Hull are the favoured result, with a 45% chance of a home win, a 30% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see 2.3 goals on average, with the single most likely scoreline 1-1 at 14.1%. Hull’s home form against similar opposition shows they average 0.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded, while Stoke’s away record versus similar teams is 1.0 scored and 1.21 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 85.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 79.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.4%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.7% and Over 19.5 fouls at 70.9%. Hull’s recent unbeaten run of five games, ending with a 1-0 win over Coventry, contrasts with Stoke’s recent loss to Wolves, where they fell 1-4. The predicted outcome is a home victory, but the scoreline and the detailed probabilities suggest a tightly contested encounter.
Results analysis
Hull’s unbeaten run of five games ended in a shock 1-2 loss to Stoke, the away side’s win proving the biggest upset of the day. The pre-match favourite was Hull, given a 45% chance of victory, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s other selections all performed as predicted: Under 5.5 cards hit at 85.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 79.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 76.4%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 72.0%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 70.9%, while Under 11.5 corners missed at 71.7%. The match finished 1-2 in favour of Stoke, confirming the model’s prediction of an away win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hull win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.95
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.51
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.89
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hull
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.33
1.00
1.38
1.07
1.29
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
1.50
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
1.04
1.27
0.92
1.31
1.15
1.23
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.20
1.21
1.14
1.00
1.25
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
1.16
1.20
1.36
1.18
1.00
1.21
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.2%
@ 2.02-5.7%
Under 2.5
58.8%
@ 1.79+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
No
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2 ✓
6.1%
0-2
4.5%
Hull goals ↓
Stoke goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.1%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.1%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.1%
8.8%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
4.2%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hull goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leeds
2.17
Burnley
2.17
Sheffield United
2.00
Sunderland
1.65
Coventry
1.50
Bristol City
1.48
Blackburn
1.43
Millwall
1.43
West Brom
1.39
Middlesbrough
1.39
Swansea
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Watford
1.24
QPR
1.22
Portsmouth
1.17
Oxford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Preston
1.09
Derby
1.09
Luton
1.07
Hull
1.07
Plymouth
1.00
Cardiff
0.96
Hull is 0.04 points worse than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leeds
2.07
Norwich
1.54
Burnley
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.39
Coventry
1.39
Sheffield United
1.37
Sheffield Weds
1.30
Bristol City
1.28
Sunderland
1.26
Portsmouth
1.26
West Brom
1.24
Watford
1.15
QPR
1.15
Blackburn
1.15
Swansea
1.11
Plymouth
1.11
Oxford
1.07
Preston
1.04
Derby
1.04
Cardiff
1.04
Millwall
1.02
Luton
0.98
Stoke
0.98
Hull
0.96
Hull is 0.02 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (0.96 vs 0.98).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.35
Leeds
0.65
Sheffield United
0.78
Sunderland
0.96
West Brom
1.02
Blackburn
1.04
Millwall
1.07
Hull
1.17
Bristol City
1.20
Swansea
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Derby
1.22
Coventry
1.26
Preston
1.28
Watford
1.33
Stoke
1.35
QPR
1.37
Oxford
1.41
Norwich
1.48
Luton
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.50
Portsmouth
1.54
Cardiff
1.59
Plymouth
1.91
Hull is 0.17 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.35).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
62%
Norwich
58%
Swansea
58%
Burnley
57%
Middlesbrough
56%
