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Hobro vs FC Fredericia Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 1-4
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
30%
25%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro winâś— Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia winâś“ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W03L01L23L11D10W02L41W14LH·HVI17/08A·VEN21/08H·ODE25/08H·B 902/09A·MID10/09A·FC 16/09H·KOL20/09A·AC 28/09H·ROS04/10A·HB 18/10
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.601.571.641.441.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.291.671.381.691.181.64
vs Weaker (6)2.331.334.001.002.001.40
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L43W40W11D14L30W30W12L30WA·ODE21/08H·HVI25/08A·HB 01/09A·B 104/09H·HOB16/09H·AAL19/09A·HIL23/09H·B 928/09H·AC 05/10A·ESB19/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.371.731.532.331.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.451.321.271.451.641.18
vs Weaker (8)3.621.503.001.754.251.25
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.1%
No
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
5.1%
Hobro goals ↓
FC Fredericia goals →
01234
05.1%6.2%6.4%3.7%1.6%
14.8%11%9.1%5.4%2.4%
24.2%7.4%6.5%3.8%1.7%
32.0%3.5%3.1%1.8%0.8%
40.7%1.3%1.1%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = FC Fredericia goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Odense
2.03
FC Fredericia
2.00
Hillerød
1.62
AC Horsens
1.59
Kolding IF
1.56
Hvidovre
1.41
Esbjerg
1.28
Hobro
1.22
B 93
1.09
HB Koge
1.06
Vendsyssel FF
0.94
Roskilde
0.81
Hobro is 0.78 points worse than FC Fredericia in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Odense
2.16
FC Fredericia
2.03
Hillerød
1.75
Esbjerg
1.62
AC Horsens
1.53
B 93
1.31
Hobro
1.22
Roskilde
1.16
Kolding IF
1.12
HB Koge
1.12
Vendsyssel FF
1.09
Hvidovre
1.03
Hobro is 0.81 goals worse than FC Fredericia in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kolding IF
0.88
FC Fredericia
0.94
Hvidovre
1.09
Odense
1.09
Hillerød
1.19
AC Horsens
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.53
Hobro
1.59
Esbjerg
1.75
HB Koge
1.78
B 93
1.91
Roskilde
1.91
Hobro is 0.66 goals worse than FC Fredericia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 0.94).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L01L02L00D10W00D11D13LH·HVI17/08A·VEN21/08H·ODE25/08H·B 902/09A·MID10/09A·FC 16/09H·KOL20/09A·AC 28/09H·ROS04/10A·HB 18/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.430.790.620.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.460.750.460.770.450.73
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.001.001.000.60
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L32W30W00D01L10W20W10W10WA·ODE21/08H·HVI25/08A·HB 01/09A·B 104/09H·HOB16/09H·AAL19/09A·HIL23/09H·B 928/09H·AC 05/10A·ESB19/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.070.601.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.820.500.910.450.730.55
vs Weaker (8)1.880.751.501.002.250.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W02L00D21W11D00D02L30W01LH·HVI17/08A·VEN21/08H·ODE25/08H·B 902/09A·MID10/09A·FC 16/09H·KOL20/09A·AC 28/09H·ROS04/10A·HB 18/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.871.140.860.810.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.830.920.920.920.730.91
vs Weaker (6)1.500.674.000.001.000.80
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Fredericia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D10W11D13L20W10W02L20WA·ODE21/08H·HVI25/08A·HB 01/09A·B 104/09H·HOB16/09H·AAL19/09A·HIL23/09H·B 928/09H·AC 05/10A·ESB19/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.800.670.931.200.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.640.820.361.000.910.64
vs Weaker (8)1.750.751.500.752.000.75
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Fredericia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.8%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

