopavogur win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fylkir win✓ Hit
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-813L02L21W43W12L08L13L11D15L15LA·FYL27/05H·BRE02/06A·FRA18/06H·STJ22/06H·KA 28/06A·IA 06/07A·FH 15/07H·VES20/07A·VIK28/07A·VAL11/08
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
3.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.132.331.212.001.062.62
vs Stronger (13)1.232.381.502.001.002.71
vs Similar (17)1.062.291.002.001.112.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FylkirFylkir

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L32W13L22D04L30W02L00D03L11DA·VIK13/06H·VES18/06A·FH 23/06A·KR 27/06A·VAL06/07H·IA 15/07A·STJ21/07H·FRA31/07A·BRE06/08H·KA 11/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.072.001.271.202.87
vs Stronger (13)0.692.620.601.800.753.12
vs Similar (17)2.291.652.701.001.712.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.3%
Under 1.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.8%
Under 2.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.2%
Under 3.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
4.6%
HK Kopavogur goals ↓
Fylkir goals →
01234
03.9%3.5%3.1%1.5%0.5%
15.4%9.9%6.4%3.1%1.1%
26.4%9.2%6.6%3.2%1.1%
34.4%6.3%4.6%2.2%0.8%
42.3%3.3%2.3%1.1%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HK Kopavogur goals (down), columns = Fylkir goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.30
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.19
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
Stjarnan
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.37
IA Akranes
1.37
FH hafnarfjordur
1.26
KR Reykjavik
1.26
Fram Reykjavik
1.11
HK Kopavogur
0.93
Vestri
0.93
Fylkir
0.78
HK Kopavogur is 0.15 points better than Fylkir in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 0.78).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.52
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Breidablik
2.33
KR Reykjavik
2.07
Stjarnan
1.89
IA Akranes
1.81
KA Akureyri
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.59
Fram Reykjavik
1.41
HK Kopavogur
1.26
Fylkir
1.19
Vestri
1.19
HK Kopavogur is 0.07 goals better than Fylkir in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.15
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.22
Valur Reykjavik
1.56
Stjarnan
1.59
IA Akranes
1.74
KA Akureyri
1.78
Fram Reykjavik
1.81
KR Reykjavik
1.81
FH hafnarfjordur
1.85
Vestri
1.96
Fylkir
2.22
HK Kopavogur
2.63
HK Kopavogur is 0.41 goals worse than Fylkir in terms of goals conceded per game (2.63 vs 2.22).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L01L21W00D04L11D11D13L12LA·FYL27/05H·BRE02/06A·FRA18/06H·STJ22/06H·KA 28/06A·IA 06/07A·FH 15/07H·VES20/07A·VIK28/07A·VAL11/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.100.500.500.501.62
vs Stronger (13)0.461.230.500.500.431.86
vs Similar (17)0.531.000.500.500.561.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FylkirFylkir

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L01L01L20W00D00D01L00DA·VIK13/06H·VES18/06A·FH 23/06A·KR 27/06A·VAL06/07H·IA 15/07A·STJ21/07H·FRA31/07A·BRE06/08H·KA 11/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.901.200.530.201.27
vs Stronger (13)0.151.000.200.600.121.25
vs Similar (17)1.120.821.700.500.291.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L20W22D12L04L02L00D02L03LA·FYL27/05H·BRE02/06A·FRA18/06H·STJ22/06H·KA 28/06A·IA 06/07A·FH 15/07H·VES20/07A·VIK28/07A·VAL11/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.370.731.530.401.20
vs Stronger (12)0.581.421.001.500.171.33
vs Similar (18)0.561.330.561.560.561.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylkir) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FylkirFylkir

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W12L21W03L10W02L00D02L11DA·VIK13/06H·VES18/06A·FH 23/06A·KR 27/06A·VAL06/07H·IA 15/07A·STJ21/07H·FRA31/07A·BRE06/08H·KA 11/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.170.800.731.001.60
vs Stronger (13)0.541.620.401.200.621.88
vs Similar (17)1.180.821.000.501.431.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fylkir over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
HK Kopavogur and Fylkir have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and Fylkir have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and Fylkir have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and Fylkir have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
HK wins
2
Draws
3
FYL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur vs Fylkir · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/24AFylkir Vs HK3-1
16/05/24AFylkir Vs HK3-1
28/09/23HHK Vs Fylkir2-2
18/07/23AFylkir Vs HK0-0
29/04/23HHK Vs Fylkir1-0
23/08/22HHK Vs Fylkir0-2
16/06/22AFylkir Vs HK0-1

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24AValur Reykjavik Vs HK5-1
28/07/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs HK5-1
20/07/24HHK Vs Vestri1-1
15/07/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs HK3-1
06/07/24AIA Akranes Vs HK8-0
28/06/24HHK Vs KA Akureyri1-2
22/06/24HHK Vs Stjarnan4-3
18/06/24AFram Reykjavik Vs HK1-2
02/06/24HHK Vs Breidablik0-2
27/05/24AFylkir Vs HK3-1

FylkirFylkir

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24HFYL Vs KA Akureyri1-1
06/08/24ABreidablik Vs FYL3-0
31/07/24HFYL Vs Fram Reykjavik0-0
21/07/24AStjarnan Vs FYL2-0
15/07/24HFYL Vs IA Akranes3-0
06/07/24AValur Reykjavik Vs FYL4-0
27/06/24AKR Reykjavik Vs FYL2-2
23/06/24AFH hafnarfjordur Vs FYL3-1
18/06/24HFYL Vs Vestri3-2
13/06/24AVikingur Reykjavik Vs FYL3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.90
HomeLLWLD0.96
AwayWLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%20%24%
AVG goals3.543.283.80
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.321.401.24
Conceded2.221.882.56
BTTS68%72%64%
Clean Sheet10%4%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Fylkir
Fylkir
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.02
HomeWWWDD1.36
AwayLDLLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%36%16%
AVG goals3.543.443.64
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %72%72%72%
Over 3.5 %54%52%56%
Scored1.481.761.20
Conceded2.061.682.44
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet16%24%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2762
70%
2.3
6331+32
3.5
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.1
-
2Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2759
67%
2.2
6833+35
3.7
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.51.2
-
3Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2744
44%
1.6
6642+24
4.0
89%
74%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.6
-
4StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5143+8
3.5
89%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.6
-
5IA AkranesIA Akranes2737
41%
1.4
4947+2
3.6
85%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.7
-
6KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2737
37%
1.4
4448-4
3.4
85%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.8
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2734
33%
1.3
5649+7
3.9
85%
70%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.11.8
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2734
33%
1.3
4350-7
3.4
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2730
30%
1.1
3849-11
3.2
78%
59%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.8
-
10VestriVestri2725
22%
0.9
3253-21
3.1
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.0
-
11HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2725
26%
0.9
3471-37
3.9
93%
70%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.6
-
12FylkirFylkir2721
19%
0.8
3260-28
3.4
81%
67%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.2
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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