IA Akranes is expected to come out on top against FH hafnarfjordur, with a 52% chance of a home win, 25% chance of a draw, and 24% chance of an away win. This match is likely to be a closely contested affair with an expected total of 3.1 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 11.4% of the time.
IA Akranes has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 1.62 goals and conceding 1.38 goals against similar opponents. FH hafnarfjordur, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.33 goals and conceding 1.5 goals away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selection for this match is the home win, and the model's selection for over 1.5 goals has an 82.5% chance of occurring. The home side's home win percentage is 52%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 24%. The model's suggested picks include the home win (52%), the away win (24%), and the draw (25%), along with the Over 1.5 goals selection (82.5%).
Results analysis
The unexpected 1-1 draw left the pre-match favourite, Home win, on the wrong side of the outcome. IA Akranes, unbeaten in their last five, had a slight edge with a 52 % probability, but the match finished as a stalemate. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Under 7.5 at 98.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1 %, Under 6.5 at 96.1 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.5 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 90.9 %. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely total of 2 goals, confirming the low-scoring nature predicted.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
IA Akranes win✗ Miss
51.9%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.09
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.16
Betano
2.15
Dafabet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Draw✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied 24.0% · @ 3.79
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Betano
3.90
FH hafnarfjordur win✗ Miss
23.5%
Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.79
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
1xBet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.85
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IA Akranes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.43
1.78
1.11
2.17
1.92
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
1.75
1.25
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.79
1.50
1.79
1.07
1.80
2.10
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
1.00
-
-
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FH hafnarfjordur
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.57
1.67
1.20
1.80
1.93
vs Stronger (12)
1.50
1.83
1.33
1.33
1.67
2.33
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.35
1.89
1.11
2.00
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.5%
@ 1.07-3.3%
Under 1.5
17.5%
@ 6.50+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Under
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.78
1xBet
6.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.30-10.5%
Under 2.5
40.2%
@ 3.08+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
@ 1.78-14.7%
Under 3.5
62.5%
@ 1.94+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Under
SBO
2.06
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
@ 1.30-10.1%
No
39.3%
@ 3.14+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.30
No
Betfair
3.40
1xBet
3.32
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.4%@ 8.77+6.1%
2-1
9.7%@ 9.06+4.6%
2-0
8.0%@ 15.09+5.0%
1-0
7.5%@ 15.23+4.5%
1-2
6.3%@ 10.70+2.0%
3-1
6.1%@ 12.97+2.6%
2-2
5.9%@ 9.73+1.2%
0-0
5.6%@ 25.21+3.7%
IA Akranes goals ↓
FH hafnarfjordur goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
4.5%
3.3%
1.4%
0.4%
1
7.5%
11%
6.3%
2.5%
0.8%
2
8.0%
9.7%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.0%
6.1%
3.7%
1.5%
0.5%
4
2.4%
2.9%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IA Akranes goals (down), columns = FH hafnarfjordur goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
IA Akranes is 0.12 points worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
IA Akranes is 1.25 goals better than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals scored per game (2.38 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
IA Akranes is 1.00 goals worse than FH hafnarfjordur in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IA Akranes or Draw✓ Hit
76.5%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.36
Edge
+8.8%
52%
25%
24%
covers IA Akranes + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
IA Akranes or FH hafnarfjordur✗ Miss
75.4%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-1.5%
52%
25%
24%
covers IA Akranes + FH hafnarfjordur
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Draw or FH hafnarfjordur✓ Hit
48.1%
Avg Implied 55.3% · @ 1.67
Edge
-7.3%
52%
25%
24%
covers Draw + FH hafnarfjordur
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.70
888Sport
1.70
William Hil
1.67
SBO
1.67
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.8%
@ 1.10+0.9%
Under
15.2%
@ 5.71-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
Under
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.10
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
6.00
888Sport
6.00
IA Akranes over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.1%
@ 1.53-3.9%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.30+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
888Sport
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Under
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.39
Betfair
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Betano
2.37
IA Akranes over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.1%
@ 2.65-5.6%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.41+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.77
888Sport
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
IA Akranes over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 4.96-6.3%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.13+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
888Sport
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
1xBet
1.11
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.3%
@ 1.15-9.4%
Under
29.7%
@ 4.52+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Betano
4.75
888Sport
4.33
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.3%
@ 1.80-16.9%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.88+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
888Sport
1.91
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Under
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.96
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
@ 3.43-14.4%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.26+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
888Sport
3.90
Pinnacle
3.59
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.34
Under
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.27
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 7.62-8.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.05+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
6.95
Under
