PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
CroatiaCroatia · Tier 1 · 12 teams · 2026/27
← Back

Croatia - HNL

01 Overview02 Team analytics03 Goal environment04 Discipline05 Corners & shots06 Market character07 Current season vs history08 Current standings09 Upcoming games10 Top players

Croatia - HNL stats, table & predictions – 2026/27

Croatia - HNL statistics for 2026/27: goals per game, over/under 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5, both teams to score, clean sheets, corners, cards and squad values for every team. See the Croatia - HNL table, weekly form trends, team analytics and upcoming fixtures with Pythia's model win probabilities. At 3.29 goals a game, Croatia - HNL is one of the higher-scoring leagues we cover, with both teams scoring in 50% of matches – dive into Croatia - HNL scoring trends, team form, corner and card averages and squad values below.

In 2026/27, Croatia - HNL is averaging 3.29 goals a game across 24 matches – 67% of games go over 2.5 and 50% see both teams score. Home teams win 67%, draws land 12% and away teams win 21%. Matches average 9.3 corners, 4.23 cards, 24.8 fouls. Squads are worth €29m on average.

01OverviewšŸ“Š

How Croatia - HNL behaves relative to the 126 European leagues Pythia simulates. Bars show the last 12 matchweeks.

n=24
Goals / Game
3.29
+0.22 vs avg · #38 of 126
3.015.022.634.043.051.063.3
n=24
Over / Under 1.5
92% / 8%
+12.2pp vs avg · #12 of 126
92%100010008020100010005050
n=24
Over / Under 2.5
67% / 33%
+8.4pp vs avg · #31 of 126
67%604010006040802067330100
n=24
Over / Under 3.5
46% / 54%
+9.8pp vs avg · #27 of 126
46%208010002080802033670100
n=24
BTTS Yes / No
50% / 50%
-2.9pp vs avg · #76 of 126
50%604010002080604033670100
n=24
Corners / Game
9.3
-0.11 vs avg · #29 of 126
10110211364105969
n=24
Fouls / Game
24.8
+0.13 vs avg · #23 of 126
24126226323427522625
n=24
Cards / Game
4.23
+2.55 vs avg · #33 of 126
3.213.824.633.242.754.564.2
Result split
67%
12%
21%
Home wins Draws Away wins
02Team analyticsšŸ‘„
TeamGoals / GameOver 1.5Under 1.5Over 2.5Under 2.5Over 3.5Under 3.5BTTS - YesBTTS - NoClean Sheet %Scored 1st half %Scored 2nd half %Cards / GameFouls / GameCorners / GameSquad ValueAttack ValueDefense Value
3.40
80%20%60%40%
40%
60%20.0%80.0%60.0%60%60%3.4027.88.0€15m€9m€4m
3.20
100%0%60%40%
40%
60%60.0%40.0%40.0%60%60%2.8022.88.6€11m€6m€5m
3.50
100%0%75%25%
75%
25%50.0%50.0%50.0%75%100%3.2521.010.0€66m€33m€30m
3.20
100%0%80%20%
40%
60%60.0%40.0%40.0%80%100%4.6028.67.0€34m€15m€11m
2.50
75%25%50%50%
25%
75%50.0%50.0%25.0%67%67%2.5022.09.8€34m€21m€8m
3.40
80%20%60%40%
60%
40%60.0%40.0%0.0%60%40%5.6024.010.4€10m€3m€4m
4.20
100%0%100%0%
80%
20%80.0%20.0%20.0%100%80%3.6023.610.4€11m€4m€5m
4.20
100%0%80%20%
60%
40%60.0%40.0%0.0%20%60%3.6025.810.4€5m€3m€1m
3.00
100%0%60%40%
20%
80%20.0%80.0%20.0%20%20%2.6024.88.8€8m€3m€3m
2.20
80%20%40%60%
20%
80%40.0%60.0%20.0%25%50%4.0025.89.8€9m€4m€3m
03Goal environment⚽

Total goals per match (% of games)

4%
0
4%
1
25%
2
21%
3
25%
4
17%
5
0%
6
4%
7+
04Discipline🟨
n=24
Fouls / Game
24.8
+0.13 vs avg · #23 of 126
24126226323427522625
n=24
Yellows / Game
3.38
 
3.213.824.032.842.754.063.4
n=24
Reds / Game
0.86
 
1.0011.0020.0031.0040.86
n=24
Cards / Game
4.23
+2.55 vs avg · #33 of 126
3.213.824.633.242.754.564.2
05Corners & shots🚩
n=24
Corners / Game
9.3
-0.11 vs avg · #29 of 126
10110211364105969
n=24
Shots / Game
26.8
 
31129229322423524627
n=24
Shots on Target
9.2
 
111112939475869
n=24
Home Advantage
26.1 pts
+22.81 vs avg · #3 of 126
06Market characteršŸŽÆ
Pythia exclusive
Hit Rate
72/100
Pro-Picks hit rate here: 72% of our ≥60% confidence picks won. #45 of 126.
Home win
67%
+24.6pp vs avg · #3 of 126
Draw rate
12.5%
-9.2pp vs avg · #111 of 126
Away win
21%
-15.4pp vs avg · #118 of 126
07Current season vs historyšŸ“ˆ
Metric2022/232023/242024/252025/262026/27Trend
Goals / game2.472.662.362.663.29
Over 1.570%72%67%79%92%
Under 1.530%28%33%21%8%
Over 2.547%51%45%49%67%
Under 2.553%49%55%51%33%
Over 3.524%27%23%28%46%
Under 3.576%73%77%72%54%
BTTS - Yes48.3%43.9%45.6%52.2%50.0%
BTTS - No51.7%56.1%54.4%47.8%50.0%
Clean Sheet %32.2%31.7%32.5%27.8%27.1%
Cards / game5.725.315.545.504.23
Fouls / game24.226.525.125.924.8
Corners / game8.59.29.09.39.3
08Current standingsšŸ†
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NK OsijekNK Osijek512
80%
2.4
125+7
3.4
80%
60%
40%
8.0
40%
3.4
40%
27.8
100%
15
9142.41.0
49%
2NK VarazdinNK Varazdin512
80%
2.4
115+6
3.2
100%
60%
40%
8.6
60%
2.8
20%
22.8
60%
11
6152.21.0
44%
3Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb410
75%
2.5
113+8
3.5
100%
75%
75%
10.0
75%
3.2
50%
21.0
50%
66
332302.80.8
58%
4HNK Hajduk SplitHNK Hajduk Split510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
40%
7.0
20%
4.6
100%
28.6
100%
34
158112.21.0
58%
5HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka47
50%
1.8
55+0
2.5
75%
50%
25%
9.8
75%
2.5
0%
22.0
50%
34
21581.21.2
52%
6NK Lokomotiva ZagrebNK Lokomotiva Zagreb56
40%
1.2
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
10.4
60%
5.6
100%
24.0
80%
10
3341.42.0
50%
7Istra 1961Istra 196155
20%
1.0
1110+1
4.2
100%
100%
80%
10.4
80%
3.6
80%
23.6
60%
11
4252.22.0
50%
8RudesRudes53
20%
0.6
615-9
4.2
100%
80%
60%
10.4
40%
3.6
40%
25.8
100%
5
3111.23.0
-
9NK Slaven BelupoNK Slaven Belupo53
20%
0.6
312-9
3.0
100%
60%
20%
8.8
40%
2.6
20%
24.8
60%
8
3230.62.4
49%
10HNK GoricaHNK Gorica51
0%
0.2
29-7
2.2
80%
40%
20%
9.8
60%
4.0
40%
25.8
80%
9
4230.41.8
46%
Croatia - HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths.
09Upcoming gamesšŸ“…
Fri 04 Sep 18:00NK Varazdin v Istra 1961Pythia
47%
29%
25%
1
1.78
X
3.52
2
4.06
Sat 05 Sep 16:00Dinamo Zagreb v HNK GoricaPythia
83%
13%
4%
1
1.15
X
7.00
2
13.33
Sat 05 Sep 19:00HNK Rijeka v NK OsijekPythia
52%
26%
22%
1
1.80
X
3.34
2
4.24
Sun 06 Sep 16:00Rudes v HNK Hajduk SplitPythia
9%
16%
75%
1
8.47
X
5.18
2
1.28
Sun 06 Sep 19:00NK Slaven Belupo v NK Lokomotiva ZagrebPythia
39%
29%
32%
1
2.45
X
3.41
2
2.54
Sat 12 Sep 15:00HNK Hajduk Split v NK Slaven BelupoPythia
77%
15%
7%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 12 Sep 15:00Istra 1961 v RudesPythia
70%
20%
9%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 12 Sep 15:00HNK Gorica v NK VarazdinPythia
29%
31%
40%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 12 Sep 15:00NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v HNK RijekaPythia
23%
29%
48%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 12 Sep 15:00NK Osijek v Dinamo ZagrebPythia
16%
26%
59%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 19 Sep 15:00Rudes v NK Slaven BelupoPythia
34%
25%
40%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 19 Sep 15:00HNK Rijeka v HNK Hajduk SplitPythia
41%
29%
30%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 19 Sep 15:00Istra 1961 v HNK GoricaPythia
53%
27%
21%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 19 Sep 15:00NK Varazdin v NK OsijekPythia
41%
29%
30%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 19 Sep 15:00Dinamo Zagreb v NK Lokomotiva ZagrebPythia
81%
13%
6%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 10 Oct 15:00NK Slaven Belupo v HNK RijekaPythia
22%
27%
51%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 10 Oct 15:00NK Osijek v Istra 1961Pythia
49%
28%
23%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 10 Oct 15:00NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK VarazdinPythia
32%
30%
38%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 10 Oct 15:00HNK Hajduk Split v Dinamo ZagrebPythia
29%
26%
45%
1
-
X
-
2
-
Sat 10 Oct 15:00HNK Gorica v RudesPythia
63%
25%
12%
1
-
X
-
2
-
10Top players⭐
Top 15 by each measure this season. Rating needs 450+ minutes, so a high mark off two appearances does not outrank a full season.

← all leagues fixtures & predictions →