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hodd vs Moss Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
hodd
hodd
Vs
55%
23%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The Pythia model predicts a high-scoring match between Hodd and Moss, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. Hodd's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning run, while Moss has struggled, with 4 straight defeats. However, Moss did manage to win their last game against Hodd, suggesting they may be capable of causing an upset.

The model predicts a home win for Hodd, with a probability of 55%. The draw is less likely at 23%, and an away win for Moss is the least probable outcome at 21%. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 10.4%.

Hodd has scored an average of 1.82 goals at home against similar opponents, while conceding 1.82 goals. Moss, on the other hand, has scored 0.9 goals away against similar opponents, while conceding 2.2 goals.

The model's selection is the Home win, with Over 1.5 goals also a strong pick at 85%. The Home win percentage is 55%, the draw percentage is 23%, and the away win percentage is 21%.

Results analysis

The win extends Hodd's run to three consecutive victories, following a 4-3 triumph over Sandnes ULF. They now sit on a 2-game winning streak, having previously drawn and lost to Moss. The final score of 2-1 was in line with the model's most likely outcome, with 1-1 and 2-1 being the top two predicted scores. The model's selection, Home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 55%. The model's call was spot on, as Hodd's home form and recent results suggested a strong chance of victory. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with a probability of 85%, while the most likely total goals was 3, with a 22% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

hodd win✓ Hit
55.5%
Avg Implied 43.3% · @ 2.12
Edge
+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.17
Dafabet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.69
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.94
BetVictor
3.90
Unibet
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Moss win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.89
Edge
-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.04
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.98
Betano
2.95
Dafabet
2.95

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W01L04L33D03L13L00D00D43W06LH·MOS20/09H·LYN29/09A·LIL04/10H·ASA18/10A·KON22/10H·STA25/10A·EGE01/11H·AAL08/11H·STR04/07A·STA27/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.931.601.600.872.27
vs Stronger (11)0.642.000.801.600.502.33
vs Similar (17)1.652.002.111.671.122.38
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L24L02L11D12L11D21W12L03L12LA·LYN05/10H·KON18/10A·EGE22/10H·AAL25/10A·STA01/11H·RAU08/11H·BRA23/11A·BRA29/11A·EGE04/07H·RAU26/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.232.071.731.930.732.20
vs Stronger (10)0.902.901.403.400.402.40
vs Similar (18)1.391.721.891.220.892.22
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
@ 1.11+1.6%
Under 1.5
15.0%
@ 5.59-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Pinnacle
5.97
BetVictor
5.75
888Sport
5.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.43-0.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Betano
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.7%
@ 2.09-2.8%
Under 3.5
58.3%
@ 1.68+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.7%
@ 1.38-3.9%
No
37.3%
@ 2.76+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
William Hil
1.40
No
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
2.80
Unibet
2.80
1xBet
2.77
888Sport
2.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%@ 7.22+4.2%
2-1 ✓
9.7%@ 8.18+4.3%
2-0
7.9%@ 12.70+4.4%
1-0
6.7%@ 11.30+2.8%
3-1
6.7%@ 12.88+3.2%
2-2
6.0%@ 9.59+1.3%
1-2
5.8%@ 9.71+1.2%
3-0
5.4%@ 19.65+3.1%
hodd goals ↓
Moss goals →
01234
04.7%3.6%2.8%1.2%0.4%
16.7%10%5.8%2.4%0.7%
27.9%9.7%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.4%6.7%4.1%1.7%0.5%
42.8%3.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Moss goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kongsvinger
1.74
Egersund
1.72
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Haugesund
1.54
Stromsgodset
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Bryne
1.42
Sandnes ULF
1.23
Strommen
1.11
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
hodd
1.10
Stabaek
1.03
Asane
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
hodd is 0.13 points better than Moss in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
2.10
Haugesund
1.79
Egersund
1.72
Stromsgodset
1.72
Bryne
1.65
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.43
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Strommen
1.29
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
hodd
1.13
hodd is 0.24 goals worse than Moss in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lyn
1.23
Egersund
1.34
Haugesund
1.40
Stromsgodset
1.46
Bryne
1.51
Kongsvinger
1.52
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Sandnes ULF
1.74
Stabaek
1.77
Asane
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Strommen
1.93
Moss
2.12
hodd is 0.39 goals better than Moss in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 2.12).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L12L02L12L00D00D32W03LH·MOS20/09H·LYN29/09A·LIL04/10H·ASA18/10A·KON22/10H·STA25/10A·EGE01/11H·AAL08/11H·STR04/07A·STA27/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.901.000.670.531.13
vs Stronger (11)0.550.730.600.400.501.00
vs Similar (17)1.001.001.330.780.621.25
vs Weaker (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L12L00D11D12L00D11D00D02L11DA·LYN05/10H·KON18/10A·EGE22/10H·AAL25/10A·STA01/11H·RAU08/11H·BRA23/11A·BRA29/11A·EGE04/07H·RAU26/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.870.800.201.00
vs Stronger (10)0.401.400.601.600.201.20
vs Similar (18)0.610.671.000.440.220.89
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%1.11
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
+1.6%✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (27)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (25)
€9m
STR (23)
€7m
BRY (23)
€6m
KON (26)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (21)
€4m
MOS (24)
€4m
LYN (25)
€4m
RAN (23)
€4m
HOD (21)
€3m
ASA (24)
€3m
SU (22)
€3m
RAU (21)
€2m
STR (24)
€2m
hodd and Moss have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASA (0)
€0m
BRY (0)
€0m
EGE (0)
€0m
HAU (0)
€0m
HOD (0)
€0m
KON (0)
€0m
LYN (0)
€0m
MOS (0)
€0m
OB (0)
€0m
RAN (0)
€0m
RAU (0)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
SOG (0)
€0m
STA (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
HOD wins
1
Draws
2
MOS wins

Head-to-head

hodd vs Moss · H/A from HOD
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HHOD Vs Moss2-1
18/06/25AMoss Vs HOD3-1
01/10/23AMoss Vs HOD3-0
13/05/23HHOD Vs Moss1-1

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/26AStabaek Vs HOD6-0
04/07/26HHOD Vs Stromsgodset4-3
08/11/25HHOD Vs Aalesund0-0
01/11/25AEgersund Vs HOD0-0
25/10/25HHOD Vs Stabaek1-3
22/10/25AKongsvinger Vs HOD3-0
18/10/25HHOD Vs Asane3-3
04/10/25ALillestrom Vs HOD4-0
29/09/25HHOD Vs Lyn0-1
20/09/25HHOD Vs Moss2-1

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HMOS Vs Raufoss1-2
04/07/26AEgersund Vs MOS3-0
29/11/25ABrattvåg Vs MOS2-1
23/11/25HMOS Vs Brattvåg2-1
08/11/25HMOS Vs Raufoss1-1
01/11/25AStart Vs MOS2-1
25/10/25HMOS Vs Aalesund1-1
22/10/25AEgersund Vs MOS2-0
18/10/25HMOS Vs Kongsvinger2-4
05/10/25ALyn Vs MOS4-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.10
HomeLDLDW1.36
AwayWLLDL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.742.842.64
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.041.400.68
Conceded1.701.441.96
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.12
HomeLDDWL1.88
AwayLLLLL0.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%56%4%
AVG goals3.283.682.88
Over 1.5 %88%92%84%
Over 2.5 %66%72%60%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.442.160.72
Conceded1.841.522.16
BTTS62%76%48%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners7.005.009.00
Cards4.504.005.00

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1StabaekStabaek412
100%
3.0
163+13
4.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0004.00.8
-
2hoddhodd512
80%
2.4
1416-2
6.0
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.83.2
-
3EgersundEgersund510
60%
2.0
107+3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0002.01.4
-
4BryneBryne510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0001.41.0
-
5HaugesundHaugesund59
60%
1.8
1711+6
5.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0003.42.2
-
6KongsvingerKongsvinger49
75%
2.2
127+5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0003.01.8
-
7LynLyn47
50%
1.8
128+4
5.0
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0003.02.0
-
8StromsgodsetStromsgodset57
40%
1.4
98+1
3.4
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0001.81.6
-
9SogndalSogndal46
50%
1.5
77+0
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.81.8
-
10ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb55
20%
1.0
912-3
4.2
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.82.4
-
11StrommenStrommen44
25%
1.0
79-2
4.0
75%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.82.2
-
12AsaneAsane44
25%
1.0
710-3
4.2
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.82.5
-
13RanheimRanheim43
25%
0.8
1011-1
5.2
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0002.52.8
-
14RaufossRaufoss43
25%
0.8
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.23.0
-
15MossMoss51
0%
0.2
612-6
3.6
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.22.4
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF51
0%
0.2
515-10
4.0
100%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.03.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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