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Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF Result & Analysis

Date: 19/02/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Hobro
Hobro
Vs
39%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hobro winâś“ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF winâś— Miss
31.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L13L02L10W00D30W00D00D01L22DA·HVI01/09H·FC 11/09A·VEJ18/09H·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.290.881.000.331.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.621.310.881.000.381.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W22D41W02L21W10W00D12L32WA·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10H·HB 23/10A·FC 28/10H·NYK05/11A·FRE12/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.651.242.000.891.251.62
vs Stronger (15)1.601.202.120.751.001.71
vs Similar (2)2.001.501.002.003.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.1%
Under 2.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
Hobro goals ↓
Vendsyssel FF goals →
01234
010.0%8.7%5.7%2.2%0.6%
110.0%14%7.4%2.8%0.8%
27.3%8.4%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.1%3.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hobro goals (down), columns = Vendsyssel FF goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
2.09
Hvidovre
1.81
Sonderjyske
1.75
Vendsyssel FF
1.44
FC Fredericia
1.41
HB Koge
1.38
Naestved
1.34
FC Helsingor
1.31
Hillerød
1.28
Hobro
1.19
Fremad Amager
1.06
Nykobing FC
0.72
Hobro is 0.25 points worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hvidovre
2.03
Vejle
1.91
Sonderjyske
1.88
FC Fredericia
1.75
Naestved
1.56
HB Koge
1.56
Vendsyssel FF
1.50
FC Helsingor
1.47
Nykobing FC
1.34
Fremad Amager
1.19
Hillerød
1.16
Hobro
1.03
Hobro is 0.47 goals worse than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vejle
0.94
Hvidovre
1.28
Hobro
1.31
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
Sonderjyske
1.41
Naestved
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hillerød
1.59
HB Koge
1.59
FC Helsingor
1.75
Fremad Amager
1.88
Nykobing FC
2.28
Hobro is 0.03 goals better than Vendsyssel FF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L00D10W00D10W00D00D01L21WA·HVI01/09H·FC 11/09A·VEJ18/09H·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.650.380.500.220.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.620.380.500.250.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %59% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L20W01L10W10W00D01L21WA·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10H·HB 23/10A·FC 28/10H·NYK05/11A·FRE12/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.711.000.440.621.00
vs Stronger (15)0.800.671.120.380.431.00
vs Similar (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L02L00D00D20W00D00D00D01LA·HVI01/09H·FC 11/09A·VEJ18/09H·FRE29/09A·SON08/10H·VEJ14/10A·FC 23/10H·NAE30/10H·HB 04/11A·HIL11/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.650.500.500.110.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.310.690.500.500.120.88
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %59% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W20W21W01L11D00D00D11D11DA·NAE04/09H·VEJ11/09A·SON19/09H·FC 01/10A·HIL08/10H·FC 13/10H·HB 23/10A·FC 28/10H·NYK05/11A·FRE12/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.531.000.440.620.62
vs Stronger (15)0.800.531.000.380.570.71
vs Similar (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.0%-------âś— Miss
Over 1.571.3%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Hobro's squad is €6m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€7m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Hobro's attack is €1m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Hobro's midfield is €2m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Hobro's defence is €3m more valuable than Vendsyssel FF's (€3m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
HOB wins
0
Draws
1
VF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF · H/A from HOB
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/22AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-0

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/23AHillerød Vs HOB2-2
04/11/22HHOB Vs HB Koge0-1
30/10/22HHOB Vs Naestved0-0
23/10/22AFC Fredericia Vs HOB0-0
14/10/22HHOB Vs Vejle3-0
08/10/22ASonderjyske Vs HOB0-0
29/09/22HHOB Vs Fremad Amager1-0
18/09/22AVejle Vs HOB2-0
11/09/22HHOB Vs FC Fredericia1-3
01/09/22AHvidovre Vs HOB6-0

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22AFremad Amager Vs VF2-3
05/11/22HVF Vs Nykobing FC1-2
28/10/22AFC Helsingor Vs VF0-0
23/10/22HVF Vs HB Koge1-0
13/10/22HVF Vs FC Fredericia2-1
08/10/22AHillerød Vs VF2-0
01/10/22HVF Vs FC Helsingor4-1
19/09/22ASonderjyske Vs VF2-2
11/09/22HVF Vs Vejle2-0
04/09/22ANaestved Vs VF3-0

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD0.94
HomeLWWDL1.38
AwayLLDDD0.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%38%0%
AVG goals1.881.881.89
Over 1.5 %53%50%56%
Over 2.5 %29%38%22%
Over 3.5 %18%12%22%
Scored0.590.880.33
Conceded1.291.001.56
BTTS24%25%22%
Clean Sheet41%50%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.76
HomeWWWWL2.11
AwayLDLDW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%67%38%
AVG goals2.882.892.88
Over 1.5 %82%78%88%
Over 2.5 %59%56%62%
Over 3.5 %29%22%38%
Scored1.652.001.25
Conceded1.240.891.62
BTTS59%67%50%
Clean Sheet24%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle3267
62%
2.1
6130+31
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.90.9
-
2HvidovreHvidovre3258
53%
1.8
6541+24
3.3
81%
69%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.3
-
3SonderjyskeSonderjyske3256
50%
1.8
6045+15
3.3
78%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.91.4
-
4Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3246
41%
1.4
4843+5
2.8
75%
56%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3245
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.2
78%
69%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.81.5
-
6HB KogeHB Koge3244
41%
1.4
5051-1
3.2
72%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.61.6
-
7NaestvedNaestved3243
34%
1.3
5048+2
3.1
84%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
8FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3242
41%
1.3
4756-9
3.2
72%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
9HillerødHillerød3241
38%
1.3
3751-14
2.8
81%
41%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.6
-
10HobroHobro3238
28%
1.2
3342-9
2.3
69%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.01.3
-
11Fremad AmagerFremad Amager3234
31%
1.1
3860-22
3.1
69%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12Nykobing FCNykobing FC3223
19%
0.7
4373-30
3.6
91%
66%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.3
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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