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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: 10/10/2022
Time: 15:15
Final 2-1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vs
36%
23%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Keflavik win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D04L41W12L31W22D22D03L21WA·LEI24/07H·KEF30/07A·KR 07/08H·FH 14/08A·IA 21/08H·STJ28/08A·VIK04/09H·FRA11/09A·BRE17/09H·FH 05/10
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.521.961.501.501.552.45
vs Stronger (10)1.202.101.201.801.202.40
vs Similar (13)1.771.851.711.291.832.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-813L22D21W00D03L01L20W03L84W32WH·KA 24/07A·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.831.581.672.092.00
vs Stronger (4)1.003.501.003.001.004.00
vs Similar (17)1.941.591.561.562.381.62
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %22% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.6%
No
28.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1 ✓
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
01234
03.4%3.9%4.5%2.8%1.3%
13.7%9.4%8.1%5.1%2.4%
24.0%7.6%7.2%4.5%2.1%
32.4%4.6%4.3%2.7%1.3%
41.1%2.0%1.9%1.2%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Breidablik
2.33
KA Akureyri
1.96
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.78
KR Reykjavik
1.41
Keflavik
1.37
Stjarnan
1.37
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.19
Fram Reykjavik
1.15
FH hafnarfjordur
0.93
IA Akranes
0.93
Leiknir R.
0.78
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.19 points worse than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Breidablik
2.44
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Keflavik
2.07
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fram Reykjavik
1.96
Valur Reykjavik
1.70
Stjarnan
1.63
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.59
KR Reykjavik
1.56
FH hafnarfjordur
1.33
IA Akranes
1.33
Leiknir R.
1.04
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.48 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 2.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
1.11
KR Reykjavik
1.48
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.52
Valur Reykjavik
1.63
FH hafnarfjordur
1.70
Keflavik
1.78
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Stjarnan
1.93
IA Akranes
2.33
Fram Reykjavik
2.33
Leiknir R.
2.44
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.07 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.78).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D02L30W01L21W21W11D00D11DA·LEI24/07H·KEF30/07A·KR 07/08H·FH 14/08A·IA 21/08H·STJ28/08A·VIK04/09H·FRA11/09A·BRE17/09H·FH 05/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.960.920.830.911.09
vs Stronger (10)0.900.800.600.801.200.80
vs Similar (13)0.921.081.140.860.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D10W00D02L00D00D03L43W21WH·KA 24/07A·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.911.001.000.750.821.27
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.502.000.003.50
vs Similar (17)1.060.711.110.561.000.88
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %48% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D02L11D11D10W01L11D03L10WA·LEI24/07H·KEF30/07A·KR 07/08H·FH 14/08A·IA 21/08H·STJ28/08A·VIK04/09H·FRA11/09A·BRE17/09H·FH 05/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.611.000.580.670.641.36
vs Stronger (10)0.301.300.601.000.001.60
vs Similar (13)0.850.770.570.431.171.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %26% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D11D00D01L01L20W00D41W11DH·KA 24/07A·IBV30/07A·LEI08/08H·KR 15/08A·FH 22/08H·IA 28/08A·STJ04/09H·VIK11/09A·FRA17/09H·IA 02/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.910.830.580.921.270.73
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.501.001.000.50
vs Similar (17)0.880.880.441.001.380.75
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
LR (9)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
IV wins
2
Draws
0
KEF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik · H/A from IV
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-2
07/05/22AKeflavik Vs IV3-3

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/22HIV Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-1
17/09/22ABreidablik Vs IV3-0
11/09/22HIV Vs Fram Reykjavik2-2
04/09/22AVikingur Reykjavik Vs IV2-2
28/08/22HIV Vs Stjarnan3-1
21/08/22AIA Akranes Vs IV2-1
14/08/22HIV Vs FH hafnarfjordur4-1
07/08/22AKR Reykjavik Vs IV4-0
30/07/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-2
24/07/22ALeiknir R. Vs IV1-4

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22HKEF Vs IA Akranes3-2
17/09/22AFram Reykjavik Vs KEF4-8
11/09/22HKEF Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-3
04/09/22AStjarnan Vs KEF0-2
28/08/22HKEF Vs IA Akranes0-1
22/08/22AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF3-0
15/08/22HKEF Vs KR Reykjavik0-0
08/08/22ALeiknir R. Vs KEF1-2
30/07/22AIBV Vestmannaeyjar Vs KEF2-2
24/07/22HKEF Vs KA Akureyri1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.00
HomeDWWDW1.42
AwayWLLDL0.55
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%33%9%
AVG goals3.483.004.00
Over 1.5 %87%83%91%
Over 2.5 %78%75%82%
Over 3.5 %48%42%55%
Scored1.521.501.55
Conceded1.961.502.45
BTTS65%67%64%
Clean Sheet9%17%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.35
HomeLDLLW1.25
AwayDWLWW1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %39%33%45%
AVG goals3.653.254.09
Over 1.5 %83%75%91%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %48%50%45%
Scored1.831.582.09
Conceded1.831.672.00
BTTS57%58%55%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BreidablikBreidablik2763
74%
2.3
6627+39
3.4
78%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
2KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2753
59%
2.0
5430+24
3.1
78%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.1
-
3Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2748
48%
1.8
6641+25
4.0
93%
89%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.5
-
4KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2738
33%
1.4
4240+2
3.0
70%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.5
-
5KeflavikKeflavik2737
41%
1.4
5648+8
3.9
85%
78%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.11.8
-
6StjarnanStjarnan2737
37%
1.4
4452-8
3.6
93%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.9
-
7Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2735
37%
1.3
4644+2
3.3
81%
67%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2732
30%
1.2
4350-7
3.4
85%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.61.9
-
9Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2731
26%
1.1
5363-10
4.3
96%
78%
70%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.02.3
-
10FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2725
22%
0.9
3646-10
3.0
81%
67%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.7
-
11IA AkranesIA Akranes2725
22%
0.9
3663-27
3.7
89%
78%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
12Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2721
19%
0.8
2866-38
3.5
78%
70%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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