Coventry
55%
West Brom
54%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Bristol City
51%
Hull
50%
Blackburn
49%
Sunderland
49%
Preston
48%
Sheffield Weds
48%
Stoke
47%
Cardiff
47%
QPR
47%
Luton
45%
Portsmouth
45%
Derby
43%
Oxford
43%
Millwall
42%
Plymouth
42%
Hull is 3.2 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (50% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hull
For 3.2 · Against 5.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stoke
For 3.3 · Against 7.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hull
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.5
3.7
3.3
4.0
22.8
22.3
23.2
vs Stronger (6)
11.5
11.3
11.7
3.8
2.3
5.3
26.3
23.3
29.3
vs Similar (41)
9.9
9.9
9.9
3.7
3.6
3.9
22.4
22.1
22.7
vs Weaker (3)
13.5
-
13.5
2.3
0.0
3.5
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
60%
58%
62%
54%
54%
54%
54%
50%
58%
% under line
40%
42%
38%
46%
46%
46%
46%
50%
42%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.5
10.8
3.6
3.5
3.6
21.2
20.6
21.9
vs Stronger (7)
12.0
12.2
11.5
2.9
4.2
1.0
19.5
20.8
17.0
vs Similar (41)
11.0
11.3
10.7
3.9
3.5
4.1
21.5
20.5
22.4
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
65%
59%
54%
54%
54%
49%
48%
50%
% under line
38%
35%
41%
46%
46%
46%
51%
52%
50%
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sheffield Weds
11.7
Coventry
11.4
Luton
11.3
QPR
11.2
Stoke
11.1
Sheffield United
11.1
Portsmouth
10.8
Derby
10.8
Middlesbrough
10.6
West Brom
10.5
Millwall
10.4
Plymouth
10.4
Hull
10.4
Leeds
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Norwich
10.2
Swansea
10.2
Watford
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Blackburn
10.0
Oxford
9.8
Burnley
9.8
Cardiff
9.4
Preston
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.6
Watford
4.5
Portsmouth
4.5
Luton
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Swansea
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Blackburn
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Sheffield Weds
4.0
Coventry
4.0
Preston
3.9
Hull
3.9
QPR
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.9
Oxford
3.9
Leeds
3.8
Cardiff
3.8
Plymouth
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Millwall
3.6
West Brom
3.6
Derby
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Luton
25.2
Portsmouth
24.4
Preston
24.0
Sunderland
24.0
Millwall
23.9
Watford
23.8
Leeds
23.6
Sheffield Weds
23.6
Plymouth
23.5
Hull
22.9
Swansea
22.9
QPR
22.9
Burnley
22.5
Blackburn
22.5
Coventry
22.4
Norwich
22.4
Oxford
21.7
Derby
21.7
Bristol City
21.7
Cardiff
21.6
Stoke
21.1
Sheffield United
20.8
Middlesbrough
20.4
West Brom
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
54.6%
Under 21.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hull
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.50
0.56
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.62
0.54
0.69
0.31
0.54
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.64
0.36
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.44
0.82
0.36
0.43
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hull
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.50
0.81
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.65
0.38
0.62
0.85
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.57
0.79
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.76
0.55
0.82
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hull
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Óscar Estupiñán33%
Joe Gelhardt20%
João Pedro Galvão17%
Matt Crooks17%
Eliot Matazo17%
Chris Bedia14%
Matty Jacob12%
Óscar Zambrano12%
Ryan Longman11%
Abu Kamara11%
Mohamed Belloumi10%
Xavier Simons10%
Liam Millar8%
Mason Burstow6%
Marvin Mehlem6%
Kasey Palmer4%
Charlie Hughes4%
Cody Drameh4%
Regan Slater2%
Lewie Coyle2%
Nordin Amrabat0%
Lincoln0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Steven Alzate0%
Ryan Giles0%
Alfie Jones0%
John Egan0%
Abdülkadir Ömür0%
Sean McLoughlin0%
Finley Burns0%
Louie Barry0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Harry Vaughan0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Will Jarvis0%
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Vaughan33%
Charlie Hughes33%
Liam Millar25%
Matty Jacob25%
Joe Gelhardt20%
Alfie Jones19%
Sean McLoughlin18%
Matt Crooks17%
Eliot Matazo17%
Xavier Simons14%
Regan Slater13%
Lewie Coyle13%
Marvin Mehlem12%
João Pedro Galvão11%
Finley Burns10%
Mohamed Belloumi10%
John Egan9%
Kasey Palmer8%
Steven Alzate7%
