Horní Ředice will face Dukla Praha in a Czech Republic Cup tie that the model predicts will end in an away win. The probability of a home victory sits at 19 %, a draw at 22 %, and Dukla’s win at 59 %, making the latter the clear favourite. The expected total goals is 3.2, with the most likely total of three goals at 22 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.3 % chance. Horní Ředice, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened side, averages zero goals scored and concedes two. Dukla, on the road, averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.3 % with a 3 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Under 6.5 (95.4 % with a 4 % edge), Away +2 handicap (92.7 %), Home under 2.5 goals (89.7 %), Under 5.5 (89.3 % with a 5 % edge), Away over 0.5 goals (87.7 %), and Over 1.5 (84.0 %). Horní Ředice’s recent form shows a 2-game winning run, while Dukla’s last five include two straight defeats.
Results analysis
Horní Ředice’s recent form, a string of two wins and a loss, ended in a 0-5 defeat to Dukla Praha, who had come off a 5-0 victory. The model correctly predicted an away win, with a 59% probability, and the final score matched that outcome. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit, Home under 3.5 goals hit, Under 6.5 hit, Away +2 handicap hit, Home under 2.5 goals hit, Under 5.5 hit, Away over 0.5 goals hit, and Over 1.5 hit. Each hit was recorded with its probability - 98.3%, 97.3%, 95.4%, 92.7%, 89.7%, 89.3%, 87.7%, and 84.0% respectively - showing the model’s predictions were well supported.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Horní Ředice win✗ Miss
18.5%
Avg Implied 8.8% · @ 10.30
Edge
+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
13.00
BetVictor
13.00
Betfair
12.00
1xBet
11.50
Marathonbet
11.50
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 14.7% · @ 6.15
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
7.00
Marathonbet
6.55
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.50
Pinnacle
6.47
Dukla Praha win✓ Hit
59.0%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.18
Edge
-17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.22
Dafabet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Horní Ředice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.75
1.00
1.40
1.00
2.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.33
1.33
1.33
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
2.00
0.80
1.50
0.50
2.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dukla Praha
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.47
0.80
1.33
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
2.33
0.00
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.92
1.48
0.73
1.36
1.07
1.57
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Horní Ředice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
@ 1.09-1.9%
Under 1.5
16.0%
@ 6.62+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
Under
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
@ 1.34-6.0%
Under 2.5
37.7%
@ 2.89+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Bet365
3.10
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.1%
@ 1.90-8.3%
Under 3.5
59.9%
@ 1.79+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.96
1xBet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
SBO
1.83
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.9%
@ 1.81+9.2%
No
40.1%
@ 1.86-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.87
Betfair
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
No
Unibet
2.05
Superbet
1.92
Betfair
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%@ 11.43+6.7%
1-2
9.9%@ 8.36+4.8%
0-2
8.8%@ 6.79+2.6%
0-1
7.5%@ 9.04+2.8%
1-3
6.9%@ 8.86+2.1%
0-3
6.2%@ 7.23+0.4%
2-2
5.5%@ 18.78+3.3%
2-1
5.3%@ 27.61+3.7%
Horní Ředice goals ↓
Dukla Praha goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
7.5%
8.8%
6.2%
3.2%
1
3.5%
10%
9.9%
6.9%
3.6%
2
2.5%
5.3%
5.5%
3.9%
2.0%
3
0.9%
2.0%
2.1%
1.4%
0.8%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Horní Ředice goals (down), columns = Dukla Praha goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Karviná
3.00
Frýdek-Místek
2.50
Uničov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Slavia Praha
2.33
Bohemians 1905
2.33
Hlinsko
2.25
Zbrojovka Brno
2.25
FK Jablonec
2.17
Slaný
2.00
Vítkovice
2.00
Nové Sady
2.00
Vysoké Mýto
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Jiskra Domažlice
2.00
Hlučín
2.00
Brandýs nad Labem
2.00
Králův Dvůr
2.00
Trutnov
2.00
Vrchovina
