NK Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb face a finely balanced contest, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 39% for Slaven Belupo, 29% for a draw and 32% for Lokomotiva. The average goal tally sits at 2.5, with the most probable total of 2 goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14% probability. Slaven Belupo, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Lokomotiva, on the road, averages 1.08 scored and 1.75 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 goals (97.8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.7%) and Under 5.5 goals (94.0%). Both teams have recently struggled, with Slaven Belupo coming off a 0-3 loss to Osijek and Lokomotiva returning from three defeats after a 0-2 loss to Hajduk Split.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo win
39.6%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.46
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.59
Dafabet
2.55
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.54
Marathonbet
2.54
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.41
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
Marathonbet
3.54
1xBet
3.54
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win
31.5%
Avg Implied 36.0% · @ 2.54
Edge
-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
Betano
2.62
SBO
2.58
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.80
1.33
1.53
0.87
2.07
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
2.56
1.00
2.60
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.14
1.48
1.50
1.00
0.82
1.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.60
1.54
1.46
0.82
1.71
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
2.10
0.60
2.60
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (20)
1.50
1.35
2.12
0.75
1.08
1.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.19-3.4%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 4.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.12
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.8%
@ 1.67-8.2%
Under 2.5
52.2%
@ 2.12+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Under
1xBet
2.19
Marathonbet
2.19
Betfair
2.15
Unibet
2.14
Pinnacle
2.11
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.1%
@ 2.65-8.8%
Under 3.5
73.9%
@ 1.42+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.75
10Bet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Betano
2.65
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
53.7%
@ 1.54-6.1%
No
46.3%
@ 2.28+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
No
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 6.17+6.7%
1-0
9.1%@ 9.12+4.3%
0-0
8.8%@ 11.55+5.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.44+3.4%
0-1
7.8%@ 9.31+3.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 8.68+2.5%
2-0
7.2%@ 12.55+3.7%
0-2
5.5%@ 12.89+2.1%
NK Slaven Belupo goals ↓
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
7.8%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.1%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.6%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.3%
4.0%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NK Slaven Belupo goals (down), columns = NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
NK Slaven Belupo is 0.08 points worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.22).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
NK Slaven Belupo is 0.17 goals better than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
NK Slaven Belupo is 0.25 goals worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
NK Slaven Belupo is 1.3 percentage points worse than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo
For 3.7 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
For 4.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Slaven Belupo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.9
8.2
3.6
3.9
3.3
24.9
24.1
25.8
vs Stronger (16)
7.5
8.6
6.7
3.1
3.1
3.1
25.1
25.7
24.7
vs Similar (34)
8.3
7.7
9.1
3.8
4.2
3.4
24.8
23.5
26.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
24%
24%
25%
52%
48%
56%
67%
60%
75%
% under line
76%
76%
75%
48%
52%
44%
33%
40%
25%
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.3
4.3
4.1
4.4
26.5
26.7
26.3
vs Stronger (16)
8.7
9.4
8.0
4.4
4.2
4.5
26.4
27.6
25.1
vs Similar (34)
9.6
9.2
9.8
4.2
4.1
4.3
26.5
26.2
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
46%
42%
68%
67%
69%
88%
92%
85%
% under line
56%
54%
58%
32%
33%
31%
12%
8%
15%
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rudes
9.8
NK Osijek
9.8
Dinamo Zagreb
9.6
Istra 1961
9.5
HNK Rijeka
9.4
NK Varazdin
9.4
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
9.3
HNK Hajduk Split
9.1
HNK Gorica
9.0
NK Slaven Belupo
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
NK Osijek
4.8
NK Varazdin
4.7
HNK Hajduk Split
4.6
HNK Rijeka
4.5
Istra 1961
4.5
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.4
Dinamo Zagreb
4.3
HNK Gorica
4.2
NK Slaven Belupo
4.0
Rudes
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
HNK Hajduk Split
27.5
NK Osijek
27.0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26.5
HNK Rijeka
25.5
Rudes
25.3
HNK Gorica
25.3
NK Slaven Belupo
25.0
NK Varazdin
24.7
Istra 1961
23.4
Dinamo Zagreb
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
40.7%
@ 1.93-7.7%
Under 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.80+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.99
Bet365
1.98
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bet365
1.82
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.78
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
59.0%
Under 3.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NK Slaven Belupo or Draw
69.5%
Avg Implied 64.1% · @ 1.45
Edge
+5.4%
40%
29%
32%
covers NK Slaven Belupo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
NK Slaven Belupo or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
72.2%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.0%
40%
29%
32%
covers NK Slaven Belupo + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Draw or NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
58.3%
Avg Implied 62.7% · @ 1.48
Edge
-4.4%
40%
29%
32%
covers Draw + NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
SBO
1.48
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5
Over
77.5%
@ 1.22+1.7%
Under
22.5%
@ 3.83-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.96
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.80
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5
Over
43.9%
@ 2.12+0.1%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.65-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
Betfair
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Unibet
1.71
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5
Over
18.9%
@ 4.66-1.0%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.16+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
@ 10.30-2.7%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.03+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
@ 1.23-4.4%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.79+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
1xBet
4.05
Pinnacle
3.93
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.75
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
@ 2.15-7.9%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.63+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Under
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.62
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
@ 4.73-6.6%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.16+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
@ 10.50-5.2%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NK Slaven Belupo, so a minus line means NK Slaven Belupo give that many goals of a start and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb receive them. At -1, NK Slaven Belupo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NK Slaven Belupo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NK Slaven Belupo)
NK Slaven Belupo -2
8.2%
@ 9.47-1.1%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 6.50-0.7%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +2
79.0%
@ 1.14+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.40
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (NK Slaven Belupo)
NK Slaven Belupo -1
21.0%
@ 4.55+1.7%
Draw -1
20.7%
@ 4.19-0.4%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb +1
58.3%
@ 1.48-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Superbet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.47
Handicap +1 (NK Slaven Belupo)
NK Slaven Belupo +1
69.5%
@ 1.44+8.5%
Draw +1
17.1%
@ 4.29-3.4%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -1
13.4%
@ 4.73-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.33
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.40
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
3.70
Away
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.30
Handicap +2 (NK Slaven Belupo)
NK Slaven Belupo +2
86.6%
@ 1.14+9.8%
Draw +2
9.0%
@ 6.40-4.7%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb -2
4.5%
@ 9.08-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.67
0.93
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.11
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.81
0.70
0.70
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.77
0.85
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.20
0.40
1.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.31-2.4%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 3.21+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Under
William Hil
3.30
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.6%
@ 2.43-4.7%
Under 1.5
66.4%
@ 1.50+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.55
Betano
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 5.71-4.5%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.11+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.6%
@ 1.90-1.9%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.79+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Under
Unibet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Betano
1.78
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.3%
@ 5.83-3.6%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.10+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
Superbet
5.55
Betano
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 16.17-3.9%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HT
Over
43.8%
@ 1.93-3.8%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.76+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.91
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.0%
@ 5.78-5.0%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.10+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Superbet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.0%
@ 16.58-3.7%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.90
0.67
0.60
0.27
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.44
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.67
0.80
0.30
0.18
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.77
0.62
0.29
0.94
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.90
0.20
1.20
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.75
1.12
0.25
0.33
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.18-1.9%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 4.39+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Marathonbet
4.55
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 1.87-8.6%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.83+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Under
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 3.73-7.5%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.23+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.2%
@ 1.66-2.7%
Under
46.8%
@ 2.10+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.05
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
18.1%
@ 4.25-3.7%
Under
81.9%
@ 1.19+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.40
1xBet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.3%
@ 10.67-4.5%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2H
Over
47.9%
@ 1.65-8.3%
Under
52.1%
@ 2.11+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.11
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.0%
@ 4.18-7.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.19+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.00
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 10.75-5.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
Under 6.5
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+3.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+5.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+4.5%
Under 5.5
94.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
-
+4.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+2.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+5.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.11
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+4.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
+3.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.15
10Bet
1.15
+6.6%
Home +2 handicap
86.6%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
+9.8%
Under 4.5
85.8%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
+5.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.0%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+7.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+7.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.9%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
81.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
BetVictor
1.14
+1.0%
Under 11.5 corners
80.7%
1.27
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
-
+8.4%
Away +2 handicap
79.0%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+1.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.5%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+1.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.18
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-1.9%
Under 5.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.19
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
-3.4%
Under 3.5
73.9%
1.42
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
+8.8%
Home or Away
72.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-1.0%
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.23
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-4.4%
Under 10.5 corners
71.1%
1.48
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.41
+8.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NK Slaven Belupo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilija Nestorovski50%
Josip Mitrović25%
Alen Grgić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik Kovačić0%
Marko Dabro0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip Krušelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon Bošnjak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik Kovačić50%
Ilija Nestorovski25%
Ljuban Crepulja25%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina25%
Josip Mitrović0%
Alen Grgić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Marko Dabro0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip Krušelj0%
Leon Bošnjak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Dabro33%
David Bosak33%
Josip Mitrović0%
Alen Grgić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Ilija Nestorovski0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik Kovačić0%
Lovro Banovec0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip Krušelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon Bošnjak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Dabro33%
Josip Mitrović0%
Alen Grgić0%
Karlo Sentić0%
Ilija Nestorovski0%
Arnór Gauti Jónsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik Kovačić0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip Krušelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon Bošnjak0%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dušan Vuković50%
Ivan Katić33%
Noel Đurković33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Matija Subotić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Katić100%
Leon Belcar33%
Athanasios Triantafyllou25%
Marcel Lorber25%
Dominik Thaqi25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Dušan Vuković0%
Matija Subotić0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dušan Vuković25%
Matija Subotić25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Katić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dušan Vuković25%
Josip Posavec0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Leon Belcar0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Katić0%
Matija Subotić0%
Dominik Thaqi0%
Noel Đurković0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
NK Slaven Belupo's squad is €2m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
NK Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo's midfield is €2m less valuable than NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
Rudes
HNK Gorica