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HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: 14/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 5-1
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Vs
47%
24%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HK Kopavogur win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W04L22D21W32W16L21W40W43W02LA·THR21/09A·KEF27/09A·KEF06/02H·FRA14/02H·VES18/02A·STJ28/02H·ÆGI07/03H·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.271.772.441.442.072.14
vs Stronger (7)2.572.002.001.003.333.33
vs Similar (22)2.181.732.641.641.731.82
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D42W13L12L13L43W33D32W02L23LA·LEI23/08H·KEF29/08A·GRI06/09H·FYL13/09A·NJA01/02H·KA 07/02A·KR 14/02H·GRI26/02A·VIK04/03H·AFT29/03
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.532.291.571.561.50
vs Stronger (5)3.001.603.503.002.670.67
vs Similar (23)1.651.572.181.451.171.67
vs Weaker (2)2.001.001.000.003.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.7%
Under 3.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.6%
No
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
HK Kopavogur goals ↓
IR Reykjavik goals →
01234
04.4%4.1%3.7%1.8%0.7%
15.5%11%7.0%3.5%1.3%
26.2%9.1%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.9%5.8%4.3%2.1%0.8%
41.9%2.8%2.0%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HK Kopavogur goals (down), columns = IR Reykjavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Afturelding
2.22
Throttur Reykjavik
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Fylkir
1.78
Völsungur
1.67
IR Reykjavik
1.62
HK Kopavogur
1.62
Grindavik
1.40
Leiknir R.
1.12
Grotta
0.89
Vestri
0.75
Ægir
0.00
HK Kopavogur and IR Reykjavik are level in average points per game (both 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
3.33
HK Kopavogur
3.12
Fylkir
2.78
Throttur Reykjavik
2.75
Njardvik
2.44
Leiknir R.
1.88
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Grotta
1.56
Völsungur
1.56
Grindavik
1.50
Vestri
1.00
Ægir
0.86
HK Kopavogur is 1.50 goals better than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals scored per game (3.12 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Throttur Reykjavik
1.38
Afturelding
1.44
IR Reykjavik
1.62
Leiknir R.
1.75
Grotta
1.78
Fylkir
1.89
Njardvik
1.89
Völsungur
1.89
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Grindavik
2.20
Vestri
2.62
Ægir
4.57
HK Kopavogur is 0.38 goals worse than IR Reykjavik in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L10W21W11D11D21W10W02L00DA·THR21/09A·KEF27/09A·KEF06/02H·FRA14/02H·VES18/02A·STJ28/02H·ÆGI07/03H·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.060.501.000.86
vs Stronger (7)1.000.861.000.501.001.33
vs Similar (22)1.000.591.000.451.000.73
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W12L12L11D12L32W11D00D00DA·LEI23/08H·KEF29/08A·GRI06/09H·FYL13/09A·NJA01/02H·KA 07/02A·KR 14/02H·GRI26/02A·VIK04/03H·AFT29/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.790.641.060.50
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.001.501.330.00
vs Similar (23)0.780.570.730.550.830.58
vs Weaker (2)2.000.501.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W01L12L00D21W05L00D30W41W02LA·THR21/09A·KEF27/09A·KEF06/02H·FRA14/02H·VES18/02A·STJ28/02H·ÆGI07/03H·BF 27/03A·FJO06/04H·VIK13/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.101.380.941.071.29
vs Stronger (7)1.571.141.000.502.332.00
vs Similar (22)1.181.141.641.180.731.09
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L00D02L31W01L21W02L23LA·LEI23/08H·KEF29/08A·GRI06/09H·FYL13/09A·NJA01/02H·KA 07/02A·KR 14/02H·GRI26/02A·VIK04/03H·AFT29/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.971.500.930.501.00
vs Stronger (5)1.801.002.501.501.330.67
vs Similar (23)0.871.001.450.910.331.08
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IR Reykjavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
VÖL (19)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and IR Reykjavik have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
VÖL (4)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and IR Reykjavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
VÖL (6)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and IR Reykjavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
VÖL (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
HK Kopavogur and IR Reykjavik have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
HK wins
2
Draws
0
IR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur vs IR Reykjavik · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
11/07/25AIR Reykjavik Vs HK1-2
09/05/25HHK Vs IR Reykjavik1-1
06/03/25HHK Vs IR Reykjavik1-1

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/26HHK Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-2
06/04/26AFjolnir Vs HK3-4
27/03/26HHK Vs BF 1084-0
07/03/26HHK Vs Ægir2-1
28/02/26AStjarnan Vs HK6-1
18/02/26HHK Vs Vestri3-2
14/02/26HHK Vs Fram Reykjavik2-1
06/02/26AKeflavik Vs HK2-2
27/09/25AKeflavik Vs HK4-0
21/09/25AThrottur Reykjavik Vs HK2-3

IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/26HIR Vs Afturelding2-3
04/03/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs IR2-0
26/02/26HIR Vs Grindavik3-2
14/02/26AKR Reykjavik Vs IR3-3
07/02/26HIR Vs KA Akureyri4-3
01/02/26ANjardvik Vs IR3-1
13/09/25HIR Vs Fylkir1-2
06/09/25AGrindavik Vs IR3-1
29/08/25HIR Vs Keflavik4-2
23/08/25ALeiknir R. Vs IR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.62
HomeWWWWL1.96
AwayWLDLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals3.843.524.16
Over 1.5 %94%92%96%
Over 2.5 %78%72%84%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.942.121.76
Conceded1.901.402.40
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners---
Cards---
IR Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLL1.62
HomeWLWWL1.92
AwayDLLDL1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%31%
AVG goals3.103.292.92
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.722.001.46
Conceded1.381.291.46
BTTS66%62%69%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding920
67%
2.2
3013+17
4.8
100%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1003.31.4
-
2NjardvikNjardvik918
67%
2.0
2217+5
4.3
89%
78%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.41.9
-
3Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik816
62%
2.0
2211+11
4.1
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.4
-
4FylkirFylkir916
56%
1.8
2517+8
4.7
100%
89%
78%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.81.9
-
5VölsungurVölsungur915
56%
1.7
1417-3
3.4
89%
56%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.9
-
6GrindavikGrindavik1014
40%
1.4
1522-7
3.7
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
7HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur813
50%
1.6
2516+9
5.1
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.12.0
-
8IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik813
50%
1.6
1313+0
3.2
75%
62%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.6
-
9Leiknir R.Leiknir R.89
38%
1.1
1514+1
3.6
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.8
-
10GrottaGrotta98
22%
0.9
1416-2
3.3
89%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.8
-
11VestriVestri86
25%
0.8
821-13
3.6
88%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.6
-
12ÆgirÆgir70
0%
0.0
632-26
5.4
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.94.6
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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