PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 1-0
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
44%
31%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L11D00D21W00D10W02L12L00D10WA·HRV16/08H·RUD24/08A·BSK31/08H·OPA07/09A·SES13/09A·CRO17/09H·ORI20/09A·JAR27/09H·DUB05/10A·KAR11/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.130.860.861.381.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.131.130.860.861.381.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D21W01L20W20W01L10W10W11DH·ORI16/08A·JAR23/08H·DUB30/08A·KAR06/09H·CRO13/09H·HRV17/09A·RUD22/09H·BSK27/09A·OPA03/10H·SES12/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.601.471.330.671.87
vs Stronger (2)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (28)1.141.431.471.330.771.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.8%
Under 1.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.6%
Under 2.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.2%
Under 3.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0 ✓
13.5%
0-0
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.5%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Dugopolje goals →
01234
013%8.9%4.5%1.3%0.3%
113%14%5.7%1.7%0.4%
29.4%8.3%3.6%1.1%0.2%
34.0%3.5%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.3%1.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Dugopolje goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
HNK Cibalia is 0.12 points better than Dugopolje in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia is 0.33 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.21).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
HNK Cibalia is 0.15 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.15).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D01L00D10W00D12L00D00DA·HRV16/08H·RUD24/08A·BSK31/08H·OPA07/09A·SES13/09A·CRO17/09H·ORI20/09A·JAR27/09H·DUB05/10A·KAR11/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.400.210.290.620.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.400.210.290.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D00D10W01L10W00D11DH·ORI16/08A·JAR23/08H·DUB30/08A·KAR06/09H·CRO13/09H·HRV17/09A·RUD22/09H·BSK27/09A·OPA03/10H·SES12/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.500.750.211.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
vs Similar (28)0.390.750.500.750.250.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D20W00D00D02L00D00D10WA·HRV16/08H·RUD24/08A·BSK31/08H·OPA07/09A·SES13/09A·CRO17/09H·ORI20/09A·JAR27/09H·DUB05/10A·KAR11/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.640.570.750.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.700.730.640.570.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D10W01L20W10W00D00D10W00DH·ORI16/08A·JAR23/08H·DUB30/08A·KAR06/09H·CRO13/09H·HRV17/09A·RUD22/09H·BSK27/09A·OPA03/10H·SES12/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.880.500.291.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (28)0.640.680.880.500.330.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HC wins
3
Draws
1
DUG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25ADugopolje Vs HC1-1
22/02/25HHC Vs Dugopolje2-1
28/09/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-1
11/05/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-2
15/03/24HHC Vs Dugopolje2-1
21/10/23ADugopolje Vs HC4-0
22/04/23HHC Vs Dugopolje0-0
11/03/23ADugopolje Vs HC0-2

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs HC0-1
05/10/25HHC Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-0
27/09/25AJarun Vs HC2-1
20/09/25HHC Vs Orijent 19190-2
17/09/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs HC0-1
13/09/25ASesvete Vs HC0-0
07/09/25HHC Vs Opatija2-1
31/08/25ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HC0-0
24/08/25HHC Vs Rudes1-1
16/08/25AHrvace Vs HC3-2

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/25HDUG Vs Sesvete1-1
03/10/25AOpatija Vs DUG0-1
27/09/25HDUG Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
22/09/25ARudes Vs DUG1-0
17/09/25HDUG Vs Hrvace2-0
13/09/25HDUG Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-0
06/09/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs DUG1-0
30/08/25HDUG Vs Dubrava Zagreb2-1
23/08/25AJarun Vs DUG1-1
16/08/25HDUG Vs Orijent 19190-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.34
HomeDDWLD1.48
AwayDDWLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.522.442.60
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %46%36%56%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.301.321.28
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.06
HomeWWWWD1.32
AwayWDLLW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.462.322.60
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored0.981.080.88
Conceded1.481.241.72
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches