The model sees a clear advantage for HNK Hajduk Split, rating an away win at 75%. The home side, Rudes, has struggled at home against stronger opponents, averaging six goals conceded and only one scored, while Hajduk, playing away against a weaker side, averages two goals scored and one conceded. This disparity explains the high probability for an away victory.
The expected total is 3.6 goals, with the most likely total being three. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2, with a 10% chance. The home win probability is 9%, the draw 16%, and the away win75%.
The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Under 7.5 at 97.0%, Away +2 handicap at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.5%, Home under 2.5 goals at 93.7%, Away over 0.5 goals at 93.2%, and Under 6.5 at 92.7%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rudes win
8.9%
Avg Implied 10.9% · @ 8.44
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
9.90
1xBet
9.85
Pinnacle
9.04
William Hil
9.00
Dafabet
9.00
Draw
15.6%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.21
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.80
1xBet
5.60
Marathonbet
5.60
Superbet
5.55
Pinnacle
5.50
HNK Hajduk Split win
75.4%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.28
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.31
Dafabet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rudes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.27
1.80
1.20
1.33
1.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
4.00
1.00
6.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.67
0.96
1.86
0.86
1.46
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.20
2.20
1.00
1.73
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.55
2.00
1.00
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (19)
2.16
1.00
2.30
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
88.3%
@ 1.14+6.9%
Under 1.5
11.7%
@ 4.98-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Under
BetVictor
5.40
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70.1%
@ 1.50+8.3%
Under 2.5
29.9%
@ 2.42-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
Under
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
49.0%
@ 2.25+7.7%
Under 3.5
51.0%
@ 1.58-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.32
Unibet
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
BetVictor
1.58
Both teams to score
Yes
55.7%
@ 1.84+5.6%
No
44.3%
@ 1.84-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
No
Unibet
1.92
1xBet
1.86
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.0%@ 6.29+3.1%
0-3
9.1%@ 7.57+3.4%
1-2
8.9%@ 7.63+3.2%
1-3
8.1%@ 9.36+3.4%
1-1
7.1%@ 9.18+2.4%
0-1
6.7%@ 7.17+0.6%
0-4
6.2%@ 11.95+2.6%
1-4
5.5%@ 14.58+2.5%
Rudes goals ↓
HNK Hajduk Split goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
6.7%
10%
9.1%
6.2%
1
1.7%
7.1%
8.9%
8.1%
5.5%
2
1.1%
2.9%
3.9%
3.6%
2.5%
3
0.3%
0.9%
1.2%
1.1%
0.7%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudes goals (down), columns = HNK Hajduk Split goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
Rudes is 0.78 points worse than HNK Hajduk Split in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
Rudes is 0.62 goals worse than HNK Hajduk Split in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
Rudes is 0.65 goals worse than HNK Hajduk Split in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rudes
For 3.0 · Against 7.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HNK Hajduk Split
For 5.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rudes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
8.0
12.0
0.4
0.3
0.4
25.8
26.5
25.3
vs Stronger (4)
10.3
8.0
11.5
2.5
1.0
4.0
25.3
26.0
25.0
vs Similar (46)
10.5
8.0
13.0
0.2
0.2
0.1
26.5
27.0
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
0%
67%
4%
4%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
60%
100%
33%
96%
96%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.7
4.4
4.5
4.2
27.6
27.0
28.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
10.5
11.3
9.7
5.0
4.7
5.2
28.8
26.2
31.3
vs Weaker (35)
8.7
7.8
9.7
4.1
4.4
3.7
27.1
27.3
26.9
% over line
48%
46%
50%
62%
60%
64%
91%
91%
91%
% under line
52%
54%
50%
38%
40%
36%
9%
9%
9%
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rudes
9.8
NK Osijek
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Istra 1961
9.5
HNK Rijeka
9.4
NK Varazdin
9.4
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.3
HNK Hajduk Split
9.1
HNK Gorica
9.0
NK Slaven Belupo
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Osijek
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.7
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
HNK Rijeka
4.5
Istra 1961
4.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
HNK Gorica
4.2
NK Slaven Belupo
4.0
Rudes
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Hajduk Split
27.5
NK Osijek
27.0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.5
HNK Rijeka
25.5
Rudes
25.3
HNK Gorica
25.3
NK Slaven Belupo
25.0
NK Varazdin
24.7
Istra 1961
23.4
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.4%
@ 2.13-0.1%
Under 9.5
56.6%
@ 1.64+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.26
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.70
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.55
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
57.9%
Under 3.5
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Rudes or Draw
24.6%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.34
Edge
-3.3%
9%
16%
75%
covers Rudes + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Rudes or HNK Hajduk Split
84.4%
Avg Implied 83.3% · @ 1.12
Edge
+1.1%
9%
16%
75%
covers Rudes + HNK Hajduk Split
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Draw or HNK Hajduk Split
91.1%
Avg Implied 88.9% · @ 1.05
Edge
+2.2%
9%
16%
75%
covers Draw + HNK Hajduk Split
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Rudes over/under 0.5
Over
58.9%
@ 1.72+4.9%
Under
41.1%
@ 2.01-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
1xBet
1.75
Betano
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Under
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Rudes over/under 1.5
Over
22.3%
@ 4.63+2.3%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.16-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Rudes over/under 2.5
Over
6.1%
@ 13.25-1.1%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.02+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Rudes over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 48.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Superbet
45.00
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5
Over
93.5%
@ 1.05+4.4%
Under
6.5%
@ 8.64-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
7.90
Betano
7.30
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5
Over
75.8%
@ 1.34+6.8%
Under
24.2%
@ 2.98-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Marathonbet
3.14
BetVictor
3.10
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5
Over
51.5%
@ 2.09+6.9%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.68-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Under
Marathonbet
1.75
BetVictor
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Superbet
1.68
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 3.5
Over
29.4%
@ 3.72+4.4%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.23-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Pinnacle
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Rudes, so a minus line means Rudes give that many goals of a start and HNK Hajduk Split receive them. At -1, Rudes must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Rudes win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Rudes)
Rudes -2
0.7%
Draw -2
2.2%
HNK Hajduk Split +2
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Rudes)
Rudes -1
2.9%
@ 20.50-1.6%
Draw -1
6.0%
@ 10.00-3.2%
HNK Hajduk Split +1
91.1%
@ 1.06+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Handicap +1 (Rudes)
Rudes +1
24.6%
@ 3.28-2.4%
Draw +1
19.9%
@ 3.67-4.2%
HNK Hajduk Split -1
55.5%
@ 1.81+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.35
10Bet
3.25
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Superbet
3.80
10Bet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Away
Unibet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Handicap +2 (Rudes)
Rudes +2
44.5%
@ 1.86-3.1%
Draw +2
21.0%
@ 3.90-1.7%
HNK Hajduk Split -2
34.5%
@ 2.98+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.90
Away
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
Unibet
2.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rudes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.80
0.73
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
4.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.93
0.41
0.86
0.50
1.00
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.64
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.11
0.53
1.30
0.60
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.24-4.9%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.62+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Under
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.8%
@ 2.21-3.2%
Under 1.5
61.2%
@ 1.60+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 4.81-2.2%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.15+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Under
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.6%
@ 3.06+2.5%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.32-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.47
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Superbet
3.00
Under
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Rudes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.6%
@ 11.92-0.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.02+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Rudes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 55.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
55.00
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HT
Over
69.1%
@ 1.43+4.3%
Under
30.9%
@ 2.63-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.42
Under
Superbet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.57
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HT
Over
31.7%
@ 2.94+0.2%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.35-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
10Bet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.93
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.85
Under
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
1xBet
1.34
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 7.12-5.6%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.06+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rudes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
1.00
0.47
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.56
1.00
0.36
0.46
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.63
1.20
0.33
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.91
1.60
0.20
0.67
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
1.05
0.47
1.00
0.40
1.11
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.9%
@ 1.14+3.3%
Under 0.5
15.1%
@ 5.06-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Under
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.73-1.6%
Under 1.5
47.9%
@ 2.00+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
Superbet
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.0%
@ 3.28-3.2%
Under 2.5
75.0%
@ 1.29+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.1%
@ 2.50+2.0%
Under
60.9%
@ 1.48-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
10Bet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Rudes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.9%
@ 9.17+2.8%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.03-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
8.80
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Rudes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
@ 24.75-1.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2H
Over
73.4%
@ 1.27+0.2%
Under
26.6%
@ 3.45-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
1xBet
3.50
Betano
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Superbet
3.35
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2H
Over
43.2%
@ 2.25+2.0%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.58-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.21
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2H
Over
26.7%
@ 4.92+7.9%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.14-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.1%
Away +2 handicap
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
96.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+0.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+1.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
93.5%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
+4.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
92.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-0.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+0.3%
Draw or Away
91.1%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.06
Unibet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+2.2%
Away +1 handicap
91.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-
+4.7%
Over 1.5
88.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.15
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+6.9%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.1%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-2.8%
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.14
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
+3.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
84.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Superbet
1.12
+1.1%
Under 5.5
84.1%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-2.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.15
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+2.2%
Under 11.5 corners
78.7%
1.21
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+2.4%
Home under 1.5 goals
77.7%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-2.3%
Under 5.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
75.8%
1.34
Unibet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+6.8%
Away win
75.4%
1.28
Unibet
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.31
Dafabet
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+3.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.29
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+3.2%
Away over 0.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.27
Superbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
-
+0.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
73.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
-7.9%
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
70.6%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-4.4%
Under 4.5
70.2%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
-5.9%
Over 2.5
70.1%
1.50
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
+8.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rudes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Živulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante Sušak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rokas Pukštas75%
Marko Livaja50%
Michele Šego50%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba17%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Dalisson de Almeida0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Adrion Pajaziti0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Adam Huram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Mathieu Acapandié40%
Anđelo Šutalo40%
Niko Sigur33%
Luka Hodak33%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck20%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Marko Livaja17%
Michele Šego17%
Marin Šotiček17%
Dario Marešić0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Šimun Hrgović0%
Rokas Pukštas0%
Adam Huram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dalisson de Almeida40%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Šimun Hrgović33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dario Melnjak25%
Rokas Pukštas25%
Adam Huram25%
Dario Marešić20%
Alberto del Moral20%
Marko Livaja0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Anđelo Šutalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rokas Pukštas50%
Adrion Pajaziti40%
Marko Livaja33%
Marin Šotiček33%
Dalisson de Almeida20%
Anđelo Šutalo20%
Šimun Hrgović17%
Dario Marešić0%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Michele Šego0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Toni Silić0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Adam Huram0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
Rudes's squad is €29m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€5m vs €34m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
Rudes's attack is €12m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€3m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
Rudes's midfield is €7m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
Rudes's defence is €10m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€1m vs €11m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica