HNK Rijeka are tipped to win, with a 53% chance of triumph, a 26% draw probability and a 21% chance for NK Osijek to come away with the victory. The match is expected to produce an average of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.3% chance. Rijeka’s home form shows they average 0.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Osijek’s away record is 1.0 scored and 1.14 conceded versus comparable opposition. The model’s selections include: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%; Under 7.598.9%; Away under 3.5 goals98.3%; Away under 2.5 2H goals97.9%; Under 6.596.9%; Home under 2.5 HT goals95.2%; Home +2 handicap94.1%; and Away under 1.5 HT goals93.3%. Rijeka are coming off a 1-4 loss to FC Midtjylland, whereas Osijek enter the game after a 3-0 win over NK Slaven Belupo.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HNK Rijeka win
53.3%
Avg Implied 51.0% · @ 1.80
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.82
10Bet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.34
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.60
William Hil
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.40
Unibet
3.40
NK Osijek win
20.7%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.25
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.98
Betano
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Dafabet
4.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HNK Rijeka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.07
1.53
1.13
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
1.33
0.83
1.50
0.67
1.17
vs Weaker (18)
1.39
0.89
2.00
0.89
0.78
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.30
0.75
0.94
1.14
1.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
3.00
0.00
2.50
0.25
3.25
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.89
0.92
0.75
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.80
0.50
0.50
2.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.8%
@ 1.25+2.5%
Under 1.5
23.2%
@ 3.61-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.88
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.82-0.2%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.93+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.93
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Under
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.3%
@ 2.93-2.4%
Under 3.5
70.7%
@ 1.36+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
53.2%
@ 1.69-1.2%
No
46.8%
@ 2.01+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
BetVictor
1.70
Unibet
1.68
No
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.08
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.01+5.1%
1-0
10.1%@ 6.72+3.6%
2-1
9.8%@ 7.41+3.8%
2-0
9.7%@ 8.25+4.4%
0-0
7.7%@ 9.05+2.8%
1-2
5.7%@ 12.07+2.0%
3-1
5.6%@ 12.57+2.1%
3-0
5.6%@ 13.59+2.4%
HNK Rijeka goals ↓
NK Osijek goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
5.4%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
1
10%
12%
5.7%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.8%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.6%
5.6%
2.8%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.4%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Rijeka goals (down), columns = NK Osijek goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
HNK Rijeka is 0.50 points better than NK Osijek in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
HNK Rijeka is 0.61 goals better than NK Osijek in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 0.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
HNK Rijeka is 0.36 goals better than NK Osijek in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
HNK Rijeka is 3.1 percentage points better than NK Osijek in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
HNK Rijeka
For 5.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Osijek
For 6.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 13.7 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
HNK Rijeka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.1
8.8
4.2
4.3
4.0
25.5
24.8
26.2
vs Stronger (1)
4.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
4.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (20)
9.6
9.8
9.4
5.0
4.2
6.0
27.9
26.9
29.2
vs Weaker (29)
9.5
10.3
8.8
3.6
4.4
3.0
24.1
23.0
25.1
% over line
56%
58%
54%
60%
68%
52%
77%
75%
79%
% under line
44%
42%
46%
40%
32%
48%
23%
25%
21%
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.9
9.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
27.1
27.2
27.0
vs Stronger (11)
10.3
11.4
9.3
3.5
3.6
3.5
25.9
25.8
26.0
vs Similar (32)
9.6
10.6
8.7
4.4
4.6
4.2
27.4
27.5
27.2
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
11.3
9.5
4.3
3.3
5.0
27.7
28.0
27.5
% over line
49%
61%
38%
58%
62%
54%
90%
96%
85%
% under line
51%
39%
62%
42%
38%
46%
10%
4%
15%
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rudes
9.8
NK Osijek
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Istra 1961
9.5
HNK Rijeka
9.4
NK Varazdin
9.4
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.3
HNK Hajduk Split
9.1
HNK Gorica
9.0
NK Slaven Belupo
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Osijek
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.7
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
HNK Rijeka
4.5
Istra 1961
4.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
HNK Gorica
4.2
NK Slaven Belupo
4.0
Rudes
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Hajduk Split
27.5
NK Osijek
27.0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.5
HNK Rijeka
25.5
Rudes
25.3
HNK Gorica
25.3
NK Slaven Belupo
25.0
NK Varazdin
24.7
Istra 1961
23.4
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.9%
@ 1.87-4.0%
Under 9.5
54.1%
@ 1.86+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.92
1xBet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
Under
Superbet
1.88
Bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.84
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.8%
Under 3.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.9%