2.00
Hodonín
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Dukla Praha
2.00
Slovan Liberec
2.00
Plzen
2.00
Zlin
2.00
Slovácko
2.00
Prostějov
2.00
Třinec
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
1.75
Karlovy Vary
1.75
Horní Ředice
1.75
Hradec Králové
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Mlada Boleslav
1.60
Písek
1.50
Slavičín
1.50
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Sparta Brno
1.50
Rapid Psáry
1.50
Aritma Praha
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Motorlet Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Komárov
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Zabreh
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Štětí
1.50
Spartak Soběslav
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Velké Hamry
1.50
Unie Hlubina
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Pěnčín
1.50
Chomutov
1.50
Kladno
1.50
České Budějovice
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Rokycany
1.33
Hranice
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Bospor Bohumín
1.33
Baník Ostrava
1.25
Artis
1.25
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.06
Vestec
1.06
Šternberk
1.06
Bystrc Kníničky
1.06
Horni Becva
1.06
Spartak Pribram
1.06
Hermanuv Mestec
1.06
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.06
Velká Bíteš
1.06
Belotin
1.06
SK Krumvir
1.06
Hvězda Cheb
1.06
Strakonice
1.06
Slavia Vejprnice
1.06
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.06
Kravare
1.06
Stará Říše
1.06
TJ Bystrice
1.06
Branik
1.06
Dvůr Králové
1.06
Letohrad
1.06
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.06
Vykan
1.06
Blansko
1.06
Bedrichov
1.06
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.06
Nyrsko
1.06
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Břeclav
1.00
Uherský Brod
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Kolín
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
1.00
Ráječko
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Opava
1.00
Čáslav
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Havířov
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Vratimov
0.67
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Kuřim
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Sokol Hostouň
0.50
Neratovice-Byškovice
0.00
Bzenec
0.00
Hořovicko
0.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
0.00
Bílovec
0.00
Velké Meziříčí
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Stonava
0.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
0.00
Valašské Meziříčí
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Hluk
0.00
Břidličná
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Šumperk
0.00
Tempo Praha
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Benešov
0.00
Tatran Všechovice
0.00
Křimice
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Milevsko
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Chrudim
0.00
Znojmo
0.00
Sigma Olomouc
0.00
Vlašim
0.00
Horní Ředice is 0.25 points worse than Dukla Praha in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Táborsko
4.33
Uničov
4.00
Prostějov
4.00
Třinec
4.00
Frýdek-Místek
3.75
Králův Dvůr
3.67
Slaný
3.50
Vítkovice
3.50
Slovan Liberec
3.50
Karviná
3.50
Vysoké Mýto
3.00
Aritma Praha
3.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
3.00
Velké Hamry
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Hodonín
2.67
Slavia Praha
2.67
Plzen
2.67
Sparta Brno
2.50
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Vrchovina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Trutnov
2.33
Sparta Praha
2.33
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Zlin
2.33
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Nové Sady
2.20
Neratovice-Byškovice
2.00
Písek
2.00
Slavičín
2.00
Hořovicko
2.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
2.00
Velké Meziříčí
2.00
Břidličná
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Štětí
2.00
Spartak Soběslav
2.00
Benešov
2.00
Unie Hlubina
2.00
Hlinsko
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
2.00
Bospor Bohumín
2.00
Kladno
2.00
Milevsko
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Hradec Králové
2.00
Pardubice
2.00
Bohemians 1905
2.00
Mlada Boleslav
2.00
Sigma Olomouc
2.00
Vysočina Jihlava
2.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
FK Jablonec
1.83
Horní Ředice
1.75
Zbrojovka Brno
1.75
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Petřín Plzeň
1.67
Tatran Bohunice
1.67
Hranice
1.67
Brandýs nad Labem
1.67
Klasterec n. Oh.
1.57
Vestec
1.57
Šternberk
1.57
Bystrc Kníničky
1.57
Horni Becva
1.57
Spartak Pribram
1.57
Hermanuv Mestec
1.57
Slavoj Vyšehrad
1.57
Velká Bíteš
1.57
Belotin
1.57
SK Krumvir
1.57
Hvězda Cheb
1.57
Strakonice
1.57
Slavia Vejprnice
1.57
Slavia Hradec Králové
1.57
Kravare
1.57
Stará Říše
1.57
TJ Bystrice
1.57
Branik
1.57
Dvůr Králové
1.57
Letohrad
1.57
Rychnov n. Kneznou
1.57
Vykan
1.57
Blansko
1.57
Bedrichov
1.57
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
1.57
Nyrsko
1.57
Havlíčkův Brod
1.50
Meteor Praha
1.50
Povltava FA
1.50
Strání
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Kozlovice
1.50
Sokol Lanžhot
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Chotebor
1.50
Kosmonosy
1.50
Baník Souš
1.50
Vsetín
1.50
Doubravka
1.50
Sokol Hostouň
1.50
Slovan Velvary
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Teplice
1.50
Artis
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.33
Rokycany
1.33
Vratimov
1.33
Sokol Brozany
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.33
Slovácko
1.33
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Bílovec
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Stonava
1.00
Kuřim
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Hlučín
1.00
Valašské Meziříčí
1.00
Hluk
1.00
Zabreh
1.00
Šumperk
1.00
Tempo Praha
1.00
Tatran Všechovice
1.00
Křimice
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
Chrudim
1.00
Znojmo
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Hanácká
1.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
0.67
Brumov
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Baník Sokolov
0.50
Přepeře
0.50
Bzenec
0.00
Břeclav
0.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Sokol Zápy
0.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
0.00
Svitavy
0.00
Holešov
0.00
Frýdlant
0.00
Opava
0.00
Humpolec
0.00
Varnsdorf
0.00
Příbram
0.00
Horní Ředice is 0.42 goals better than Dukla Praha in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Břeclav
0.00
Uherský Brod
0.00
Spartak Police n/Metují
0.00
Opava
0.00
Sparta Praha
0.33
Vysočina Jihlava
0.33
Mlada Boleslav
0.40
Písek
0.50
Havlíčkův Brod
0.50
Motorlet Praha
0.50
Hlučín
0.50
Štětí
0.50
Frýdek-Místek
0.50
Slovan Liberec
0.50
Vysoké Mýto
0.67
Hodonín
0.67
Dukla Praha
0.67
Slavia Praha
0.67
Bohemians 1905
0.67
Slovácko
0.67
Karviná
0.67
Loko Vltavín
1.00
Vítkovice
1.00
Aritma Praha
1.00
Polanka nad Odrou
1.00
Meteor Praha
1.00
Strání
1.00
Turnov
1.00
Vrchovina
1.00
Frýdlant
1.00
Velké Hamry
1.00
Slovan Velvary
1.00
Pěnčín
1.00
Slavoj Český Krumlov
1.00
Humpolec
1.00
Sokol Tasovice
1.00
Ostrov
1.00
FK Jablonec
1.00
Hradec Králové
1.00
Teplice
1.00
Zbrojovka Brno
1.00
Viktoria Žižkov
1.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.00
Hlinsko
1.25
Artis
1.25
Třinec
1.25
Sokol Brozany
1.33
Uničov
1.33
Trutnov
1.33
FS Třebíč
1.33
Plzen
1.33
Zlin
1.33
Slaný
1.50
Kolín
1.50
Baník Sokolov
1.50
Admira Praha
1.50
Horní Ředice
1.50
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
1.50
Kladno
1.50
Nový Jičín
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Hanácká
1.50
Jiskra Domažlice
1.67
Pardubice
1.67
Baník Ostrava
1.75
Nové Sady
1.80
Slavičín
2.00
Petřín Plzeň
2.00
Tatran Bohunice
2.00
Benátky nad Jizerou
2.00
Kuřim
2.00
Ústí nad Orlicí
2.00
Hluboka nad Vltavou
2.00
Ráječko
2.00
Sokol Lanžhot
2.00
Kosmonosy
2.00
Šumperk
2.00
Holešov
2.00
Přepeře
2.00
Křimice
2.00
Sokol Hostouň
2.00
Chomutov
2.00
Varnsdorf
2.00
Ústí nad Labem
2.00
Havířov
2.00
Chrudim
2.00
Znojmo
2.00
Vlašim
2.00
Táborsko
2.00
Klasterec n. Oh.
