Huddersfield and Oxford face a finely balanced clash, with the model picking a home win as the most likely outcome. The odds are close: a 39% chance of a Huddersfield victory, 29% for a draw and 32% for an Oxford win. On average, the match should see 2.5 goals, with the single most likely total being two goals at a 27% probability. The scoreline most likely to materialise is 1-1, with a 14% chance. Huddersfield, playing at home against a similarly-sized opponent, averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Oxford, on the road against a similar side, scores 0.91 and concedes 1.64. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.5% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6% with a 6% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.7% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1% with a 1% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8% with a 7% edge) and Under 5.5 (95.6% with a 5% edge).
Results analysis
Huddersfield’s 3-1 victory over Oxford extended their two-game winning run, confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would come to pass. The pre-match favourite was the home win, assigned a 39% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The match produced a total of four goals, comfortably above the expected 2.5 and the most likely score of 1-1. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 (99.5%) was a hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%) a hit, Under 6.5 (98.5%) a hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5%) a hit, Away under 3.5 goals (96.8%) a hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.3%) a hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%) missed, and Under 5.5 (95.6%) a hit.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Huddersfield win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied 55.4% · @ 1.69
Edge
-16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.73
Dafabet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.90
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.11
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.92
Oxford win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.52
Edge
+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.75
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Huddersfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
1.93
1.14
1.38
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.50
1.32
1.85
1.23
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.87
1.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
1.27
1.08
1.00
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.1%
@ 1.19-4.8%
Under 1.5
26.9%
@ 4.21+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.53
Superbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
@ 1.66-10.2%
Under 2.5
53.7%
@ 2.16+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
SBO
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.19
SBO
2.17
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.8%
@ 2.61-10.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
@ 1.44+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.69
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
10Bet
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.5%
@ 1.64-3.9%
No
47.5%
@ 2.13+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
No
William Hil
2.20
1xBet
2.16
BetVictor
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.98+7.6%
1-0
9.5%@ 7.61+3.6%
0-0
9.3%@ 12.40+5.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.42+2.5%
0-1
8.2%@ 13.22+4.8%
1-2
7.5%@ 13.00+4.0%
2-0
7.3%@ 8.43+1.9%
0-2
5.6%@ 24.19+3.7%
Huddersfield goals ↓
Oxford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
8.2%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
1
9.5%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.3%
8.6%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Huddersfield goals (down), columns = Oxford goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Huddersfield is 0.12 points worse than Oxford in terms of average points per game (1.46 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Huddersfield is 0.10 goals better than Oxford in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.51).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Huddersfield is 0.25 goals worse than Oxford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Huddersfield
For 4.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oxford
For 5.0 · Against 6.7 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huddersfield
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.9
9.8
3.9
3.8
4.0
24.3
24.3
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
6.0
13.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
14.5
14.0
15.0
vs Similar (45)
10.4
11.1
9.8
4.0
3.9
4.1
25.1
25.4
24.7
vs Weaker (3)
10.0
11.0
8.0
3.7
4.0
3.0
20.0
17.5
25.0
% over line
57%
67%
48%
58%
58%
58%
69%
67%
72%
% under line
43%
33%
52%
42%
42%
42%
31%
33%
28%
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
10.6
11.9
3.4
3.3
3.6
22.5
22.4
22.6
vs Stronger (14)
10.6
9.9
11.7
4.0
3.5
4.7
22.4
23.0
21.7
vs Similar (36)
11.5
11.0
11.9
3.2
3.2
3.2
22.5
22.1
22.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
70%
52%
88%
46%
44%
48%
50%
48%
52%
% under line
30%
48%
12%
54%
56%
52%
50%
52%
48%
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.1
Leicester
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Luton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.9
Plymouth
24.6
Bradford
24.5
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Luton
24.0
Leyton Orient
23.5
Peterboro
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Blackpool
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Burton
22.5
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Reading
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Leicester
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.1
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.9%
@ 1.47+3.0%
Under 9.5
34.1%
@ 2.49-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Betfair
1.45
Under
Betano
2.65
Betfair
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.50
Unibet
2.48
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.6%
Under 21.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Huddersfield or Draw✓ Hit
68.6%
Avg Implied 78.8% · @ 1.18
Edge
-10.2%
39%
29%
31%
covers Huddersfield + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Huddersfield or Oxford✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied 76.3% · @ 1.22
Edge
-5.6%
39%
29%
31%
covers Huddersfield + Oxford
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or Oxford✗ Miss
60.7%
Avg Implied 44.9% · @ 2.08
Edge
+15.8%
39%
29%
31%
covers Draw + Oxford
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
SBO
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.0%
@ 1.11-9.5%
Under
26.0%
@ 5.61+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.90
BetVictor
5.50
Superbet
5.50
Huddersfield over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.0%
@ 1.65-17.5%
Under
61.0%
@ 2.14+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.15
Huddersfield over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.4%
@ 3.03-15.3%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.34+15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.13
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Huddersfield over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
@ 6.14-10.4%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.10+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.80
1xBet
5.30
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
Oxford over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.3%
@ 1.43+4.4%
Under
30.7%
@ 2.64-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.82
BetVictor
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.64
Betano
2.62
Oxford over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.0%
@ 3.11+3.1%
Under
67.0%
@ 1.33-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Marathonbet
3.14
10Bet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Oxford over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 7.97-0.1%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Superbet
7.60
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.03
