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Humenné vs Tatran Prešov Result & Analysis

Date: 12/10/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 0-1
Humenné
Humenné
Vs
35%
30%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Humenné win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov win✓ Hit
35.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D12L01L70W12L00D13L11D11D00DH·PÚC03/08A·LOK10/08H·ZLA17/08A·DRU05/09A·PET10/09A·STA14/09A·POV21/09A·SNI25/09H·LIP28/09A·ŽIL06/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.931.420.831.281.00
vs Stronger (30)1.330.931.420.831.281.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W22D11D12L21W31W21W30W20W53WH·LOK02/08A·ZLA09/08H·PET17/08A·STA24/08A·SLO03/09H·POV14/09A·LIP21/09A·SLÁ24/09H·ŽIL28/09A·POH04/10
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.000.802.360.501.691.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.690.771.830.831.570.71
vs Weaker (17)2.240.822.750.251.781.33
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
0-1 ✓
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
Humenné goals ↓
Tatran Prešov goals →
01234
09.4%8.9%6.4%2.6%0.8%
19.0%14%8.0%3.3%1.0%
26.4%8.1%5.0%2.1%0.7%
32.7%3.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Humenné goals (down), columns = Tatran Prešov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Humenné is 1.54 points worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 2.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Humenné is 1.19 goals worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 1.96).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Humenné is 0.77 goals worse than Tatran Prešov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D01L50W01L00D01L11D00D00DH·PÚC03/08A·LOK10/08H·ZLA17/08A·DRU05/09A·PET10/09A·STA14/09A·POV21/09A·SNI25/09H·LIP28/09A·ŽIL06/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.330.330.830.44
vs Stronger (30)0.630.400.330.330.830.44
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L01L12L10W00D21W20W10W23LH·LOK02/08A·ZLA09/08H·PET17/08A·STA24/08A·SLO03/09H·POV14/09A·LIP21/09A·SLÁ24/09H·ŽIL28/09A·POH04/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.790.140.690.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.540.310.670.170.430.43
vs Weaker (17)0.880.590.880.120.891.00
Clean sheet %70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D20W11D00D12L00D11D00DH·PÚC03/08A·LOK10/08H·ZLA17/08A·DRU05/09A·PET10/09A·STA14/09A·POV21/09A·SNI25/09H·LIP28/09A·ŽIL06/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.531.080.500.440.56
vs Stronger (30)0.700.531.080.500.440.56
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatran Prešov) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W10W00D11D31W00D10W10W30WH·LOK02/08A·ZLA09/08H·PET17/08A·STA24/08A·SLO03/09H·POV14/09A·LIP21/09A·SLÁ24/09H·ŽIL28/09A·POH04/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.331.570.361.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.150.461.170.671.140.29
vs Weaker (17)1.350.241.880.120.890.33
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatran Prešov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Tatran Prešov · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Martin Regáli25%
Denys Taraduda17%
Stanislav Olejník14%
Andy Masaryk12%
Michal Sipľak7%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Václav Míka33%
Filip Souček29%
Stanislav Olejník29%
Severin Tatolna29%
Patrik Šimko27%
Martin Regáli25%
Helder Morim25%
Roman Begala24%
Taras Bondarenko20%
Denys Taraduda17%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Michal Sipľak14%
Landing Sagna13%
Jozef Menich11%
Daniels Balodis11%
Dominique Simon8%
Pavol Bajza6%
Andy Masaryk6%
Juraj Kotula6%
Moritz Römling0%
Łukasz Wolsztyński0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Jan Bernát20%
Michal Sipľak14%
Severin Tatolna14%
Ioan-Calin Revenco8%
Stanislav Olejník7%
Roman Begala6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Martin Regáli0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Gabriel Barbosa0%
Václav Míka0%
Dominique Simon0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Landing Sagna0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislav Olejník29%
Łukasz Wolsztyński20%
Gabriel Barbosa17%
Dominique Simon8%
Landing Sagna7%
Martin Regáli6%
Denys Taraduda0%
Pavol Bajza0%
Moritz Römling0%
Michal Sipľak0%
Taras Bondarenko0%
Jurij Medveděv0%
Jan Bernát0%
Roman Begala0%
Jozef Menich0%
Patrik Šimko0%
Filip Souček0%
Juraj Kotula0%
Daniels Balodis0%
Ioan-Calin Revenco0%
Václav Míka0%
Bleron Krasniqi0%
Helder Morim0%
Andy Masaryk0%
Severin Tatolna0%
Peter Juritka0%
Boris Gall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Humenné's squad is €2m less valuable than Tatran Prešov's (€0m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Humenné and Tatran Prešov have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Tatran Prešov have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Tatran Prešov have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
HUM wins
1
Draws
2
TP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Humenné vs Tatran Prešov · H/A from HUM
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/24HHUM Vs Tatran Prešov2-0
04/11/23ATatran Prešov Vs HUM0-0
25/02/23ATatran Prešov Vs HUM2-0
31/07/22HHUM Vs Tatran Prešov0-3

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AŽilina II Vs HUM0-0
28/09/24HHUM Vs Liptovský Mikuláš1-1
25/09/24ASnina Vs HUM1-1
21/09/24APovažská Bystrica Vs HUM3-1
14/09/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs HUM0-0
10/09/24APetržalka Vs HUM2-1
05/09/24ADružstevník Malá Ida Vs HUM0-7
17/08/24HHUM Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1
10/08/24ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs HUM2-1
03/08/24HHUM Vs Púchov2-2

Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/24APohronie Vs TP3-5
28/09/24HTP Vs Žilina II2-0
24/09/24ASlávia TU Košice Vs TP0-3
21/09/24ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs TP1-2
14/09/24HTP Vs Považská Bystrica3-1
03/09/24ASlovan Kendice Vs TP1-2
24/08/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs TP2-1
17/08/24HTP Vs Petržalka1-1
09/08/24AZlaté Moravce Vs TP2-2
02/08/24HTP Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.40
HomeWWDLD1.78
AwayLDLDD1.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%22%
AVG goals2.422.222.59
Over 1.5 %64%61%67%
Over 2.5 %42%35%48%
Over 3.5 %24%22%26%
Scored1.341.391.30
Conceded1.080.831.30
BTTS50%39%59%
Clean Sheet36%39%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Tatran Prešov
Tatran Prešov
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.98
HomeWWDWW2.57
AwayLWWWW1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%78%44%
AVG goals2.562.482.63
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %52%43%59%
Over 3.5 %18%22%15%
Scored1.702.041.41
Conceded0.860.431.22
BTTS42%35%48%
Clean Sheet50%65%37%
Corners7.005.009.00
Cards6.005.007.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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