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Hrvace vs Rudes Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Hrvace
Hrvace
Vs
42%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Hrvace win✗ Miss
41.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudes win✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W14L12L21W13L02L11DH·HNK16/08A·ORI23/08A·DUB06/09H·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.292.141.751.750.672.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.292.141.751.750.672.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D13L00D11D31W00D10W14L10WH·ORI17/05A·DUB24/05H·SES01/06H·SES17/08A·HNK24/08H·ORI29/08A·JAR05/09H·DUB12/09A·KAR17/09H·DUG22/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.971.070.800.801.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.960.961.140.790.791.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.6%
0-1 ✓
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
Hrvace goals ↓
Rudes goals →
01234
09.0%7.6%5.1%2.0%0.6%
19.6%14%7.2%2.8%0.8%
27.6%8.8%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.6%4.1%2.4%0.9%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hrvace goals (down), columns = Rudes goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rudes
1.97
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Jarun
1.00
Hrvace is 0.88 points worse than Rudes in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.97).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Rudes
1.48
Sesvete
1.27
Orijent 1919
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Dugopolje
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Hrvace
1.09
Jarun
1.03
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Hrvace is 0.39 goals worse than Rudes in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.48).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Rudes
0.88
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Opatija
1.15
Dugopolje
1.15
Orijent 1919
1.24
Jarun
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Hrvace
1.45
Hrvace is 0.58 goals worse than Rudes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.88).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HrvaceHrvace

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L10W21W02L01L01LH·HNK16/08A·ORI23/08A·DUB06/09H·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.710.861.001.000.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.710.861.001.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L00D10W30W00D00D01L10WH·ORI17/05A·DUB24/05H·SES01/06H·SES17/08A·HNK24/08H·ORI29/08A·JAR05/09H·DUB12/09A·KAR17/09H·DUG22/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.500.500.440.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.500.500.540.540.470.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HrvaceHrvace

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L13L02L00D11D01L10WH·HNK16/08A·ORI23/08A·DUB06/09H·JAR09/09H·KAR13/09A·DUG17/09H·CRO21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.290.750.750.332.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.571.290.750.750.332.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L00D01L01L00D10W13L00DH·ORI17/05A·DUB24/05H·SES01/06H·SES17/08A·HNK24/08H·ORI29/08A·JAR05/09H·DUB12/09A·KAR17/09H·DUG22/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.430.360.380.62
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.500.460.310.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hrvace) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hrvace over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hrvace over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.8%-------✗ Miss

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Rudes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Å―ivulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante SuÅĄak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Å―ivulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno UnuÅĄić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante SuÅĄak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Hrvace's squad is €3m less valuable than Rudes's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
K1 (10)
€2m
HRV (8)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Hrvace's attack is €2m less valuable than Rudes's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
Hrvace and Rudes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Hrvace and Rudes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
HRV wins
0
Draws
0
RUD wins

Head-to-head

Hrvace vs Rudes · H/A from HRV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

HrvaceHrvace

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25HHRV Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-1
17/09/25ADugopolje Vs HRV2-0
13/09/25HHRV Vs Karlovac 19191-3
09/09/25HHRV Vs Jarun2-1
06/09/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs HRV2-1
23/08/25AOrijent 1919 Vs HRV4-1
16/08/25HHRV Vs HNK Cibalia3-2

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/25HRUD Vs Dugopolje1-0
17/09/25AKarlovac 1919 Vs RUD4-1
12/09/25HRUD Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-0
05/09/25AJarun Vs RUD0-0
29/08/25HRUD Vs Orijent 19193-1
24/08/25AHNK Cibalia Vs RUD1-1
17/08/25HRUD Vs Sesvete0-0
01/06/25HRUD Vs Sesvete1-3
24/05/25ADubrava Zagreb Vs RUD0-0
17/05/25HRUD Vs Orijent 19190-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Hrvace
Hrvace
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.00
HomeWWLD1.75
AwayLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%50%0%
AVG goals3.433.503.33
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %71%75%67%
Over 3.5 %43%50%33%
Scored1.291.750.67
Conceded2.141.752.67
BTTS86%100%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.06
HomeLDWWW1.26
AwayLDDDL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%37%13%
AVG goals2.382.412.35
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %42%48%35%
Over 3.5 %24%22%26%
Scored1.001.070.91
Conceded1.381.331.43
BTTS46%41%52%
Clean Sheet30%37%22%
Corners11.7011.5712.00
Cards3.804.003.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RudesRudes3365
58%
2.0
4929+20
2.4
64%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.50.9
-
2HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3358
52%
1.8
5133+18
2.5
73%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.0
-
3SesveteSesvete3357
48%
1.7
4228+14
2.1
67%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.30.8
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje3354
48%
1.6
4038+2
2.4
70%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.2
-
5Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3347
39%
1.4
3946-7
2.6
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.4
-
6Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3342
33%
1.3
3030+0
1.8
58%
27%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.90.9
-
7Karlovac 1919Karlovac 19193342
39%
1.3
4045-5
2.6
73%
55%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.21.4
-
8OpatijaOpatija3340
30%
1.2
3138-7
2.1
70%
36%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.91.2
-
9Orijent 1919Orijent 19193338
27%
1.2
4041-1
2.5
73%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.2
-
10HrvaceHrvace3336
30%
1.1
3648-12
2.5
70%
61%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
11Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3335
27%
1.1
3246-14
2.4
70%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.4
-
12JarunJarun3333
24%
1.0
3442-8
2.3
76%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
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Croatia: First NL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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