Under 21.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HNK Rijeka or Draw
83.4%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
+5.3%
53%
26%
21%
covers HNK Rijeka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
HNK Rijeka or NK Osijek
76.8%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
+3.5%
53%
26%
21%
covers HNK Rijeka + NK Osijek
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Draw or NK Osijek
39.8%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.90
Edge
-8.8%
53%
26%
21%
covers Draw + NK Osijek
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.00
SBO
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
@ 1.16+5.7%
Under
13.8%
@ 4.76-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Betano
4.75
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5
Over
58.9%
@ 1.81+7.6%
Under
41.1%
@ 1.90-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.88
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5
Over
31.8%
@ 3.51+5.4%
Under
68.2%
@ 1.26-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
10Bet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.25
HNK Rijeka over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
@ 8.28+2.6%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.06-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
7.60
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
NK Osijek over/under 0.5
Over
61.6%
@ 1.44-2.6%
Under
38.4%
@ 2.58+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Under
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
NK Osijek over/under 1.5
Over
24.8%
@ 3.21-4.1%
Under
75.2%
@ 1.31+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
NK Osijek over/under 2.5
Over
7.3%
@ 8.23-4.1%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.05+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Superbet
8.20
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
NK Osijek over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
@ 20.50-3.1%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HNK Rijeka, so a minus line means HNK Rijeka give that many goals of a start and NK Osijek receive them. At -1, HNK Rijeka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HNK Rijeka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HNK Rijeka)
HNK Rijeka -2
18.3%
@ 6.15+4.0%
Draw -2
18.7%
@ 5.04+1.2%
NK Osijek +2
62.9%
@ 1.29-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Marathonbet
5.30
Draw
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (HNK Rijeka)
HNK Rijeka -1
37.1%
@ 3.08+8.6%
Draw -1
23.1%
@ 3.52-1.8%
NK Osijek +1
39.8%
@ 1.88-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.89
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Away
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (HNK Rijeka)
HNK Rijeka +1
83.4%
@ 1.18+9.1%
Draw +1
10.6%
@ 5.76-4.6%
NK Osijek -1
5.9%
@ 8.47-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Superbet
5.90
Unibet
4.50
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Superbet
8.70
Unibet
6.50
Handicap +2 (HNK Rijeka)
HNK Rijeka +2
94.1%
@ 1.04+5.6%
Draw +2
4.4%
@ 12.00-3.3%
NK Osijek -2
1.5%
@ 24.00-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.53
0.47
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.58
0.17
0.67
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (18)
0.56
0.33
0.78
0.33
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.19
0.69
0.71
0.57
vs Stronger (6)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.42
0.25
0.58
0.57
0.14
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.7%
@ 1.36+4.3%
Under 0.5
27.3%
@ 2.94-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.18
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.56+0.6%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.44-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 5.99-1.5%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.10+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.10
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.7%
@ 1.73+3.2%
Under
43.3%
@ 1.99-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Under
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.08
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.94
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.3%
@ 4.44-0.7%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.17+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.3%
@ 11.50-2.9%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.03+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.2%
@ 2.44-0.7%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.49+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.52
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Betano
2.35
Under
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.46
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.8%
@ 8.50-4.1%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.00
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
9.00
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
@ 38.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
38.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
1.00
0.67
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.75
0.67
0.83
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.56
1.22
0.56
0.44
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Osijek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Osijek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.56
0.25
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.25
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.67
0.17
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.22+3.4%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 3.88-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 2.01+0.5%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.73-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 4.08-1.8%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.20+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Betano
4.15
Marathonbet
3.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.7%
@ 1.52+4.4%
Under
34.3%
@ 2.40-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.32
