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Humenné vs Žilina II Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-0
Humenné
Humenné
Vs
44%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Humenné are favoured to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and 27% for Žilina II. The model expects 2.6 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Humenné, playing at home against a stronger side, average 0.93 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Žilina II, on the road against a weaker opponent, average 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. The suggested selections are Over 1.5 with 74.1% and Under 3.5 with 74.1%. The match is set to be a tight affair, with the home side’s recent form showing a win-loss-win-win-win streak after a defeat, while Žilina II also comes off a loss, having lost 1-2 to Šamorín. The outcome will hinge on Humenné’s ability to convert their home advantage into a decisive advantage.

Results analysis

The match saw Humenné extend a modest run, with the final score 2-0 confirming a home win. The model had picked a home win with a 44% probability, and its call proved correct. The suggested selections - Over 1.5 and Under 3.5 - both hit, each backed by a 74.1% probability. Humenné’s recent form, after a defeat, was a bright spot, while Žilina II, also coming off a loss, failed to convert. The predicted most likely total of 2 goals materialised, and the 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 scorelines were the top contenders. Overall, the model’s predictions aligned closely with the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Humenné win✓ Hit
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L05L12L04L11D03L01L10W03LH·SLO02/11H·MAL09/11A·PÚC01/03H·LOK08/03A·ZLA14/03H·PET22/03A·TAT29/03H·STA05/04H·POV12/04A·LIP19/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.400.931.000.941.75
vs Stronger (30)0.931.400.931.000.941.75
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L03L30W12L23L10W32W21W01L14LH·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03A·SLO09/03H·MAL16/03H·PÚC21/03A·LOK29/03H·ZLA06/04H·TAT20/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.901.561.441.292.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.152.541.331.671.003.29
vs Weaker (17)1.651.411.701.301.571.57
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.8%
2-0 ✓
8.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
Humenné goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
01234
08.8%7.2%4.7%1.7%0.5%
19.9%14%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.2%9.1%5.0%1.9%0.5%
34.0%4.4%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.5%1.6%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Humenné goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Tatran Prešov
2.42
Zlaté Moravce
2.00
Považská Bystrica
1.69
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.65
Púchov
1.50
Petržalka
1.42
Malženice
1.31
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.31
Žilina II
1.19
Šamorín
1.15
Pohronie
1.12
Slovan Bratislava II
1.08
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.88
Humenné is 0.31 points worse than Žilina II in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Tatran Prešov
1.96
Púchov
1.62
Považská Bystrica
1.62
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.62
Zlaté Moravce
1.58
Pohronie
1.42
Malženice
1.27
Slovan Bratislava II
1.27
Petržalka
1.23
Žilina II
1.23
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.15
Šamorín
1.12
Stará Ľubovňa
0.92
Humenné
0.77
Humenné is 0.46 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlaté Moravce
0.69
Tatran Prešov
0.73
Petržalka
1.00
Stará Ľubovňa
1.15
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.19
Považská Bystrica
1.35
Púchov
1.38
Humenné
1.50
Žilina II
1.50
Šamorín
1.54
Malženice
1.54
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.58
Slovan Bratislava II
1.65
Pohronie
1.96
Humenné and Žilina II are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D04L11D02L00D01L00D00D02LH·SLO02/11H·MAL09/11A·PÚC01/03H·LOK08/03A·ZLA14/03H·PET22/03A·TAT29/03H·STA05/04H·POV12/04A·LIP19/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.290.360.501.00
vs Stronger (30)0.400.700.290.360.501.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L03L00D10W02L10W30W10W00D03LH·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03A·SLO09/03H·MAL16/03H·PÚC21/03A·LOK29/03H·ZLA06/04H·TAT20/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.070.690.750.571.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.541.620.831.000.292.14
vs Weaker (17)0.710.650.600.600.860.71
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HumennéHumenné

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L01L02L11D02L01L10W01LH·SLO02/11H·MAL09/11A·PÚC01/03H·LOK08/03A·ZLA14/03H·PET22/03A·TAT29/03H·STA05/04H·POV12/04A·LIP19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.640.640.440.75
vs Stronger (30)0.530.700.640.640.440.75
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žilina IIŽilina II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D30W02L21W00D02L11D01L11DH·LIP27/10A·STA02/11H·POH10/11A·ŠAM02/03A·SLO09/03H·MAL16/03H·PÚC21/03A·LOK29/03H·ZLA06/04H·TAT20/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.880.690.711.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.920.500.670.711.14
vs Weaker (17)0.940.761.100.700.710.86
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Humenné) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Humenné over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Humenné over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Humenné and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Humenné and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Humenné and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
HUM wins
1
Draws
3
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Humenné vs Žilina II · H/A from HUM
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24AŽilina II Vs HUM0-0
25/11/23HHUM Vs Žilina II0-1
06/08/23AŽilina II Vs HUM5-3
14/04/23HHUM Vs Žilina II0-2
18/09/22AŽilina II Vs HUM0-1

HumennéHumenné

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs HUM3-0
12/04/25HHUM Vs Považská Bystrica1-0
05/04/25HHUM Vs Stará Ľubovňa0-1
29/03/25ATatran Prešov Vs HUM3-0
22/03/25HHUM Vs Petržalka1-1
14/03/25AZlaté Moravce Vs HUM4-0
08/03/25HHUM Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen1-2
01/03/25APúchov Vs HUM5-0
09/11/24HHUM Vs Malženice0-2
02/11/24HHUM Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-0

Žilina IIŽilina II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25HŽI Vs Tatran Prešov1-4
06/04/25HŽI Vs Zlaté Moravce0-1
29/03/25ALokomotíva Zvolen Vs ŽI1-2
21/03/25HŽI Vs Púchov3-2
16/03/25HŽI Vs Malženice1-0
09/03/25ASlovan Bratislava II Vs ŽI3-2
02/03/25AŠamorín Vs ŽI2-1
10/11/24HŽI Vs Pohronie3-0
02/11/24AStará Ľubovňa Vs ŽI3-0
27/10/24HŽI Vs Liptovský Mikuláš2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Humenné
Humenné
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.36
HomeLLDLW1.67
AwayWLLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%23%
AVG goals2.362.122.58
Over 1.5 %68%62%73%
Over 2.5 %44%29%58%
Over 3.5 %20%12%27%
Scored1.201.291.12
Conceded1.160.831.46
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Žilina II
Žilina II
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.26
HomeWWWLL1.50
AwayWLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals3.523.503.54
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %70%65%75%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.641.921.33
Conceded1.881.582.21
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Tatran PrešovTatran Prešov2663
77%
2.4
5119+32
2.7
69%
58%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.7
-
2Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce2652
62%
2.0
4118+23
2.3
62%
35%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.60.7
-
3Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica2644
50%
1.7
4235+7
3.0
81%
58%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.3
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš2643
46%
1.7
4231+11
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.61.2
-
5PúchovPúchov2639
42%
1.5
4236+6
3.0
85%
65%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.4
-
6PetržalkaPetržalka2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
65%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.0
-
7MalženiceMalženice2634
38%
1.3
3340-7
2.8
81%
54%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen2634
38%
1.3
3041-11
2.7
73%
62%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.6
-
9Žilina IIŽilina II2631
35%
1.2
3239-7
2.7
69%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.5
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín2630
35%
1.2
2940-11
2.7
81%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.5
-
11PohroniePohronie2629
31%
1.1
3751-14
3.4
88%
65%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.42.0
-
12Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II2628
31%
1.1
3343-10
2.9
85%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.7
-
13Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa2624
23%
0.9
2430-6
2.1
62%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
14HumennéHumenné2623
19%
0.9
2039-19
2.3
73%
42%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

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