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IA Akranes, so a minus line means IA Akranes give that many goals of a start and FH hafnarfjordur receive them. At -1, IA Akranes must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IA Akranes win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IA Akranes)Actual: FH hafnarfjordur
IA Akranes -2
14.1%
@ 6.25-0.1%
Draw -2
16.1%
@ 5.83+0.9%
FH hafnarfjordur +2
69.8%
@ 1.26-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Bet365
5.50
Draw
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Handicap -1 (IA Akranes)Actual: FH hafnarfjordur
IA Akranes -1
30.2%
@ 3.22+3.2%
Draw -1
21.7%
@ 4.12+0.5%
FH hafnarfjordur +1
48.1%
@ 1.68-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
2.95
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
Unibet
1.61
Handicap +1 (IA Akranes)Actual: IA Akranes
IA Akranes +1
76.5%
@ 1.33+10.3%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 5.20-3.3%
FH hafnarfjordur -1
9.9%
@ 5.22-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
Handicap +2 (IA Akranes)Actual: IA Akranes
IA Akranes +2
90.1%
@ 1.10+9.5%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 8.35-3.9%
FH hafnarfjordur -2
3.1%
@ 10.15-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.09
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IA Akranes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
0.89
0.33
0.58
0.58
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
0.75
0.25
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.79
0.46
0.93
0.36
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FH hafnarfjordur
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.47
0.60
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.56
0.56
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.17-7.4%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 4.44+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
William Hil
4.60
Superbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.0%
@ 1.87-11.7%
Under 1.5
62.0%
@ 1.85+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Unibet
1.90
Under
SBO
1.94
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Superbet
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 3.64-13.4%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.24+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.70
Marathonbet
3.68
William Hil
3.60
Betano
3.60
Under
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.1%
@ 1.57-4.3%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.29+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.20
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.3%
@ 3.67-8.8%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.23+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 9.07-6.3%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
39.7%
@ 1.73-13.8%
Under
60.3%
@ 2.00+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.02
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 4.52-11.4%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.16+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 9.25-8.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.03+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IA Akranes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.00
0.89
0.78
1.58
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.00
1.04
0.86
0.71
1.20
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.50
-
-
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (FH hafnarfjordur) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FH hafnarfjordur
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.80
1.20
0.60
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
1.08
0.92
1.00
0.67
1.17
1.17
vs Similar (17)
1.18
0.71
1.33
0.56
1.00
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.09-5.0%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 6.38+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Under
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Betano
5.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 1.49-14.9%
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 2.42+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.52
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Bet365
2.38
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 2.51-16.4%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.46+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.59
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Under
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.0%
@ 1.37-9.6%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.86+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.80
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.4%
@ 2.73-12.6%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.40+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.89
Superbet
2.72
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 6.15-8.5%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.08+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.9%
@ 1.49-13.4%
Under
51.1%
@ 2.45+13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Superbet
2.42
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 3.29-14.2%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.29+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 7.95-8.0%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
1.05
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.6%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.1%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.11
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.24
Betfair
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+13.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
1xBet
1.11
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.6%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+14.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.29
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+14.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.8%
1.10
Betano
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.09
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.23
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.5%
1.07
Pinnacle
1.11
888Sport
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.9%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
+13.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.6%
1.46
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+16.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
78.6%
1.40
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
-
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.5%
1.36
Betano
1.42
William Hil
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.5%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.4%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-1.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.17
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.9%
1.41
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
70.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-9.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
IA Akranes and FH hafnarfjordur have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Fram Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
Keflavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar