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HK Kopavogur vs Thróttur Vogar Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2022
Time: 19:15
Final 4-1
HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Vs
84%
12%
4%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Thróttur Vogar
Thróttur Vogar
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HK Kopavogur win✓ Hit
84.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
11.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar win✗ Miss
4.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W13L21W33D40W21W21W21W10WA·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07A·AFT05/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.202.571.001.621.38
vs Stronger (3)2.331.673.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)2.001.082.401.001.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Thróttur Vogar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D01L05L03L01L20W12L06L04L11DA·KV22/06A·GRO27/06A·THO30/06H·FYL05/07A·KÓR09/07H·GRI14/07H·HK 17/07A·FJO21/07A·VES27/07H·SEL04/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.402.400.711.570.123.12
vs Stronger (12)0.422.500.801.200.143.43
vs Similar (3)0.332.000.502.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%09%118%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.2%
Under 2.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.4%
No
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-0
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
5.5%
4-1 ✓
5.5%
HK Kopavogur goals ↓
Thróttur Vogar goals →
01234
03.3%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
17.9%5.5%1.5%0.3%0.0%
212%7.5%2.3%0.5%0.1%
312%7.4%2.2%0.4%0.1%
49.1%5.5%1.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HK Kopavogur goals (down), columns = Thróttur Vogar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fylkir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grotta
1.68
Fjolnir
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.50
Selfoss
1.45
Thor Akureyri
1.36
Afturelding
1.32
Vestri
1.27
Grindavik
1.23
KV
0.82
Thróttur Vogar
0.27
HK Kopavogur is 1.82 points better than Thróttur Vogar in terms of average points per game (2.09 vs 0.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fylkir
2.86
Fjolnir
2.32
HK Kopavogur
2.09
Grindavik
1.95
Grotta
1.91
Selfoss
1.86
Afturelding
1.77
Vestri
1.64
Kórdrengir
1.64
Thor Akureyri
1.41
KV
1.23
Thróttur Vogar
0.36
HK Kopavogur is 1.73 goals better than Thróttur Vogar in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 0.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fylkir
1.05
HK Kopavogur
1.36
Kórdrengir
1.36
Grotta
1.50
Thor Akureyri
1.59
Fjolnir
1.68
Afturelding
1.77
Selfoss
1.77
Vestri
2.00
Grindavik
2.05
KV
2.36
Thróttur Vogar
2.55
HK Kopavogur is 1.18 goals better than Thróttur Vogar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 2.55).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L10W21W10W10W01L11D00DA·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07A·AFT05/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.860.570.620.62
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.000.500.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.920.421.200.600.710.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Thróttur Vogar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L03L03L00D10W01L04L02L10WA·KV22/06A·GRO27/06A·THO30/06H·FYL05/07A·KÓR09/07H·GRI14/07H·HK 17/07A·FJO21/07A·VES27/07H·SEL04/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.070.290.570.121.50
vs Stronger (12)0.250.920.400.000.141.57
vs Similar (3)0.001.670.002.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W10W11D12L30W11D20W10W10WA·FYL16/06H·KÓR23/06A·FJO30/06H·GRI05/07A·VES09/07H·KV14/07A·THR17/07A·SEL21/07H·GRO27/07A·AFT05/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.601.710.431.000.75
vs Stronger (3)2.330.333.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (12)1.080.671.200.401.000.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Thróttur Vogar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D02L00D01L10W11D02L02L01LA·KV22/06A·GRO27/06A·THO30/06H·FYL05/07A·KÓR09/07H·GRI14/07H·HK 17/07A·FJO21/07A·VES27/07H·SEL04/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.330.431.000.001.62
vs Stronger (12)0.171.580.401.200.001.86
vs Similar (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HK Kopavogur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HK Kopavogur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HK Kopavogur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thróttur Vogar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.7%-------✓ Hit
Home win84.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (10)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
HK wins
0
Draws
0
TV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HK Kopavogur vs Thróttur Vogar · H/A from HK
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/22AThróttur Vogar Vs HK1-2

HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22AAfturelding Vs HK0-1
27/07/22HHK Vs Grotta2-1
21/07/22ASelfoss Vs HK1-2
17/07/22AThróttur Vogar Vs HK1-2
14/07/22HHK Vs KV4-0
09/07/22AVestri Vs HK3-3
05/07/22HHK Vs Grindavik2-1
30/06/22AFjolnir Vs HK3-1
23/06/22HHK Vs Kórdrengir3-1
16/06/22AFylkir Vs HK0-1

Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/08/22HTV Vs Selfoss1-1
27/07/22AVestri Vs TV4-0
21/07/22AFjolnir Vs TV6-0
17/07/22HTV Vs HK Kopavogur1-2
14/07/22HTV Vs Grindavik2-0
09/07/22AKórdrengir Vs TV1-0
05/07/22HTV Vs Fylkir0-3
30/06/22AThor Akureyri Vs TV5-0
27/06/22AGrotta Vs TV1-0
22/06/22AKV Vs TV1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HK Kopavogur
HK Kopavogur
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.27
HomeWWWWW2.57
AwayLDWWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %73%86%62%
AVG goals3.273.573.00
Over 1.5 %87%100%75%
Over 2.5 %73%86%62%
Over 3.5 %47%57%38%
Scored2.072.571.62
Conceded1.201.001.38
BTTS67%71%62%
Clean Sheet27%29%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Thróttur Vogar
Thróttur Vogar
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD0.40
HomeLLWLD0.71
AwayLLLLL0.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %7%14%0%
AVG goals2.802.293.25
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %53%43%62%
Over 3.5 %27%0%50%
Scored0.400.710.12
Conceded2.401.573.12
BTTS27%43%12%
Clean Sheet7%14%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FylkirFylkir2251
73%
2.3
6323+40
3.9
86%
68%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.91.0
-
2HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2246
68%
2.1
4630+16
3.5
91%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.4
-
3GrottaGrotta2237
55%
1.7
4233+9
3.4
73%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.5
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2236
50%
1.6
5137+14
4.0
91%
77%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.7
-
5KórdrengirKórdrengir2233
41%
1.5
3630+6
3.0
77%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6SelfossSelfoss2232
41%
1.5
4139+2
3.6
91%
68%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.8
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2230
41%
1.4
3135-4
3.0
73%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.6
-
8AftureldingAfturelding2229
36%
1.3
3939+0
3.5
86%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.8
-
9VestriVestri2228
32%
1.3
3644-8
3.6
86%
73%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
10GrindavikGrindavik2227
32%
1.2
4345-2
4.0
95%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
11KVKV2218
23%
0.8
2752-25
3.6
95%
77%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
12Thróttur VogarThróttur Vogar226
5%
0.3
856-48
2.9
82%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.42.5
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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