2.13
Vestec
2.13
Šternberk
2.13
Bystrc Kníničky
2.13
Horni Becva
2.13
Spartak Pribram
2.13
Hermanuv Mestec
2.13
Slavoj Vyšehrad
2.13
Velká Bíteš
2.13
Belotin
2.13
SK Krumvir
2.13
Hvězda Cheb
2.13
Strakonice
2.13
Slavia Vejprnice
2.13
Slavia Hradec Králové
2.13
Kravare
2.13
Stará Říše
2.13
TJ Bystrice
2.13
Branik
2.13
Dvůr Králové
2.13
Letohrad
2.13
Rychnov n. Kneznou
2.13
Vykan
2.13
Blansko
2.13
Bedrichov
2.13
Sl. Ceske Budejovice
2.13
Nyrsko
2.13
Karlovy Vary
2.25
Rokycany
2.33
Vratimov
2.33
Králův Dvůr
2.33
Rapid Psáry
2.50
Komárov
2.50
Zabreh
2.50
Baník Souš
2.50
Vsetín
2.50
Unie Hlubina
2.50
České Budějovice
2.50
Hranice
2.67
Bospor Bohumín
2.67
Neratovice-Byškovice
3.00
Sparta Brno
3.00
Hořovicko
3.00
Ždírec nad Doubravou
3.00
Brumov
3.00
Bílovec
3.00
Sokol Zápy
3.00
Žďár nad Sázavou
3.00
Valašské Meziříčí
3.00
Hluk
3.00
Brandýs nad Labem
3.00
Spartak Soběslav
3.00
Benešov
3.00
Tatran Všechovice
3.00
Čáslav
3.00
Příbram
3.00
Sigma Olomouc
3.00
Kozlovice
3.50
Chotebor
3.50
Doubravka
3.50
Velké Meziříčí
4.00
Milevsko
4.00
Bzenec
5.00
Povltava FA
5.00
Jiskra Rýmařov
5.00
Tempo Praha
5.00
Stonava
6.00
Břidličná
6.00
Svitavy
7.00
Horní Ředice is 0.83 goals worse than Dukla Praha in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Horní Ředice or Draw✗ Miss
41.0%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.89
Edge
+17.1%
19%
22%
59%
covers Horní Ředice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
BetVictor
4.00
Horní Ředice or Dukla Praha✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied 86.4% · @ 1.08
Edge
-8.9%
19%
22%
59%
covers Horní Ředice + Dukla Praha
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Draw or Dukla Praha✓ Hit
81.5%
Avg Implied 89.7% · @ 1.04
Edge
-8.2%
19%
22%
59%
covers Draw + Dukla Praha
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Unibet
1.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Horní Ředice over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.2%
@ 1.77+15.2%
Under
32.8%
@ 1.91-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.75
Under
Unibet
2.15
BetVictor
1.95
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Marathonbet
1.87
Horní Ředice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.7%
@ 4.94+12.1%
Under
69.3%
@ 1.13-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Horní Ředice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 19.00+5.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.02-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Horní Ředice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 51.00-97.3%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
87.7%
@ 1.02-4.8%
Under
12.3%
@ 12.75+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
12.50
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.0%
@ 1.23-13.2%
Under
38.0%
@ 3.73+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Under
BetVictor
3.90
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
1xBet
3.50
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.0%
@ 1.71-18.5%
Under
65.0%
@ 1.98+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Dukla Praha over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
16.1%
@ 2.88-16.1%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.37+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.35
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Horní Ředice, so a minus line means Horní Ředice give that many goals of a start and Dukla Praha receive them. At -1, Horní Ředice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Horní Ředice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Horní Ředice)Actual: Dukla Praha
Horní Ředice -2
2.1%
Draw -2
5.1%
Dukla Praha +2
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Horní Ředice)Actual: Dukla Praha
Horní Ředice -1
7.3%
@ 26.00+3.7%
Draw -1
11.3%
@ 13.00+4.1%
Dukla Praha +1
81.5%
@ 1.05-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Handicap +1 (Horní Ředice)Actual: Dukla Praha
Horní Ředice +1
41.0%
@ 4.26+20.0%
Draw +1
22.1%
@ 4.28+1.1%
Dukla Praha -1
36.9%
@ 1.55-21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +2 (Horní Ředice)Actual: Dukla Praha
Horní Ředice +2
63.1%
@ 2.23+23.7%
Draw +2
18.1%
@ 3.86-4.6%
Dukla Praha -2
18.8%
@ 2.31-19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.35
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
1.93
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.25
Away
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Horní Ředice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
0.25
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.20
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dukla Praha
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.56
0.55
0.45
0.43
0.64
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Horní Ředice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.19
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.02
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
