PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2023
Time: 18:00
Final 4-0
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Vs
60%
21%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IA Akranes win✓ Hit
59.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W21W02L22D11D32W12L10W63W43WH·IBV22/10A·FH 29/10H·GRI05/05A·VES13/05H·AFT22/05A·LEI26/05H·FJO01/06A·ÆGI09/06H·THR16/06A·SEL23/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.201.532.271.602.13
vs Stronger (1)2.003.00--2.003.00
vs Similar (24)1.582.331.572.291.602.40
vs Weaker (5)1.401.401.002.001.501.25
Clean sheet %10% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L21W21W01L10W06L31W03L21W22DA·KV10/09H·FYL17/09H·VES06/05A·AFT12/05H·LEI20/05A·FJO26/05H·ÆGI02/06A·THR10/06H·SEL16/06A·NJA24/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.671.600.871.132.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.232.001.301.101.172.75
vs Weaker (8)1.750.752.200.401.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.1%
Under 1.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.4%
Under 2.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.6%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
IA Akranes goals ↓
Thor Akureyri goals →
01234
03.3%2.5%2.2%1.0%0.3%
15.1%8.6%5.2%2.3%0.8%
27.0%9.3%6.1%2.7%0.9%
35.5%7.3%4.8%2.1%0.7%
43.3%4.3%2.9%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IA Akranes goals (down), columns = Thor Akureyri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IA Akranes
2.23
Afturelding
2.00
Fjolnir
1.79
Vestri
1.76
Leiknir R.
1.46
Grindavik
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grotta
1.18
Throttur Reykjavik
1.18
Njardvik
1.05
Selfoss
1.05
Ægir
0.41
IA Akranes is 1.00 points better than Thor Akureyri in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Afturelding
2.60
IA Akranes
2.45
Fjolnir
2.33
Throttur Reykjavik
2.05
Leiknir R.
2.00
Selfoss
1.68
Njardvik
1.64
Vestri
1.56
Grotta
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.23
Grindavik
1.23
Ægir
1.05
IA Akranes is 1.23 goals better than Thor Akureyri in terms of goals scored per game (2.45 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vestri
1.08
Afturelding
1.36
IA Akranes
1.41
Fjolnir
1.42
Grotta
1.68
Grindavik
1.73
Leiknir R.
1.75
Thor Akureyri
1.77
Throttur Reykjavik
2.09
Njardvik
2.14
Selfoss
2.23
Ægir
3.05
IA Akranes is 0.36 goals better than Thor Akureyri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.77).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D02L10W01L11D01L00D12L30WH·IBV22/10A·FH 29/10H·GRI05/05A·VES13/05H·AFT22/05A·LEI26/05H·FJO01/06A·ÆGI09/06H·THR16/06A·SEL23/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.401.200.730.80
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.541.040.361.290.800.70
vs Weaker (5)0.800.601.000.000.750.75
Clean sheet %40% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D00D10W03L10W01L10W11DA·KV10/09H·FYL17/09H·VES06/05A·AFT12/05H·LEI20/05A·FJO26/05H·ÆGI02/06A·THR10/06H·SEL16/06A·NJA24/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.730.400.670.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.500.820.400.600.581.00
vs Weaker (8)1.250.121.400.001.000.33
Clean sheet %60% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W10W00D12L10W21W11D10W51W13LH·IBV22/10A·FH 29/10H·GRI05/05A·VES13/05H·AFT22/05A·LEI26/05H·FJO01/06A·ÆGI09/06H·THR16/06A·SEL23/06← Úrvalsdeild1. Deild →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.201.131.070.871.33
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.041.291.211.000.801.70
vs Weaker (5)0.600.800.002.000.750.50
Clean sheet %27% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W01L00D03L21W02L11D11DA·KV10/09H·FYL17/09H·VES06/05A·AFT12/05H·LEI20/05A·FJO26/05H·ÆGI02/06A·THR10/06H·SEL16/06A·NJA24/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.030.870.470.471.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.731.180.900.500.581.75
vs Weaker (8)0.500.620.800.400.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (19)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
ÆGI (14)
€0m
IA Akranes and Thor Akureyri have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
VES (7)
€0m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
ÆGI (3)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
IA Akranes and Thor Akureyri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VES (6)
€0m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
ÆGI (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
IA Akranes and Thor Akureyri have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IA (10)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
ÆGI (6)
€0m
IA Akranes and Thor Akureyri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
IA wins
0
Draws
0
TA wins

Head-to-head

IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri · H/A from IA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/06/23ASelfoss Vs IA3-4
16/06/23HIA Vs Throttur Reykjavik6-3
09/06/23AÆgir Vs IA0-1
01/06/23HIA Vs Fjolnir1-2
26/05/23ALeiknir R. Vs IA2-3
22/05/23HIA Vs Afturelding1-1
13/05/23AVestri Vs IA2-2
05/05/23HIA Vs Grindavik0-2
29/10/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs IA1-2
22/10/22HIA Vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar3-2

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/23ANjardvik Vs TA2-2
16/06/23HTA Vs Selfoss2-1
10/06/23AThrottur Reykjavik Vs TA3-0
02/06/23HTA Vs Ægir3-1
26/05/23AFjolnir Vs TA6-0
20/05/23HTA Vs Leiknir R.1-0
12/05/23AAfturelding Vs TA1-0
06/05/23HTA Vs Vestri2-1
17/09/22HTA Vs Fylkir2-1
10/09/22AKV Vs TA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.11
HomeWLDLW1.06
AwayWDWWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%29%28%
AVG goals3.773.883.67
Over 1.5 %89%100%78%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %49%35%61%
Scored1.541.591.50
Conceded2.232.292.17
BTTS66%65%67%
Clean Sheet11%6%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.43
HomeWWWWW2.13
AwayLLLLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%67%20%
AVG goals3.032.473.60
Over 1.5 %73%67%80%
Over 2.5 %60%47%73%
Over 3.5 %40%27%53%
Scored1.371.601.13
Conceded1.670.872.47
BTTS50%47%53%
Clean Sheet23%40%7%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2550
60%
2.0
6534+31
4.0
88%
76%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1002.61.4
-
2IA AkranesIA Akranes2249
68%
2.2
5431+23
3.9
86%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.4
-
3VestriVestri2544
48%
1.8
3927+12
2.6
84%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.1
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2443
50%
1.8
5634+22
3.8
79%
67%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2435
46%
1.5
4842+6
3.8
83%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.8
-
6GrindavikGrindavik2228
36%
1.3
2738-11
3.0
82%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
7Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2227
36%
1.2
2739-12
3.0
73%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.8
-
8Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2226
32%
1.2
4546-1
4.1
95%
91%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.1
-
9GrottaGrotta2226
27%
1.2
3437-3
3.2
82%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.7
-
10NjardvikNjardvik2223
27%
1.0
3647-11
3.8
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.1
-
11SelfossSelfoss2223
32%
1.0
3749-12
3.9
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12ÆgirÆgir229
9%
0.4
2367-44
4.1
86%
86%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

← all matches