FC Fredericia · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Friday Etim29%
Oscar Buch27%
Sofus Johannesen27%
Jonatan Lindekilde24%
Agon Mucolli19%
Gustav Marcussen14%
Felix Winther11%
Svenn Crone10%
Patrick Egelund7%
Anders Dahl6%
Emilio Simonsen5%
William Madsen5%
Eskild Dall4%
Jeppe Kudsk4%
Jakob Jessen3%
Moses Opondo0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Haarbo33%
Jeppe Kudsk26%
Emilio Simonsen25%
Friday Etim21%
Svenn Crone20%
Felix Winther19%
Moses Opondo12%
Oscar Buch9%
Eskild Dall9%
Andreas Pyndt7%
Adam Nygaard7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Daniel Kristjansson6%
Jakob Jessen6%
William Madsen5%
Sofus Johannesen5%
Gustav Marcussen3%
Frederik Rieper3%
Patrick Egelund0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jonatan Lindekilde0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Kristjansson19%
Emilio Simonsen15%
Jakob Jessen12%
Jonatan Lindekilde12%
Andreas Pyndt11%
Sofus Johannesen9%
Eskild Dall9%
Felix Winther7%
Friday Etim7%
Gustav Marcussen7%
Patrick Egelund7%
Agon Mucolli6%
Moses Opondo6%
Anders Dahl6%
William Madsen5%
Oscar Buch5%
Adam Nygaard4%
Svenn Crone0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Friday Etim43%
Oscar Buch23%
Sofus Johannesen23%
Jonatan Lindekilde18%
Agon Mucolli12%
Emilio Simonsen10%
Felix Winther4%
Moses Opondo0%
Patrick Egelund0%
Andreas Pyndt0%
Svenn Crone0%
Gustav Marcussen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Mattias Lamhauge0%
Valdemar Birksø0%
Etienne Green0%
Anders Dahl0%
Eskild Dall0%
William Madsen0%
Frederik Rieper0%
Daniel Kristjansson0%
Elias Hansborg0%
Daniel Haarbo0%
Jeppe Kudsk0%
Martin Huldahl0%
Jakob Jessen0%
Malthe Ladefoged0%
Adam Nygaard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (24)
€17m
AH (27)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Hobro's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Fredericia's (€7m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€8m
AH (9)
€4m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Hobro and FC Fredericia have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Hobro and FC Fredericia have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ODE (9)
€7m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Hobro and FC Fredericia have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
HOB wins
3
Draws
3
FF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs FC Fredericia · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24AFC Fredericia Vs HOB1-1
02/06/24AFC Fredericia Vs HOB0-1
20/04/24HHOB Vs FC Fredericia1-2
25/02/24HHOB Vs FC Fredericia0-2
23/07/23AFC Fredericia Vs HOB0-2
05/05/23AFC Fredericia Vs HOB2-2
23/04/23HHOB Vs FC Fredericia0-1
23/10/22AFC Fredericia Vs HOB0-0

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/24AHB Koge Vs HOB4-1
04/10/24HHOB Vs Roskilde4-1
28/09/24AAC Horsens Vs HOB2-0
20/09/24HHOB Vs Kolding IF1-0
16/09/24AFC Fredericia Vs HOB1-1
10/09/24AMiddelfart Vs HOB3-2
02/09/24HHOB Vs B 930-1
25/08/24HHOB Vs Odense0-3
21/08/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB0-3
17/08/24HHOB Vs Hvidovre1-1

FC FredericiaFC Fredericia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AEsbjerg Vs FF0-3
05/10/24HFF Vs AC Horsens1-2
28/09/24HFF Vs B 933-0
23/09/24AHillerød Vs FF0-3
19/09/24HFF Vs Aalborg1-4
16/09/24HFF Vs Hobro1-1
04/09/24AB 1909 Vs FF0-4
01/09/24AHB Koge Vs FF3-4
25/08/24HFF Vs Hvidovre0-1
21/08/24AOdense Vs FF3-0

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.44
HomeDLLWW1.21
AwayWLDLL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%33%50%
AVG goals2.742.882.62
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.381.331.42
Conceded1.361.541.19
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet24%12%35%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Fredericia
FC Fredericia
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.68
HomeLDLWL1.48
AwayLWWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%44%56%
AVG goals3.243.003.48
Over 1.5 %80%76%84%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %44%44%44%
Scored1.961.642.28
Conceded1.281.361.20
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OdenseOdense3265
56%
2.0
6935+34
3.2
88%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
8372.21.1
-
2FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3264
62%
2.0
6530+35
3.0
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2332.00.9
-
3HillerødHillerød3252
44%
1.6
5638+18
2.9
78%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4AC HorsensAC Horsens3251
47%
1.6
4948+1
3.0
78%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.51.5
-
5Kolding IFKolding IF3250
44%
1.6
3628+8
2.0
53%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.10.9
-
6HvidovreHvidovre3245
38%
1.4
3335-2
2.1
53%
31%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.1
-
7EsbjergEsbjerg3241
41%
1.3
5256-4
3.4
88%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.61.8
-
8HobroHobro3239
31%
1.2
3951-12
2.8
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.6
-
9B 93B 933235
28%
1.1
4261-19
3.2
78%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.9
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
3657-21
2.9
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.8
-
11Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3230
22%
0.9
3549-14
2.6
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
12RoskildeRoskilde3226
22%
0.8
3761-24
3.1
88%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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