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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: 16/07/2023
Time: 16:00
Final 1-1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss
45.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Keflavik win✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L01L04L23L12L30W11D03L20W10WA·FRA03/05H·VIK08/05A·STJ13/05H·FH 22/05A·FYL28/05H·HK 01/06A·KR 10/06H·VAL24/06H·KA 28/06H·FRA08/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.801.931.201.472.40
vs Stronger (12)1.332.171.671.331.003.00
vs Similar (18)1.941.562.111.111.782.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L12L02L00D00D14L11D11D02L33DA·VIK04/05A·FH 08/05H·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.771.201.802.001.73
vs Stronger (5)1.202.601.252.251.004.00
vs Similar (23)1.431.651.181.641.671.67
vs Weaker (2)4.501.00--4.501.00
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
01234
06.6%5.8%4.4%1.8%0.6%
17.9%12%7.2%3.0%0.9%
27.4%9.3%5.9%2.5%0.8%
34.1%5.1%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.44
Valur Reykjavik
2.04
Stjarnan
1.70
Breidablik
1.52
KA Akureyri
1.52
FH hafnarfjordur
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.37
Fylkir
1.07
Fram Reykjavik
1.00
HK Kopavogur
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.93
Keflavik
0.59
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.33 points better than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (0.93 vs 0.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.81
Valur Reykjavik
2.44
Stjarnan
2.04
Breidablik
1.93
FH hafnarfjordur
1.81
Fylkir
1.59
KA Akureyri
1.56
HK Kopavogur
1.52
Fram Reykjavik
1.48
KR Reykjavik
1.41
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.15
Keflavik
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.15 goals better than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stjarnan
1.07
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.11
Valur Reykjavik
1.30
KA Akureyri
1.67
KR Reykjavik
1.78
Breidablik
1.81
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.85
Keflavik
2.00
FH hafnarfjordur
2.00
Fylkir
2.04
HK Kopavogur
2.04
Fram Reykjavik
2.07
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.15 goals better than Keflavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D01L11D11D20W00D01L00D10WA·FRA03/05H·VIK08/05A·STJ13/05H·FH 22/05A·FYL28/05H·HK 01/06A·KR 10/06H·VAL24/06H·KA 28/06H·FRA08/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.571.070.470.930.67
vs Stronger (12)0.830.670.670.501.000.83
vs Similar (18)1.110.501.330.440.890.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L00D00D01L00D01L01L22DA·VIK04/05A·FH 08/05H·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.600.670.670.87
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.751.500.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.700.550.360.501.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L03L12L01L10W11D02L20W00DA·FRA03/05H·VIK08/05A·STJ13/05H·FH 22/05A·FYL28/05H·HK 01/06A·KR 10/06H·VAL24/06H·KA 28/06H·FRA08/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.230.870.730.531.73
vs Stronger (12)0.501.501.000.830.002.17
vs Similar (18)0.831.060.780.670.891.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D01L00D00D13L11D10W01L11DA·VIK04/05A·FH 08/05H·HK 14/05A·VAL21/05H·BRE29/05A·FRA02/06H·STJ11/06H·FYL23/06A·KR 28/06H·VIK08/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.000.601.131.330.87
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.500.751.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.910.960.641.271.170.67
vs Weaker (2)2.501.00--2.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
FYL (17)
€1m
HK (19)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
FYL (7)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
FYL (4)
€0m
HK (3)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
FYL (6)
€0m
HK (8)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
IV wins
2
Draws
0
KEF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik · H/A from IV
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23AKeflavik Vs IV1-3
10/10/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-1
30/07/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-2
07/05/22AKeflavik Vs IV3-3

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/23HIV Vs Fram Reykjavik1-0
28/06/23HIV Vs KA Akureyri2-0
24/06/23HIV Vs Valur Reykjavik0-3
10/06/23AKR Reykjavik Vs IV1-1
01/06/23HIV Vs HK Kopavogur3-0
28/05/23AFylkir Vs IV2-1
22/05/23HIV Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-3
13/05/23AStjarnan Vs IV4-0
08/05/23HIV Vs Vikingur Reykjavik0-1
03/05/23AFram Reykjavik Vs IV3-1

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/07/23HKEF Vs Vikingur Reykjavik3-3
28/06/23AKR Reykjavik Vs KEF2-0
23/06/23HKEF Vs Fylkir1-1
11/06/23HKEF Vs Stjarnan1-1
02/06/23AFram Reykjavik Vs KEF4-1
29/05/23HKEF Vs Breidablik0-0
21/05/23AValur Reykjavik Vs KEF0-0
14/05/23HKEF Vs HK Kopavogur0-2
08/05/23AFH hafnarfjordur Vs KEF2-1
04/05/23AVikingur Reykjavik Vs KEF4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.17
HomeLWLWW1.67
AwayWLLLD0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%48%15%
AVG goals3.272.763.80
Over 1.5 %85%76%95%
Over 2.5 %76%67%85%
Over 3.5 %41%29%55%
Scored1.461.481.45
Conceded1.801.292.35
BTTS61%52%70%
Clean Sheet15%29%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 0 Wins / 5 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.12
HomeLDDDD1.05
AwayLLDLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%24%35%
AVG goals3.413.143.70
Over 1.5 %83%81%85%
Over 2.5 %66%62%70%
Over 3.5 %44%48%40%
Scored1.631.481.80
Conceded1.781.671.90
BTTS59%57%60%
Clean Sheet22%19%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik2766
78%
2.4
7630+46
3.9
93%
78%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.81.1
-
2Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik2755
63%
2.0
6635+31
3.7
89%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.3
-
3StjarnanStjarnan2746
52%
1.7
5529+26
3.1
93%
52%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.01.1
-
4BreidablikBreidablik2741
44%
1.5
5249+3
3.7
85%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.8
-
5KA AkureyriKA Akureyri2741
44%
1.5
4245-3
3.2
85%
59%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.7
-
6FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur2740
44%
1.5
4954-5
3.8
93%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.82.0
-
7KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik2737
37%
1.4
3848-10
3.2
85%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.8
-
8FylkirFylkir2729
26%
1.1
4355-12
3.6
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
9HK KopavogurHK Kopavogur2727
22%
1.0
4155-14
3.6
81%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
10Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik2727
26%
1.0
4056-16
3.6
81%
70%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.52.1
-
11IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2725
22%
0.9
3150-19
3.0
85%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.9
-
12KeflavikKeflavik2716
7%
0.6
2754-27
3.0
85%
56%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.02.0
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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