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Humenné vs Považská Bystrica Result & Analysis

Date: 09/09/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Humenné
Humenné
Vs
30%
30%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Humenné win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W20W00D01L01L35L10W25L12L22DH·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07A·ŽIL06/08H·POH12/08A·SLO20/08H·SPA26/08A·ŠAM03/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.431.001.360.941.50
vs Stronger (30)0.971.431.001.360.941.50
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D10W23L10W22D41W11D50W10W43WA·DOL30/04H·TAT06/05A·POH12/05H·KOM19/05H·ŠAM29/07H·MAL05/08A·PÚC12/08H·SLA19/08A·PET27/08H·DOL02/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.432.311.441.501.43
vs Stronger (9)1.331.782.001.671.001.83
vs Similar (20)2.201.352.421.501.881.12
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.0%
No
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.1%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
Humenné goals ↓
Považská Bystrica goals →
01234
09.8%10%7.7%3.4%1.1%
18.3%14%8.6%3.8%1.3%
25.4%7.2%4.8%2.1%0.7%
32.0%2.7%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Humenné goals (down), columns = Považská Bystrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Komárno
2.23
Petržalka
2.13
Tatran Prešov
2.00
Humenné
1.67
Púchov
1.57
Považská Bystrica
1.57
Spartak Myjava
1.47
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.40
Žilina II
1.33
Pohronie
1.30
Šamorín
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.17
Malženice
0.93
Dolný Kubín
0.67
Spišská Nová Ves
0.43
Humenné is 0.10 points better than Považská Bystrica in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Komárno
2.13
Petržalka
2.13
Žilina II
1.90
Púchov
1.80
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.77
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Šamorín
1.63
Považská Bystrica
1.60
Slovan Bratislava II
1.53
Pohronie
1.47
Humenné
1.43
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.20
Slavoj Trebišov
1.13
Dolný Kubín
0.90
Spišská Nová Ves
0.73
Humenné is 0.17 goals worse than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tatran Prešov
0.77
Komárno
0.93
Petržalka
0.97
Humenné
1.07
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Spartak Myjava
1.40
Malženice
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Púchov
1.63
Pohronie
1.67
Slavoj Trebišov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.83
Spišská Nová Ves
1.83
Šamorín
1.87
Žilina II
2.07
Dolný Kubín
2.27
Humenné is 0.20 goals better than Považská Bystrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D00D00D02L10W21W11D01LH·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07A·ŽIL06/08H·POH12/08A·SLO20/08H·SPA26/08A·ŠAM03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.430.500.290.310.56
vs Stronger (30)0.400.430.500.290.310.56
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D01L10W11D01L01L40W00D13LA·DOL30/04H·TAT06/05A·POH12/05H·KOM19/05H·ŠAM29/07H·MAL05/08A·PÚC12/08H·SLA19/08A·PET27/08H·DOL02/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.701.060.880.930.50
vs Stronger (9)0.670.781.001.330.500.50
vs Similar (20)1.150.701.080.831.250.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W00D01L01L33D00D04L01L21WH·DUB29/04A·PÚC06/05H·SLO12/05A·SPA19/05H·KOM29/07A·ŽIL06/08H·POH12/08A·SLO20/08H·SPA26/08A·ŠAM03/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.501.070.620.94
vs Stronger (30)0.571.000.501.070.620.94
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Považská Bystrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W22D00D11D40W10W10W10W30WA·DOL30/04H·TAT06/05A·POH12/05H·KOM19/05H·ŠAM29/07H·MAL05/08A·PÚC12/08H·SLA19/08A·PET27/08H·DOL02/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.731.250.560.570.93
vs Stronger (9)0.671.001.000.330.501.33
vs Similar (20)1.050.651.330.670.620.62
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Považská Bystrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Humenné and Považská Bystrica have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
Humenné and Považská Bystrica have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Považská Bystrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Považská Bystrica have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
HUM wins
0
Draws
1
PB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Humenné vs Považská Bystrica · H/A from HUM
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/22APovažská Bystrica Vs HUM2-0
23/07/22HHUM Vs Považská Bystrica2-1

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23AŠamorín Vs HUM2-2
26/08/23HHUM Vs Spartak Myjava1-2
20/08/23ASlovan Bratislava II Vs HUM5-2
12/08/23HHUM Vs Pohronie1-0
06/08/23AŽilina II Vs HUM5-3
29/07/23HHUM Vs Komárno0-1
19/05/23ASpartak Myjava Vs HUM1-0
12/05/23HHUM Vs Slovan Bratislava II0-0
06/05/23APúchov Vs HUM0-2
29/04/23HHUM Vs Dubnica3-1

Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23HPB Vs Dolný Kubín4-3
27/08/23APetržalka Vs PB0-1
19/08/23HPB Vs Slavoj Trebišov5-0
12/08/23APúchov Vs PB1-1
05/08/23HPB Vs Malženice4-1
29/07/23HPB Vs Šamorín2-2
19/05/23HPB Vs Komárno1-0
12/05/23APohronie Vs PB3-2
06/05/23HPB Vs Tatran Prešov1-0
30/04/23ADolný Kubín Vs PB2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.00
HomeWDLWL1.11
AwayWLLLD0.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%28%17%
AVG goals2.312.332.28
Over 1.5 %64%67%61%
Over 2.5 %42%56%28%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored0.921.000.83
Conceded1.391.331.44
BTTS47%56%39%
Clean Sheet31%22%39%
Corners---
Cards---
Považská Bystrica
Považská Bystrica
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.50
HomeWDWWW2.00
AwayDDLDW0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%58%18%
AVG goals3.443.892.94
Over 1.5 %81%84%76%
Over 2.5 %72%74%71%
Over 3.5 %53%63%41%
Scored1.922.371.41
Conceded1.531.531.53
BTTS69%74%65%
Clean Sheet25%26%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KomárnoKomárno3067
70%
2.2
6428+36
3.1
80%
43%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2PetržalkaPetržalka3064
63%
2.1
6429+35
3.1
80%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov3060
60%
2.0
5023+27
2.4
73%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
4HumennéHumenné3050
47%
1.7
4332+11
2.5
63%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3047
40%
1.6
4838+10
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
6PúchovPúchov3047
47%
1.6
5449+5
3.4
77%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.6
-
7Spartak MyjavaSpartak Myjava3044
40%
1.5
4242+0
2.8
87%
67%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3042
43%
1.4
5348+5
3.4
87%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II3040
40%
1.3
5762-5
4.0
83%
73%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.92.1
-
10PohroniePohronie3039
37%
1.3
4450-6
3.1
87%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.7
-
11ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4956-7
3.5
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3036
33%
1.2
4655-9
3.4
77%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
13Slavoj TrebišovSlavoj Trebišov3035
33%
1.2
3450-16
2.8
80%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
14MalženiceMalženice3028
23%
0.9
3648-12
2.8
80%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.6
-
15Dolný KubínDolný Kubín3020
13%
0.7
2768-41
3.2
87%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.3
-
16Spišská Nová VesSpišská Nová Ves3013
10%
0.4
2255-33
2.6
77%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.8
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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