Stabaek’s five-game winning streak and a recent 4-2 triumph over Ranheim give the visitors a clear edge, while hodd’s home form has dipped after a 1-3 loss to Stromsgodset. The model therefore picks an away win, with the probabilities 51% for Stabaek, 27% for hodd and 22% for a draw. The expected goal total is 3.7, centring on a 3-goal match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9% chance. hodd, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.33 conceded, whereas Stabaek, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 3.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2% also 7% edge, Under 7.5 at 96.4% with a 2% edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1% and 8% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.0% with an 11% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.7%, Under 6.5 at 91.8% with a 2% edge, and Over 1.5 at 89.3% with a 4% edge.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, the away win, failed to materialise as hodd edged Stabaek 2-1, a result that surprised the model. The model had given the away side a 51% chance, but the home side’s recent form - four wins from five, including a 2-1 victory over Stabaek - proved decisive. The model’s selection was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Under 7.5 at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 92.7%, Under 6.5 at 91.8%, and Over 1.5 at 89.3%. The match delivered a home win, defying the model’s expectation and confirming the strength of hodd’s recent form.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
hodd win✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 18.9% · @ 4.85
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.14
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.93
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.48
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.74
Marathonbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
Dafabet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Stabaek win✗ Miss
50.5%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.51
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.55
Dafabet
1.54
Superbet
1.54
BetVictor
1.53
1xBet
1.53
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
hodd
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.17
1.79
1.79
1.25
2.50
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
3.50
1.50
2.50
0.75
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.91
1.83
1.67
1.36
2.18
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stabaek
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.83
2.29
1.93
2.06
1.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.74
2.30
1.91
2.45
1.58
2.17
vs Weaker (7)
3.57
0.29
3.67
0.00
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.3%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Under 1.5
10.7%
@ 6.50-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
Under
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Pinnacle
6.94
1xBet
6.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.6%
@ 1.34+2.2%
Under 2.5
28.4%
@ 3.03-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
BetVictor
3.10
Bet365
3.10
Pinnacle
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.7%
@ 1.88+1.0%
Under 3.5
49.3%
@ 1.86-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
SBO
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.5%
@ 1.42+5.5%
No
29.5%
@ 2.63-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
No
Betfair
2.80
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%@ 8.94+4.1%
1-2
8.8%@ 7.63+3.0%
2-2
6.9%@ 11.33+3.0%
2-1 ✓
6.4%@ 14.34+3.3%
1-3
6.3%@ 9.54+1.7%
0-2
5.7%@ 9.76+1.1%
2-3
4.9%@ 14.02+1.8%
0-1
4.5%@ 11.01+0.4%
hodd goals ↓
Stabaek goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
4.5%
5.7%
4.1%
2.2%
1
3.0%
9.0%
8.8%
6.3%
3.4%
2
3.0%
6.4%
6.9%
4.9%
2.6%
3
1.5%
3.3%
3.6%
2.6%
1.4%
4
0.6%
1.3%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = hodd goals (down), columns = Stabaek goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.50
Kongsvinger
2.17
hodd
2.14
Haugesund
2.14
Stromsgodset
1.86
Bryne
1.86
Lyn
1.83
Strommen
1.67
Egersund
1.57
Sogndal
1.17
ODD Ballklubb
1.14
Asane
0.83
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Raufoss
0.50
Ranheim
0.50
Moss
0.29
hodd is 0.36 points worse than Stabaek in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stabaek
3.50
Haugesund
3.14
Lyn
3.00
Kongsvinger
2.83
Ranheim
2.50
hodd
2.43
Stromsgodset
2.14
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Sogndal
1.83
Egersund
1.71
Asane
1.67
Moss
1.29
Bryne
1.14
Sandnes ULF
1.14
Raufoss
1.00
hodd is 1.07 goals worse than Stabaek in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
1.00
Stabaek
1.17
Haugesund
1.57
Stromsgodset
1.57
Egersund
1.71
Kongsvinger
1.83
Strommen
1.83
Sogndal
2.00
Lyn
2.17
Moss
2.29
ODD Ballklubb
2.29
Sandnes ULF
2.29
Asane
2.33
hodd
2.86
Raufoss
3.00
Ranheim
3.33
hodd is 1.69 goals worse than Stabaek in terms of goals conceded per game (2.86 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
hodd or Draw✓ Hit
49.5%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.40
Edge
+10.7%
27%
22%
51%
covers hodd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
hodd or Stabaek✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 80.1% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.4%
27%
22%
51%
covers hodd + Stabaek
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw or Stabaek✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied 81.1% · @ 1.15
Edge
-8.3%
27%
22%
51%
covers Draw + Stabaek
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
hodd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.9%
@ 1.32+8.8%
Under
21.1%
@ 3.10-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.10
hodd over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
46.1%
@ 2.55+9.7%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.46-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.69
Betfair
2.63
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Betano
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
hodd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.6%
@ 5.88+4.8%
Under
79.4%
@ 1.10-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.90
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
hodd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 14.75+0.8%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.02-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Stabaek over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.3%
@ 1.06-0.4%
Under
11.7%
@ 8.38+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Under
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Stabaek over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.3%
@ 1.36-4.5%
Under
36.7%
@ 2.88+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
BetVictor
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Stabaek over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.4%
@ 2.14-7.0%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.64+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Stabaek over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 3.89-6.8%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.22+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to hodd, so a minus line means hodd give that many goals of a start and Stabaek receive them. At -1, hodd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal hodd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (hodd)Actual: Stabaek
hodd -2
4.9%
@ 26.00+1.3%
Draw -2
8.0%
@ 15.00+1.7%
Stabaek +2
87.0%
@ 1.05-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Handicap -1 (hodd)Actual: Draw
hodd -1
13.0%
@ 8.70+2.9%
Draw -1
14.2%
@ 6.25+0.1%
Stabaek +1
72.9%
@ 1.15-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
6.10
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
Handicap +1 (hodd)Actual: hodd
hodd +1
49.5%
@ 2.45+13.0%
Draw +1
19.9%
@ 3.87-3.2%
Stabaek -1
30.7%
@ 2.21-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
Unibet
2.40
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Away
10Bet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Handicap +2 (hodd)Actual: hodd
hodd +2
69.3%
@ 1.56+12.1%
Draw +2
15.3%
@ 4.61-4.0%
Stabaek -2
15.3%
@ 3.80-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.76
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
hodd
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
1.21
0.79
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.33
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.91
1.17
0.75
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stabaek
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.70
0.93
0.86
0.94
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.87
0.73
1.09
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.14
1.67
0.00
1.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
74.3%
@ 1.18-3.9%
Under 0.5
25.7%
@ 4.24+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.1%
@ 1.94-5.0%
Under 1.5
56.9%
@ 1.79+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
SBO
2.01
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.7%
@ 3.88-8.1%
Under 2.5
84.3%
@ 1.21+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.84
Under
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 2.15+2.4%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.63-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.66
Superbet
1.64
Unibet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.80-1.9%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.07+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.70
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 11.25-6.3%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Stabaek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
56.8%
@ 1.44-7.7%
Under
43.2%
@ 2.62+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Unibet
1.42
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Unibet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Betano
2.50
Stabaek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 3.08-11.4%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.32+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.15
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
Stabaek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 7.45-8.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.05+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
hodd
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.20
0.57
1.00
0.75
1.38
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.17
0.00
1.50
0.25
2.50
vs Similar (23)
0.78
1.00
0.67
0.92
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stabaek) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stabaek
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.13
1.36
1.07
1.12
1.19
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.96
1.43
1.18
1.36
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.14
2.00
0.00
2.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.2%
@ 1.11-4.1%
Under 0.5
19.8%
@ 5.93+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
5.85
William Hil
5.50
Betano
5.40
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
50.4%
@ 1.55-9.1%
Under 1.5
49.6%
@ 2.28+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.55
Under
10Bet
2.38
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
1xBet
2.27
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.7%
@ 2.69-9.5%
Under 2.5
75.3%
@ 1.40+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.69
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.67
Under
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.0%
@ 1.81-3.1%
Under
52.0%
@ 1.89+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.4%
@ 5.00-2.1%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.13+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.65
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 9.50-6.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Stabaek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
66.8%
@ 1.28-5.5%
Under
33.2%
@ 3.35+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Stabaek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.6%
@ 2.33-13.1%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.53+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
Stabaek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 4.95-11.4%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.13+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.8%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.3%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Unibet
1.09
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.0%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.3%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
82.9%
1.13
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
82.9%
1.22
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.32
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Betano
1.31
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.11
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.9%
1.32
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.6%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.40
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
+9.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.3%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
-3.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.53
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
72.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-8.3%
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
72.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
-
-
-3.0%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
71.6%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
+2.2%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.5%
1.42
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
+5.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Stabaek · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasper Høgh36%
Mushaga Bakenga24%
Simen Wangberg15%
Kevin Kabran15%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Curtis Edwards7%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Sturla Ottesen4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Fredrik Krogstad0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Herman Geelmuyden27%
Andreas Skovgaard18%
Jonatan Lucca18%
Simen Wangberg15%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Curtis Edwards11%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov8%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge8%
Kasper Høgh7%
Nicolai Naess7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Nikolas Walstad5%
Isak Pettersson3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rasmus Eggen Vinge15%
Nikolas Walstad14%
Fredrik Krogstad11%
Nicolai Naess10%
Kasper Høgh7%
Sturla Ottesen7%
Mushaga Bakenga7%
Kevin Kabran5%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov4%
Kasper Pedersen4%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Fredrik Haugen0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Simen Wangberg0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Luca Kjerrumgaard0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh29%
Mushaga Bakenga17%
Luca Kjerrumgaard9%
Fredrik Haugen8%
Simen Wangberg8%
Kevin Kabran5%
Fredrik Krogstad4%
Nicolai Naess3%
Gaute Hoberg Vetti0%
Kasper Pedersen0%
Tobias Pachonik0%
Andreas Skovgaard0%
Nicolas Pignatel Jenssen0%
Jonatan Lucca0%
Curtis Edwards0%
Isak Pettersson0%
Nikolas Walstad0%
Kaloyan Kalinov Kostadinov0%
Herman Geelmuyden0%
Sturla Ottesen0%
Keegan Jelacic0%
Aleksander Andresen0%
Rasmus Eggen Vinge0%
Oskar Spiten-Nysaether0%
Sebastian Olderheim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
HAU (24)
€9m
STR (22)
€7m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
STR (19)
€2m
hodd's squad is €6m less valuable than Stabaek's (€3m vs €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STA (9)
€5m
STR (9)
€3m
HAU (8)
€3m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
STR (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
hodd's attack is €4m less valuable than Stabaek's (€1m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (7)
€3m
HAU (6)
€2m
STR (5)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
STR (4)
€0m
hodd's midfield is €1m less valuable than Stabaek's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAU (10)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
STR (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
STR (10)
€1m
hodd's defence is €1m less valuable than Stabaek's (€1m vs €3m).
Norway: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Haugesund
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
Bryne
Lyn
Egersund
Strommen
ODD Ballklubb
Sogndal
Asane
Sandnes ULF
Ranheim
Raufoss
Moss