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.3%
@ 3.36-1.3%
Under
73.7%
@ 1.28+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Betano
3.45
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.7%
@ 8.62-3.1%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
1xBet
8.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
NK Osijek over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.7%
@ 2.08-5.0%
Under
60.3%
@ 1.68+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
NK Osijek over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.6%
@ 6.48-2.7%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.08+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.70
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
NK Osijek over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 20.33-2.5%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.5%
Under 6.5
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.9%
Home +2 handicap
94.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
-
-
+5.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+4.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.3%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.1%
Under 5.5
92.2%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+0.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
+2.7%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
1.16
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
+5.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.10
Betano
1.14
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
+1.5%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-2.6%
Home or Draw
83.4%
1.18
BetVictor
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+5.3%
Home +1 handicap
83.4%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-
+9.1%
Under 4.5
82.6%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-0.2%
Over 2.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
+0.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.22
Betano
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+3.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
+1.8%
Over 1.5
76.8%
1.25
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+2.5%
Home or Away
76.8%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+3.5%
Under 11.5 corners
76.8%
1.30
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.25
-
+6.1%
Away under 1.5 goals
75.2%
1.31
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+4.1%
Under 5.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.7%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+1.3%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.7%
1.36
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.35
+4.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
1.36
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.36
+2.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Adu-Adjei33%
Justas Lasickas20%
Jakov Puljić17%
Toni Fruk17%
Amer Gojak0%
Ante Majstorović0%
Niko Janković0%
Alfonso Barco0%
Tiago Dantas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Aleksa Todorović0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Ante Oreč0%
Samuele Vignato0%
Anel Husić0%
Yusuf Kabadayi0%
Branko Pavić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakov Puljić50%
Ivan Ćubelić33%
Anel Husić33%
Alfonso Barco25%
Justas Lasickas20%
Ante Majstorović17%
Toni Fruk17%
Amer Gojak0%
Niko Janković0%
Tiago Dantas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Aleksa Todorović0%
Ante Oreč0%
Samuele Vignato0%
Yusuf Kabadayi0%
Daniel Adu-Adjei0%
Branko Pavić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Dantas33%
Ante Oreč20%
Toni Fruk17%
Amer Gojak0%
Jakov Puljić0%
Ante Majstorović0%
Niko Janković0%
Alfonso Barco0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Aleksa Todorović0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Samuele Vignato0%
Anel Husić0%
Yusuf Kabadayi0%
Daniel Adu-Adjei0%
Branko Pavić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Niko Janković50%
Toni Fruk33%
Jakov Puljić17%
Daniel Adu-Adjei17%
Amer Gojak0%
Ante Majstorović0%
Alfonso Barco0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Tiago Dantas0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Aleksa Todorović0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Ante Oreč0%
Samuele Vignato0%
Anel Husić0%
Yusuf Kabadayi0%
Branko Pavić0%
NK Osijek
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nail Omerović75%
Arnel Jakupović33%
Jona Ježić33%
Ivan Dolček25%
Armando León25%
Marko Malenica0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Domagoj Bukvić0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Senad Mustafic33%
Domagoj Bukvić25%
Šimun Mikolčić25%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Nail Omerović0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Jona Ježić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Heister33%
Roko Jurišić25%
Domagoj Bukvić25%
Luka Vrbančić25%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Nail Omerović0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Jona Ježić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nail Omerović100%
Domagoj Bukvić50%
Jona Ježić33%
Arnel Jakupović0%
Marko Malenica0%
Ivan Dolček0%
Roko Jurišić0%
Marcel Heister0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Armando León0%
Senad Mustafic0%
Luka Vrbančić0%
Šimun Mikolčić0%
Ivano Kolarik0%
Admir Ljatifi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
HNK Rijeka's squad is €19m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€34m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
HNK Rijeka's attack is €12m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€21m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
HNK Rijeka's midfield is €4m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€5m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
HNK Rijeka's defence is €3m more valuable than NK Osijek's (€8m vs €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
Rudes
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica