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Hrvace vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 30/05/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-2
Hrvace
Hrvace
Vs
50%
28%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Hrvace a 50% win probability against Dubrava Zagreb in the Croatia: First NL on 2026-05-30, with 28% for the draw and 23% for Dubrava Zagreb. The model estimates around 2.6 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (26%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

Results analysis

Hrvace finished 1-2 against Dubrava Zagreb (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 50% home win, 28% draw and 23% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (74%), Under 3.5 (74%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Hrvace win✗ Miss
49.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W03L42W12L40W21W02L01L03LA·KAR20/03H·HNK28/03A·DUG04/04H·SES11/04A·RUD19/04H·ORI25/04A·JAR02/05H·OPA10/05A·BSK16/05A·CRO24/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.331.361.000.751.62
vs Stronger (10)1.501.301.671.171.251.50
vs Similar (20)0.801.351.120.880.581.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W05L12L22D34L13L11D10W20W32WH·CRO21/03A·KAR02/04H·BSK07/04H·HNK11/04A·DUG18/04H·SES25/04A·RUD02/05H·ORI09/05A·JAR17/05H·OPA23/05
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.401.531.530.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.181.461.501.570.861.36
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
6.4%
1-2 ✓
6.0%
3-1
5.0%
Hrvace goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
08.8%6.4%3.8%1.3%0.3%
111%13%6.0%2.0%0.5%
29.4%9.5%4.7%1.6%0.4%
35.0%5.0%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.0%2.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hrvace goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Hrvace is 0.33 points worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.42).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Hrvace is 0.09 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.18).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Hrvace is 0.06 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.39).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HrvaceHrvace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L10W12L30W21W02L00D01LA·KAR20/03H·HNK28/03A·DUG04/04H·SES11/04A·RUD19/04H·ORI25/04A·JAR02/05H·OPA10/05A·BSK16/05A·CRO24/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.640.640.500.56
vs Stronger (10)0.600.600.500.670.750.50
vs Similar (20)0.550.600.750.620.420.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L10W12L13L02L01L00D10W30WH·CRO21/03A·KAR02/04H·BSK07/04H·HNK11/04A·DUG18/04H·SES25/04A·RUD02/05H·ORI09/05A·JAR17/05H·OPA23/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.600.870.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.500.820.640.860.360.79
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (38)
€5m
SES (57)
€5m
O1 (36)
€5m
BBB (30)
€4m
RUD (35)
€4m
DUG (43)
€4m
CZ (43)
€4m
HC (29)
€4m
K1 (44)
€4m
HRV (52)
€3m
OPA (39)
€3m
Hrvace's squad is €2m less valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (0)
€0m
BBB (0)
€0m
CZ (0)
€0m
DZ (0)
€0m
DUG (0)
€0m
HC (0)
€0m
HRV (0)
€0m
K1 (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
O1 (0)
€0m
SES (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Hrvace vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from HRV
DateH/AGameScore
15/11/25HHRV Vs Dubrava Zagreb0-0
06/09/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs HRV2-1

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/26ACroatia Zmijavci Vs HRV3-0
16/05/26ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HRV1-0
10/05/26HHRV Vs Opatija0-2
02/05/26AJarun Vs HRV1-2
25/04/26HHRV Vs Orijent 19194-0
19/04/26ARudes Vs HRV2-1
11/04/26HHRV Vs Sesvete4-2
04/04/26ADugopolje Vs HRV3-0
28/03/26HHRV Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
20/03/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs HRV0-1

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HDZ Vs Opatija3-2
17/05/26AJarun Vs DZ0-2
09/05/26HDZ Vs Orijent 19191-0
02/05/26ARudes Vs DZ1-1
25/04/26HDZ Vs Sesvete1-3
18/04/26ADugopolje Vs DZ4-3
11/04/26HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia2-2
07/04/26HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
02/04/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs DZ5-0
21/03/26HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.12
HomeLWWWL1.60
AwayLLWLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%47%18%
AVG goals2.532.532.53
Over 1.5 %69%67%71%
Over 2.5 %59%53%65%
Over 3.5 %22%27%18%
Scored1.091.470.76
Conceded1.441.071.76
BTTS47%47%47%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.26
HomeLDLWW1.62
AwayDLLDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%21%
AVG goals2.482.582.38
Over 1.5 %66%62%71%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.101.310.88
Conceded1.381.271.50
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0000.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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