HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek Result & Analysis

The encounter between HNK Rijeka and NK Osijek is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 34% for a home victory, 29% for a draw, and 37% for an Osijek win, making the latter the most likely outcome. On average the match should see 2.6 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.8% chance.

Rijeka, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 0.75 goals scored and 3.25 conceded, while Osijek, on the road, averages 1.38 scored and 1.12 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include an 90% chance of Under 11.5 corners, an 87.4% chance of Over 2.5 cards, an 84.9% chance of Over 19.5 fouls, an 83.2% chance of Under 10.5 corners, a 74.6% chance of Over 1.5 goals, a 73.7% chance of Under 9.5 corners, a 73.5% chance of Under 3.5 goals, and a 73.2% chance of Over 3.5 cards. The final score was 1-1, a draw.

The pre-match favourite, NK Osijek, fell short in a 1-1 draw that left the model’s pick wrong. The match, a 1-1 stalemate, was a shock to the prediction that the away side would win. The model had given the away team a 37% chance of victory, but the game ended in a tie. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 11.5 corners at 90%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.9%, Under 10.5 corners at 83.2%, Over 1.5 at 74.6%, Under 9.5 corners at 73.7%, Under 3.5 at 73.5%, while Over 3.5 cards at 73.2% missed. The home side, HNK Rijeka, had just drawn 0-0 and the away side, NK Osijek, had won 3-0 before this match, yet neither side could secure the result the model expected.