This highly anticipated match between Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen in Slovakia's 2. liga is finely balanced, with neither side holding a significant advantage. Lokomotíva Zvolen's recent form has been inconsistent, coming off a defeat to Tatran Prešov, while Humenné is still reeling from two consecutive losses. The model's selection for the match result is a home win, with a probability of 36%.
The expected total goals stands at 2.3, suggesting a low-scoring encounter. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 14.5%. Humenné has been struggling to find the back of the net at home, scoring an average of 1.08 goals, while conceding 0.92. Lokomotíva Zvolen, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.42 goals on average while away to similar opponents.
The model suggests "Under 3.5" as its selection, with a probability of 78.9% and an edge of 7%. The probabilities for the match result are home win 36%, draw 31%, and away win 33%. The home team's home win percentage is 36%, draw percentage is 31%, and away win percentage is 33%.
Results analysis
The win extends Humenné's run, coming off a win against Lokomotíva Zvolen. The 1-0 scoreline confirmed the actual result of a home win, as predicted by the Pythia model. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 36%. The model's call was vindicated, as the home team secured the three points.
The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with a probability of 79%. The most likely total goals was 2, with a probability of 28%. The most likely scores were 1-1, 0-0, and 1-0, with probabilities of 14.5%, 10.9%, and 10.2% respectively.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Humenné win✓ Hit
36.2%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.79
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.90
1xBet
2.84
Pinnacle
2.83
Superbet
2.82
Betano
2.82
Draw✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.17
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen win✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.34
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.50
Dafabet
2.41
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.35
1xBet
2.34
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Humenné
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
1.00
0.93
1.44
1.69
vs Stronger (30)
1.23
1.33
1.00
0.93
1.44
1.69
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.20
1.43
1.36
1.31
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
1.50
1.38
1.60
1.20
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
1.32
1.14
1.33
1.44
1.31
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.28-2.1%
Under 1.5
30.7%
@ 3.19+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.15
Unibet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.7%
@ 1.93-6.4%
Under 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.78+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.81
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.0%
@ 3.21-7.3%
Under 3.5
79.0%
@ 1.27+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Unibet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.0%
@ 1.70-4.7%
No
51.0%
@ 1.98+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
No
Betfair
2.05
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.96
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 5.75+7.3%
0-0
10.9%@ 8.82+6.2%
1-0 ✓
10.2%@ 7.95+5.0%
0-1
9.6%@ 7.15+3.8%
2-1
7.9%@ 9.00+3.3%
1-2
7.5%@ 8.37+2.6%
2-0
6.9%@ 12.17+3.5%
0-2
6.2%@ 10.10+2.2%
Humenné goals ↓
Lokomotíva Zvolen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.6%
6.2%
2.4%
0.7%
1
10%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.9%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.8%
3.2%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Humenné goals (down), columns = Lokomotíva Zvolen goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Humenné is 0.50 points better than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen are level in goals scored per game (both 0.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Humenné is 0.33 goals worse than Lokomotíva Zvolen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Humenné
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.07
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (30)
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.07
0.69
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.57
0.43
0.62
0.44
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.25
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.50
0.67
0.56
0.54
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Humenné
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (30)
0.67
0.77
0.57
0.86
0.75
0.69
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotíva Zvolen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotíva Zvolen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.86
0.93
0.69
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.12
1.20
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.64
0.67
0.89
0.77
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotíva Zvolen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.0%
1.27
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
+7.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Lokomotíva Zvolen have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →