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Hobro vs Hvidovre Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 2-2
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
35%
28%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hvidovre
Hvidovre
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro win✗ Miss
34.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D30W00D00D01L22D31W12L21WH·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02H·VEN19/02A·FRE24/02H·NYK05/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.301.201.000.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.721.331.001.000.441.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D41W04L13L32W01L31W31W11D21WH·VEJ30/09A·FRE07/10H·NAE14/10A·VEJ22/10H·FC 29/10H·FC 05/11A·HB 13/11H·NYK18/02A·HIL25/02H·SON04/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.251.252.401.202.101.30
vs Stronger (2)2.002.002.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (17)2.351.182.441.222.251.12
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
Hobro goals ↓
Hvidovre goals →
01234
07.3%7.5%6.3%3.0%1.1%
17.1%13%8.5%4.1%1.5%
25.7%8.1%5.8%2.8%1.0%
32.6%3.7%2.7%1.3%0.5%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = Hvidovre goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
2.09
Hvidovre
1.81
Sonderjyske
1.75
Vendsyssel FF
1.44
FC Fredericia
1.41
HB Koge
1.38
Naestved
1.34
FC Helsingor
1.31
Hillerød
1.28
Hobro
1.19
Fremad Amager
1.06
Nykobing FC
0.72
Hobro is 0.62 points worse than Hvidovre in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hvidovre
2.03
Vejle
1.91
Sonderjyske
1.88
FC Fredericia
1.75
Naestved
1.56
HB Koge
1.56
Vendsyssel FF
1.50
FC Helsingor
1.47
Nykobing FC
1.34
Fremad Amager
1.19
Hillerød
1.16
Hobro
1.03
Hobro is 1.00 goals worse than Hvidovre in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 2.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vejle
0.94
Hvidovre
1.28
Hobro
1.31
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
Sonderjyske
1.41
Naestved
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hillerød
1.59
HB Koge
1.59
FC Helsingor
1.75
Fremad Amager
1.88
Nykobing FC
2.28
Hobro is 0.03 goals worse than Hvidovre in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D00D01L21W10W01L10WH·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02H·VEN19/02A·FRE24/02H·NYK05/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.600.500.400.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.330.610.440.440.220.78
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W01L10W11D01L00D10W00D00DH·VEJ30/09A·FRE07/10H·NAE14/10A·VEJ22/10H·FC 29/10H·FC 05/11A·HB 13/11H·NYK18/02A·HIL25/02H·SON04/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.251.100.300.800.20
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)1.000.241.220.330.750.12
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D00D00D01L21W11D11DH·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02H·VEN19/02A·FRE24/02H·NYK05/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.700.700.600.200.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.390.720.560.560.220.89
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HvidovreHvidovre

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D31W03L03L21W00D31W21W11D21WH·VEJ30/09A·FRE07/10H·NAE14/10A·VEJ22/10H·FC 29/10H·FC 05/11A·HB 13/11H·NYK18/02A·HIL25/02H·SON04/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.001.300.901.301.10
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (17)1.350.941.220.891.501.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Hvidovre · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Thomsen20%
Lirim Qamili18%
Mads Kaalund14%
Christian Jakobsen13%
Andreas Smed12%
Simon Makienok11%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Rejnhold38%
Jonas Gemmer33%
Nikolaj Geertsen30%
Ahmed Iljazovski21%
Martin Spelmann19%
Christian Jakobsen17%
Magnus Fredslund15%
Lirim Qamili14%
Marcus Lindberg14%
Marc Nielsen14%
Matti Olsen14%
Tobias Thomsen13%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni13%
Malte Kiilerich11%
Filip Đukić8%
Andreas Smed8%
Mathias Andreasen7%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Fredslund15%
Christian Jakobsen10%
Marc Nielsen10%
Marcus Lindberg7%
Ahmed Iljazovski7%
Tobias Thomsen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Andreas Smed4%
Jonas Gemmer4%
Lirim Qamili4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Thomsen27%
Lirim Qamili21%
Andreas Smed8%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Martin Spelmann4%
Christian Jakobsen3%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Hobro's squad is €1m more valuable than Hvidovre's (€7m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Hobro and Hvidovre have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Hobro and Hvidovre have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Hobro and Hvidovre have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
HOB wins
0
Draws
1
HVI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs Hvidovre · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/22AHvidovre Vs HOB6-0

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/03/23HHOB Vs Nykobing FC2-1
24/02/23AFremad Amager Vs HOB2-1
19/02/23HHOB Vs Vendsyssel FF3-1
11/02/23AHillerød Vs HOB2-2
04/11/22HHOB Vs HB Koge0-1
30/10/22HHOB Vs Naestved0-0
23/10/22AFC Fredericia Vs HOB0-0
14/10/22HHOB Vs Vejle3-0
08/10/22ASonderjyske Vs HOB0-0
29/09/22HHOB Vs Fremad Amager1-0

HvidovreHvidovre

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HHVI Vs Sonderjyske2-1
25/02/23AHillerød Vs HVI1-1
18/02/23HHVI Vs Nykobing FC3-1
13/11/22AHB Koge Vs HVI1-3
05/11/22HHVI Vs FC Helsingor0-1
29/10/22HHVI Vs FC Fredericia3-2
22/10/22AVejle Vs HVI3-1
14/10/22HHVI Vs Naestved0-4
07/10/22AFremad Amager Vs HVI1-4
30/09/22HHVI Vs Vejle1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.10
HomeWDLWW1.70
AwayLDDDL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%50%0%
AVG goals2.102.202.00
Over 1.5 %60%60%60%
Over 2.5 %40%50%30%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored0.801.200.40
Conceded1.301.001.60
BTTS35%40%30%
Clean Sheet35%40%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Hvidovre
Hvidovre
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW2.00
HomeLWLWW2.20
AwayWWLWD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%70%50%
AVG goals3.503.603.40
Over 1.5 %90%80%100%
Over 2.5 %70%70%70%
Over 3.5 %55%60%50%
Scored2.252.402.10
Conceded1.251.201.30
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle3267
62%
2.1
6130+31
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.90.9
-
2HvidovreHvidovre3258
53%
1.8
6541+24
3.3
81%
69%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
3SonderjyskeSonderjyske3256
50%
1.8
6045+15
3.3
78%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.91.4
-
4Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3246
41%
1.4
4843+5
2.8
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3245
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.2
78%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.81.5
-
6HB KogeHB Koge3244
41%
1.4
5051-1
3.2
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7NaestvedNaestved3243
34%
1.3
5048+2
3.1
84%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
8FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3242
41%
1.3
4756-9
3.2
72%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
9HillerødHillerød3241
38%
1.3
3751-14
2.8
81%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.6
-
10HobroHobro3238
28%
1.2
3342-9
2.3
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.3
-
11Fremad AmagerFremad Amager3234
31%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
69%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12Nykobing FCNykobing FC3223
19%
0.7
4373-30
3.6
91%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.3
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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