Cody Drameh7%
Ivor Pandur7%
Gustavo Puerta7%
Abdülkadir Ömür5%
Mason Burstow3%
Abu Kamara3%
Nordin Amrabat0%
Chris Bedia0%
Lincoln0%
Ryan Giles0%
Óscar Estupiñán0%
Ryan Longman0%
Louie Barry0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Will Jarvis0%
Óscar Zambrano0%
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Belloumi20%
Liam Millar17%
Óscar Zambrano12%
Marvin Mehlem12%
Nordin Amrabat10%
Lincoln9%
Abu Kamara8%
Kasey Palmer8%
João Pedro Galvão6%
Abdülkadir Ömür5%
Lewie Coyle4%
Charlie Hughes4%
Steven Alzate4%
Cody Drameh4%
Mason Burstow3%
Sean McLoughlin3%
Regan Slater2%
Chris Bedia0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Ryan Giles0%
Alfie Jones0%
John Egan0%
Joe Gelhardt0%
Matt Crooks0%
Óscar Estupiñán0%
Matty Jacob0%
Ryan Longman0%
Xavier Simons0%
Finley Burns0%
Louie Barry0%
Eliot Matazo0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Harry Vaughan0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Will Jarvis0%
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Belloumi50%
Óscar Estupiñán33%
Eliot Matazo17%
Joe Gelhardt15%
Ryan Longman11%
Sean McLoughlin11%
Liam Millar8%
Kasey Palmer8%
Mason Burstow6%
Abu Kamara6%
Chris Bedia5%
João Pedro Galvão3%
Lewie Coyle2%
Nordin Amrabat0%
Lincoln0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Regan Slater0%
Steven Alzate0%
Ryan Giles0%
Alfie Jones0%
John Egan0%
Matt Crooks0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Abdülkadir Ömür0%
Matty Jacob0%
Xavier Simons0%
Cody Drameh0%
Finley Burns0%
Louie Barry0%
Kyle Joseph0%
Harry Vaughan0%
Gustavo Puerta0%
Will Jarvis0%
Charlie Hughes0%
Óscar Zambrano0%
Tyrell Sellars-Fleming0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thomas Cannon32%
Lewis Baker27%
Ryan Mmaee25%
Million Manhoef16%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Ben Gibson12%
Emre Tezgel12%
Andrew Moran10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Nathan Lowe10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ben Wilmot7%
Jun-Ho Bae6%
Michael Rose4%
Ashley Phillips3%
Wouter Burger2%
Junior Tchamadeu2%
André Vidigal0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Laurent75%
Ben Pearson36%
Jordan Thompson31%
Ben Gibson28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Andrew Moran26%
Wouter Burger24%
Sam Gallagher23%
Ben Wilmot21%
Nathan Lowe20%
Lewis Baker18%
Ashley Phillips15%
Enda Stevens14%
Ali Al-Hamadi13%
Lynden Gooch13%
Jun-Ho Bae12%
Michael Rose12%
Thomas Cannon12%
Viktor Johansson10%
Lewis Koumas10%
Emre Tezgel6%
Million Manhoef5%
Tatsuki Seko4%
Eric Bocat3%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Wilson-Esbrand29%
Souleymane Sidibe15%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef13%
Andrew Moran10%
Enda Stevens10%
Lynden Gooch9%
Jun-Ho Bae8%
Lewis Koumas6%
Eric Bocat6%
Sam Gallagher5%
Wouter Burger4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Thomas Cannon4%
Jordan Thompson4%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Niall Ennis0%
Ben Gibson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thomas Cannon36%
Lewis Baker14%
Million Manhoef11%
Lewis Koumas10%
Sam Gallagher9%
Niall Ennis8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Andrew Moran5%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
André Vidigal0%
Ryan Mmaee0%
Ben Gibson0%
Enda Stevens0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Josh Laurent0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Wouter Burger0%
Michael Rose0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Josh Wilson-Esbrand0%
Emre Tezgel0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Mohammed Olabosun Lawal0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Jaden Dixon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
PLY (25)
€13m
Hull's squad is €27m more valuable than Stoke's (€105m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
PLY (8)
€4m
Hull's attack is €13m less valuable than Stoke's (€22m vs €35m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
Hull's midfield is €20m more valuable than Stoke's (€31m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
Hull's defence is €20m more valuable than Stoke's (€52m vs €32m).
England: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Leeds
Burnley
Sheffield United
Sunderland
Coventry
Bristol City
Blackburn
Millwall
West Brom
Middlesbrough
Swansea
Sheffield Weds
Norwich
Watford
QPR
Portsmouth
Oxford
Derby
Preston
Luton
Plymouth
Cardiff