Hull are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 48% chance of a home victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Stoke win. The match is expected to see about 2.4 goals, with the most likely total being two goals, a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.7% chance. Hull’s home form shows they score 1.57 and concede 1.36 against teams of similar strength, while Stoke’s away form is 0.92 scored and 1.0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 84.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.9%, Under 3.5 at 77.6%, Under 4.5 cards at 70.8% and Over 1.5 at 70.7%. Hull’s unbeaten run of five games, including a 1-0 win over Coventry, and Stoke’s recent win over Norwich set the stage for a tight contest.
Results analysis
Hull’s unbeaten run of five games ended in a 0-1 defeat to Stoke, the away side’s win extending their own run of five results. The pre-match favourite was a home win at 48 percent, but the model’s call was wrong as the match finished with an away victory. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 84.5 percent, Under 3.5 hit at 77.6 percent, while Under 25.5 fouls, Under 4.5 cards and Over 1.5 missed at 79.9 percent, 70.8 percent and 70.7 percent respectively. The expected total of 2.4 goals was not reached, with the final score of 0-1.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hull win✗ Miss
47.9%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.25
Edge
+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.29
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.17
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hull
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.50
1.47
1.40
1.67
1.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.62
1.48
1.57
1.36
1.67
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.13
1.25
0.94
0.79
1.36
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
2.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
3.50
vs Similar (25)
1.20
1.04
1.46
1.08
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.7%
Under 1.5
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.4%
@ 2.05-2.4%
Under 2.5
56.6%
@ 1.73+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1 ✓
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
Hull goals ↓
Stoke goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.2%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.6%
9.1%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.7%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hull goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Coventry
2.07
Ipswich
1.83
Millwall
1.75
Southampton
1.71
Middlesbrough
1.67
Hull
1.63
Wrexham
1.54
Derby
1.50
Norwich
1.41
Swansea
1.39
Birmingham
1.39
Bristol City
1.35
Preston
1.30
Sheffield United
1.30
QPR
1.26
Watford
1.24
Portsmouth
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Charlton
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Leicester
1.13
Blackburn
1.13
Oxford
1.02
Sheffield Weds
0.39
Hull is 0.44 points better than Stoke in terms of average points per game (1.63 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Coventry
2.11
Ipswich
1.74
Southampton
1.73
Wrexham
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.49
Hull
1.49
Derby
1.46
Sheffield United
1.43
Norwich
1.37
Millwall
1.33
QPR
1.33
Bristol City
1.28
Leicester
1.26
Swansea
1.24
Birmingham
1.24
Preston
1.20
Watford
1.15
Stoke
1.11
Portsmouth
1.07
West Brom
1.04
Oxford
0.98
Charlton
0.96
Blackburn
0.91
Sheffield Weds
0.63
Hull is 0.38 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Coventry
0.98
Middlesbrough
1.00
Ipswich
1.02
Millwall
1.06
Southampton
1.19
Norwich
1.22
Birmingham
1.22
Blackburn
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Charlton
1.26
West Brom
1.26
Oxford
1.28
Swansea
1.28
Bristol City
1.28
Derby
1.28
Hull
1.35
Preston
1.35
Portsmouth
1.39
Watford
1.41
Wrexham
1.41
Sheffield United
1.43
Leicester
1.48
QPR
1.59
Sheffield Weds
1.93
Hull is 0.13 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.22).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Middlesbrough
59%
Southampton
56%
Ipswich
56%
Coventry
55%
Swansea
55%
Birmingham
54%
Norwich
54%
Sheffield United
52%
Leicester
52%
Stoke
52%
West Brom
52%
Watford
51%
Portsmouth
50%
Bristol City
49%
Wrexham
48%
Blackburn
48%
Millwall
48%
QPR
46%
Preston
46%
Hull
45%
Sheffield Weds
45%
Derby
44%
Charlton
42%
Oxford
40%
Hull is 6.9 percentage points worse than Stoke in terms of average possession (45% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hull
For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stoke
For 6.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hull
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.3
3.4
3.1
3.8
21.6
22.5
20.8
vs Stronger (3)
9.7
10.5
8.0
2.7
2.5
3.0
22.0
22.5
21.0
vs Similar (46)
10.2
9.9
10.4
3.6
3.3
3.8
21.6
22.5
20.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
57%
69%
42%
38%
46%
43%
48%
38%
% under line
37%
43%
31%
58%
62%
54%
57%
52%
62%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.0
3.9
3.8
4.0
21.5
23.0
20.0
vs Stronger (6)
8.8
9.5
8.3
2.5
4.0
1.8
17.0
15.5
18.0
vs Similar (43)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.1
3.8
4.4
22.0
23.8
20.2
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
21.0
21.0
-
% over line
54%
54%
54%
52%
52%
52%
48%
62%
33%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
48%
48%
48%
52%
38%
67%
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oxford
10.8
Coventry
10.8
Portsmouth
10.6
Sheffield Weds
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Millwall
10.1
Hull
10.1
Middlesbrough
10.0
QPR
10.0
Derby
10.0
Leicester
10.0
Blackburn
9.9
Stoke
9.8
Watford
9.8
Preston
9.7
Southampton
9.7
Ipswich
9.7
West Brom
9.7
Bristol City
9.6
Birmingham
9.5
Wrexham
9.4
Swansea
9.4
Charlton
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Watford
4.4
Portsmouth
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Ipswich
3.9
Birmingham
3.9
Swansea
3.7
Southampton
3.7
QPR
3.7
Blackburn
3.6
Norwich
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Derby
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Preston
3.5
Sheffield United
3.5
Hull
3.5
Oxford
3.5
Coventry
3.5
Leicester
3.4
Sheffield Weds
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Bristol City
3.3
Wrexham
3.3
Millwall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Blackburn
23.7
Birmingham
23.4
Southampton
23.0
Millwall
23.0
Swansea
22.9
QPR
22.5
Portsmouth
22.5
Charlton
22.4
Ipswich
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.3
Middlesbrough
22.1
Sheffield United
22.0
Norwich
21.8
West Brom
21.6
Hull
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Watford
21.5
Stoke
21.5
Oxford
21.4
Preston
21.3
Derby
21.1
Coventry
20.8
Bristol City
20.1
Wrexham
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.0%
Under 9.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
48.3%
Under 3.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.0%
Under 21.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hull
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.67
0.80
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.76
0.76
0.71
0.86
0.80
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.69
0.31
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.48
0.77
0.38
0.25
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hull over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hull
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.80
0.60
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.86
0.72
0.86
0.50
0.87
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stoke
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.56
0.62
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.56
0.69
0.69
0.67
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hull) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hull over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hull over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Hull
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oliver McBurnie40%
Joe Gelhardt34%
Lewis Koumas16%
Matt Crooks14%
Kyle Joseph14%
Mohamed Belloumi12%
Enis Destan11%
Joel Ndala11%
Darko Gyabi10%
Liam Millar8%
Kieran Dowell7%
John Egan6%
Akin Famewo6%
Babajide David Akintola5%
Semi Ajayi4%
Regan Slater4%
John Lundstram3%
Charlie Hughes2%
Ivor Pandur0%
Ryan Giles0%
Paddy McNair0%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Lewie Coyle0%
Amir Hadžiahmetović0%
Matty Jacob0%
Cody Drameh0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Toby Collyer40%
Matt Crooks37%
John Lundstram35%
Lewie Coyle27%
Oliver McBurnie24%
Enis Destan22%
Babajide David Akintola19%
Ryan Giles19%
John Egan19%
Charlie Hughes19%
Joe Gelhardt18%
Ivor Pandur17%
Regan Slater17%
Kyle Joseph14%
Kieran Dowell13%
Paddy McNair13%
Cathal McCarthy12%
Akin Famewo12%
Semi Ajayi8%
Mohamed Belloumi8%
Liam Millar8%
Cody Drameh8%
Joel Ndala5%
Amir Hadžiahmetović3%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Matty Jacob0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Abu Kamara0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Giles19%
Oliver McBurnie14%
Matt Crooks14%
Liam Millar13%
Mohamed Belloumi12%
Joe Gelhardt11%
Kyle Joseph10%
Yu Hirakawa10%
Babajide David Akintola10%
Kasey Palmer9%
Lewie Coyle9%
Cody Drameh8%
Paddy McNair7%
Amir Hadžiahmetović5%
Semi Ajayi4%
Regan Slater4%
Charlie Hughes2%
Ivor Pandur0%
Akin Famewo0%
John Egan0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Lundstram0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Matty Jacob0%
Enis Destan0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Joel Ndala0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Belloumi24%
Oliver McBurnie24%
Joe Gelhardt16%
Liam Millar13%
Kyle Joseph8%
Matt Crooks3%
John Egan2%
Babajide David Akintola0%
Semi Ajayi0%
Ivor Pandur0%
Regan Slater0%
Ryan Giles0%
Akin Famewo0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Lundstram0%
Paddy McNair0%
Kasey Palmer0%
Dillon Phillips0%
Lewie Coyle0%
Amir Hadžiahmetović0%
Matty Jacob0%
Cody Drameh0%
Enis Destan0%
Darko Gyabi0%
Toby Collyer0%
Abu Kamara0%
Joel Ndala0%
Lewis Koumas0%
Charlie Hughes0%
Yu Hirakawa0%
Cathal McCarthy0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé11%
Divin Mubama11%
Million Manhoef10%
Sam Gallagher10%
Milan Smit7%
Ben Gibson7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Ben Wilmot5%
Róbert Boženík4%
Junior Tchamadeu4%
Bosun Lawal3%
Steven N'Zonzi3%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ben Pearson3%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Ashley Phillips0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Junior Tchamadeu42%
Maksym Talovierov42%
Ben Pearson35%
Favour Fawunmi25%
Bosun Lawal23%
Sydney Agina20%
Sorba Thomas19%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi19%
Lewis Baker17%
Lamine Cissé14%
Ashley Phillips14%
Ben Wilmot14%
Tommy Simkin12%
Divin Mubama11%
Tatsuki Seko9%
Róbert Boženík8%
Million Manhoef8%
Viktor Johansson8%
Ben Gibson7%
Steven N'Zonzi6%
Tomáš Rigo6%
Jun-Ho Bae4%
Aaron Cresswell4%
Sam Gallagher0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Milan Smit0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sorba Thomas21%
Jamie Donley17%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Million Manhoef8%
Lamine Cissé8%
Junior Tchamadeu8%
Milan Smit7%
Jun-Ho Bae7%
Eric Bocat6%
Lewis Baker6%
Viktor Johansson4%
Divin Mubama4%
Tomáš Rigo3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Tatsuki Seko2%
Steven N'Zonzi0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Róbert Boženík0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi0%
Bosun Lawal0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Divin Mubama14%
Lamine Cissé14%
Million Manhoef12%
Jesurun Rak-Sakyi12%
Sorba Thomas11%
Tomáš Rigo9%
Milan Smit7%
Bosun Lawal7%
Lewis Baker6%
Róbert Boženík4%
Ben Wilmot3%
Ashley Phillips2%
Jun-Ho Bae2%
Steven N'Zonzi0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Ben Gibson0%
Sam Gallagher0%
Ben Pearson0%
Gavin Bazunu0%
Maksym Talovierov0%
Tatsuki Seko0%
Viktor Johansson0%
Eric Bocat0%
Jamie Donley0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Tommy Simkin0%
Favour Fawunmi0%
Raphael Otegbayo0%
Sydney Agina0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
Hull's squad is €27m more valuable than Stoke's (€105m vs €79m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
Hull's attack is €13m less valuable than Stoke's (€22m vs €35m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
CHA (3)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
Hull's midfield is €20m more valuable than Stoke's (€31m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
CHA (13)
€10m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
Hull's defence is €20m more valuable than Stoke's (€52m vs €32m).
England: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
Derby
Norwich
Birmingham
Swansea
Bristol City
Sheffield United
Preston
QPR
Watford
Portsmouth
West Brom
Charlton
Leicester
Blackburn
Oxford
Sheffield Weds