Oxford over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 19.58-1.7%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Huddersfield, so a minus line means Huddersfield give that many goals of a start and Oxford receive them. At -1, Huddersfield must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Huddersfield win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Huddersfield)Actual: Draw
Huddersfield -2
6.7%
@ 5.38-9.9%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 4.87-6.5%
Oxford +2
81.3%
@ 1.38+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Away
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Handicap -1 (Huddersfield)Actual: Huddersfield
Huddersfield -1
18.7%
@ 2.80-13.3%
Draw -1
20.6%
@ 3.59-4.3%
Oxford +1
60.7%
@ 2.08+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Away
Marathonbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.04
Handicap +1 (Huddersfield)Actual: Huddersfield
Huddersfield +1
68.6%
@ 1.18-6.6%
Draw +1
17.9%
@ 5.78+2.6%
Oxford -1
13.5%
@ 9.30+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
10Bet
9.00
Superbet
8.70
Handicap +2 (Huddersfield)Actual: Huddersfield
Huddersfield +2
86.5%
@ 1.04-3.3%
Draw +2
9.2%
@ 13.67+2.3%
Oxford -2
4.3%
@ 28.00+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
12.00
Away
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.86
0.64
0.62
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.46
0.77
0.69
0.60
0.27
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.88
0.33
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.68
0.67
0.67
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
71.5%
@ 1.30-0.0%
Under 0.5
28.5%
@ 3.27+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.44-2.3%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.50+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 5.76-3.4%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.11+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.70
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 1.64-6.8%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.14+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.25
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 4.08-9.2%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.20+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 9.83-7.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.03+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
Oxford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.1%
@ 2.43+2.9%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.50-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Oxford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 8.50-0.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.04+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.90
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
8.30
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
Oxford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 33.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Huddersfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.07
0.50
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.82
0.86
1.08
0.54
0.60
1.13
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oxford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oxford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.47
0.40
0.27
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
0.12
0.33
0.00
0.20
0.20
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.59
0.42
0.33
0.70
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Huddersfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
79.4%
@ 1.17+0.2%
Under 0.5
20.6%
@ 4.46-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.88-1.2%
Under 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.84+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.89
Superbet
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.85
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 3.71-4.9%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.24+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
3.75
1xBet
3.66
Marathonbet
3.66
Superbet
3.65
Under
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Huddersfield over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.44-4.8%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.62+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Huddersfield over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.2%
@ 3.05-10.1%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.33+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Huddersfield over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.1%
@ 7.53-8.3%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.06+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.60
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Oxford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.0%
@ 2.01+4.9%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.72-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.70
Oxford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 6.14+0.2%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.09-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.10
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
Oxford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 18.17-1.6%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
+8.3%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
Betfair
1.03
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.8%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.03
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.6%
1.34
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
+15.3%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.3%
1.38
Superbet
1.41
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.36
+16.3%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.33
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
+10.1%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
79.4%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.14
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.8%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.25
+4.3%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
75.2%
1.44
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.46
10Bet
1.44
+10.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
74.0%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
-9.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.1%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
BetVictor
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.5%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
-0.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
-5.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Huddersfield
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Taylor75%
B. Radulović33%
R. Balker25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
Ryan Ledson0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
D. Kasumu33%
M. Wallace33%
B. Radulović33%
Ryan Ledson25%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
D. Sanches Fernandes0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Ledson50%
B. Radulović33%
D. Sanches Fernandes25%
D. Kasumu0%
Ashley Fletcher0%
M. Wallace0%
M. Harness0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
J. Taylor0%
I. Bowat0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Taylor75%
D. Sanches Fernandes50%
Ashley Fletcher25%
Ryan Ledson25%
M. Harness25%
I. Bowat25%
D. Kasumu0%
M. Wallace0%
R. Balker0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
B. Radulović0%
M. Young0%
Jay Smith-Sway0%
Oxford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
G. O'Donkor67%
C. Brannagan33%
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Harris33%
C. Brannagan33%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
C. Brannagan0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Harris0%
P. Kioso0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
C. Brannagan0%
Ciaron Brown0%
Tyler Goodrham0%
B. Spencer0%
G. O'Donkor0%
Jamie McDonnell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Huddersfield's squad is €4m less valuable than Oxford's (€16m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Huddersfield's attack is €2m less valuable than Oxford's (€4m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Huddersfield's midfield is €2m less valuable than Oxford's (€4m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Huddersfield and Oxford have a similar defence value (both €8m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe