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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs IA Akranes Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vs
52%
26%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes win✓ Hit
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L21W01L41W11D20W11D11D50WH·STJ14/07A·VES27/07H·KR 02/08A·KA 10/08H·VAL17/08A·FH 24/08H·IA 31/08A·BRE15/09H·AFT21/09A·VES28/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.371.360.861.561.81
vs Stronger (12)1.001.081.140.570.801.80
vs Similar (18)1.781.561.571.141.911.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L22D23L01L02L30W31W40W32WH·KR 14/07A·KA 19/07H·VAL05/08A·FH 11/08H·VIK17/08A·IBV31/08H·BRE11/09H·AFT15/09A·VES20/09H·KR 27/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.801.331.331.932.27
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.631.851.431.361.852.38
vs Weaker (1)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals ↓
IA Akranes goals →
01234
07.1%5.3%3.5%1.3%0.3%
19.2%12%6.1%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.7%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.2%5.6%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.3%2.4%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (down), columns = IA Akranes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.67
Stjarnan
1.56
Breidablik
1.56
KA Akureyri
1.44
Fram Reykjavik
1.33
IA Akranes
1.26
FH hafnarfjordur
1.22
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.22
KR Reykjavik
1.15
Vestri
1.07
Afturelding
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.04 points worse than IA Akranes in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valur Reykjavik
2.26
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.15
KR Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.85
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Breidablik
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.67
Fram Reykjavik
1.52
IA Akranes
1.37
Afturelding
1.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.26
Vestri
0.96
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.11 goals worse than IA Akranes in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.15
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.37
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
Breidablik
1.56
Vestri
1.63
Stjarnan
1.67
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Afturelding
1.70
KA Akureyri
1.81
IA Akranes
1.85
KR Reykjavik
2.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.48 goals better than IA Akranes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.85).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L11D00D20W00D00D10W00D40WH·STJ14/07A·VES27/07H·KR 02/08A·KA 10/08H·VAL17/08A·FH 24/08H·IA 31/08A·BRE15/09H·AFT21/09A·VES28/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.430.430.690.88
vs Stronger (12)0.420.500.290.290.600.80
vs Similar (18)0.670.780.570.570.730.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L21W00D00D20W10W00D10WH·KR 14/07A·KA 19/07H·VAL05/08A·FH 11/08H·VIK17/08A·IBV31/08H·BRE11/09H·AFT15/09A·VES20/09H·KR 27/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.530.530.930.87
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.000.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.740.700.570.570.920.85
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W01L21W11D20W01L11D10WH·STJ14/07A·VES27/07H·KR 02/08A·KA 10/08H·VAL17/08A·FH 24/08H·IA 31/08A·BRE15/09H·AFT21/09A·VES28/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.930.430.690.62
vs Stronger (12)0.580.580.860.290.201.00
vs Similar (18)0.940.501.000.570.910.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (IA Akranes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L20W02L01L02L10W21W40W22DH·KR 14/07A·KA 19/07H·VAL05/08A·FH 11/08H·VIK17/08A·IBV31/08H·BRE11/09H·AFT15/09A·VES20/09H·KR 27/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.100.800.801.001.40
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.891.150.860.790.921.54
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IA Akranes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
VES (19)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and IA Akranes have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
VES (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and IA Akranes have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and IA Akranes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
AFT (7)
€0m
VES (6)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and IA Akranes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
IV wins
1
Draws
2
IA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs IA Akranes · H/A from IV
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25HIV Vs IA Akranes2-0
01/06/25AIA Akranes Vs IV0-3
22/10/22AIA Akranes Vs IV3-2
21/08/22AIA Akranes Vs IV2-1
21/05/22HIV Vs IA Akranes0-0

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AVestri Vs IV0-5
21/09/25HIV Vs Afturelding1-1
15/09/25ABreidablik Vs IV1-1
31/08/25HIV Vs IA Akranes2-0
24/08/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs IV1-1
17/08/25HIV Vs Valur Reykjavik4-1
10/08/25AKA Akureyri Vs IV1-0
02/08/25HIV Vs KR Reykjavik2-1
27/07/25AVestri Vs IV2-0
14/07/25HIV Vs Stjarnan1-0

IA AkranesIA Akranes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HIA Vs KR Reykjavik3-2
20/09/25AVestri Vs IA0-4
15/09/25HIA Vs Afturelding3-1
11/09/25HIA Vs Breidablik3-0
31/08/25AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs IA2-0
17/08/25HIA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-1
11/08/25AFH hafnarfjordur Vs IA3-2
05/08/25HIA Vs Valur Reykjavik2-2
19/07/25AKA Akureyri Vs IA2-0
14/07/25HIA Vs KR Reykjavik1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDW1.54
HomeWWWWD1.91
AwayLLDDW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%57%33%
AVG goals3.122.743.44
Over 1.5 %82%74%89%
Over 2.5 %60%57%63%
Over 3.5 %36%30%41%
Scored1.801.831.78
Conceded1.320.911.67
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet30%39%22%
Corners---
Cards---
IA Akranes
IA Akranes
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.38
HomeDLWWW1.56
AwayWLLLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals3.543.243.84
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %68%68%68%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.701.841.56
Conceded1.841.402.28
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2757
63%
2.1
5831+27
3.3
85%
67%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.11.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2745
48%
1.7
6146+15
4.0
100%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.7
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2742
44%
1.6
5045+5
3.5
93%
74%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.7
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2742
41%
1.6
4642+4
3.3
89%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2739
41%
1.4
4549-4
3.5
81%
59%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.8
-
6Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2736
37%
1.3
4140+1
3.0
85%
52%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.5
-
7IA AkranesIA Akranes2734
41%
1.3
3750-13
3.2
81%
63%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.9
-
8FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2733
30%
1.2
4946+3
3.5
89%
63%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.7
-
9IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2733
33%
1.2
3437-3
2.6
81%
44%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.4
-
10KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2731
30%
1.1
5562-7
4.3
93%
85%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.02.3
-
11VestriVestri2729
30%
1.1
2644-18
2.6
78%
33%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.6
-
12AftureldingAfturelding2727
22%
1.0
3646-10
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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