William Hil
1.95
Under
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Horní Ředice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.25
Horní Ředice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Horní Ředice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.10
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.39
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Under
1xBet
1.11
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Horní Ředice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.75
0.80
0.80
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dukla Praha) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dukla Praha
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.33
0.80
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.92
0.18
0.91
0.64
0.93
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Horní Ředice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
William Hil
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.65
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.55
Under
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.67
Under
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Horní Ředice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.63
Under
1xBet
1.39
Horní Ředice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Horní Ředice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.05
Dukla Praha over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dukla Praha over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
87.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.07
-
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
83.9%
1.37
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.35
-
-
+16.1%
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
81.5%
1.04
BetVictor
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Unibet
1.04
-8.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
81.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.8%
1.32
10Bet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
77.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-8.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dukla Praha · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Michal Kroupa22%
Dario Kreiker14%
Kevin-Prince Milla13%
Dantaye Gilbert12%
Rajmund Mikuš11%
Marcel Čermák9%
Jan Peterka8%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu8%
Zlatan Šehović8%
Namory Cissé8%
Lukas Penxa8%
Jakub Kadák7%
Michal Černák6%
Marios Pourzitidis4%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Marek Hanousek0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Matěj Žitný0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Samuel Isife0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eric Hunal45%
Boubou Diallo36%
Daniel Kozma33%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré27%
Tomáš Pekhart25%
Samuel Isife24%
Samson Tijani23%
Zlatan Šehović19%
Marek Hanousek18%
Martin Ambler18%
Michal Černák18%
Dominik Hašek16%
Namory Cissé15%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský14%
Jakub Kadák13%
Kevin-Prince Milla13%
Diego Velasquez12%
Rihards Matrevics11%
Rajmund Mikuš11%
Jaroslav Svozil9%
Jan Peterka8%
Bruno Unušić8%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu8%
Marios Pourzitidis8%
Štěpán Šebrle8%
Lukas Penxa8%
Tomáš Jedlička6%
Dantaye Gilbert6%
Marcel Čermák6%
Matěj Žitný5%
Adam Jagrik0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Michal Kroupa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcel Čermák15%
Samuel Isife12%
Michal Kroupa11%
Lukas Penxa8%
Jakub Kadák7%
Michal Černák6%
Matěj Žitný5%
Marios Pourzitidis4%
Zlatan Šehović4%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Marek Hanousek0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Jan Peterka0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Rajmund Mikuš0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Namory Cissé0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Kevin-Prince Milla0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin-Prince Milla33%
Namory Cissé15%
Marcel Čermák15%
Marek Hanousek9%
Jakub Kadák7%
Rihards Matrevics0%
Marios Pourzitidis0%
Zlatan Šehović0%
Tomáš Pekhart0%
Jaroslav Svozil0%
Daniel Kozma0%
Dominik Hašek0%
Jan Peterka0%
Hugo Jan Bačkovský0%
Rajmund Mikuš0%
Michal Černák0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Samson Tijani0%
Adam Jagrik0%
Štěpán Šebrle0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Seif Ali Hindi0%
Martin Ambler0%
Eric Hunal0%
Matěj Žitný0%
Pavel Gaszczyk0%
Jiří Hrubeš0%
Tomáš Jedlička0%
Boubou Diallo0%
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré0%
Dantaye Gilbert0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu0%
Diego Velasquez0%
Samuel Isife0%
Michal Kroupa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ústí nad Labem
Slavia Praha II
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov