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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik Result & Analysis

Date: 30/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 5-0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vs
47%
26%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar winâś“ Hit
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Keflavik winâś— Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L13L42W11D00D22D22D30W30W13LH·GRI25/04A·DAL04/05H·THR10/05H·THO20/05A·NJA26/05H·FJO01/06A·IR 07/06A·GRO13/06A·AFT20/06A·GRI26/06
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.971.671.421.502.33
vs Stronger (6)0.833.671.002.000.754.50
vs Similar (24)1.751.541.801.301.711.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L31W30W11D22D50W22D00D11D11DA·GRO10/05H·IA 16/05H·AFT21/05A·THO25/05A·GRI31/05H·LEI05/06H·VAL09/06A·DAL15/06H·THR20/06H·NJA26/06
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.772.061.531.232.08
vs Stronger (3)1.002.332.001.000.503.00
vs Similar (24)1.671.831.791.711.502.00
vs Weaker (3)2.670.674.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.8%
Under 2.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
01234
06.3%5.4%4.1%1.7%0.5%
17.8%12%6.9%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.5%5.9%2.5%0.8%
34.3%5.4%3.4%1.4%0.4%
41.8%2.3%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.77
Afturelding
1.72
Keflavik
1.64
IR Reykjavik
1.58
Fjolnir
1.58
Njardvik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.36
Leiknir R.
1.27
Thor Akureyri
1.18
Grindavik
1.18
Grotta
0.73
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
0.59
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.13 points better than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.27
Grindavik
1.82
Keflavik
1.72
Afturelding
1.72
Throttur Reykjavik
1.68
Njardvik
1.55
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.46
Thor Akureyri
1.45
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Grotta
1.41
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
1.05
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.55 goals better than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.27 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Keflavik
1.16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.23
Fjolnir
1.29
Njardvik
1.32
Throttur Reykjavik
1.41
IR Reykjavik
1.42
Afturelding
1.48
Leiknir R.
1.55
Thor Akureyri
1.73
Grindavik
2.09
DalvĂ­k / Reynir
2.23
Grotta
2.27
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.07 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L31W00D00D21W12L20W10W01LH·GRI25/04A·DAL04/05H·THR10/05H·THO20/05A·NJA26/05H·FJO01/06A·IR 07/06A·GRO13/06A·AFT20/06A·GRI26/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.920.250.781.33
vs Stronger (6)0.671.831.000.500.502.50
vs Similar (24)0.880.670.900.200.861.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L21W10W10W21W50W11D00D00D10WA·GRO10/05H·IA 16/05H·AFT21/05A·THO25/05A·GRI31/05H·LEI05/06H·VAL09/06A·DAL15/06H·THR20/06H·NJA26/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.771.180.710.690.85
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.000.000.501.50
vs Similar (24)0.880.750.930.790.800.70
vs Weaker (3)2.000.673.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D11D00D01L10W10W20W12LH·GRI25/04A·DAL04/05H·THR10/05H·THO20/05A·NJA26/05H·FJO01/06A·IR 07/06A·GRO13/06A·AFT20/06A·GRI26/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.070.751.170.721.00
vs Stronger (6)0.171.830.001.500.252.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.880.901.100.860.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KeflavikKeflavik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W01L01L00D11D00D11D01LA·GRO10/05H·IA 16/05H·AFT21/05A·THO25/05A·GRI31/05H·LEI05/06H·VAL09/06A·DAL15/06H·THR20/06H·NJA26/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.000.880.820.541.23
vs Stronger (3)0.331.331.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (24)0.791.080.860.930.701.30
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.6%-------âś“ Hit

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
AFT (17)
€1m
TR (19)
€1m
NJA (21)
€1m
LR (18)
€1m
GRO (17)
€1m
IR (17)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TA (7)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
AFT (5)
€1m
TR (5)
€0m
NJA (7)
€0m
GRO (5)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IR (6)
€0m
LR (4)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
TR (6)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
AFT (5)
€0m
NJA (5)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
LR (5)
€0m
IR (4)
€0m
GRO (3)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IV (6)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
NJA (9)
€0m
LR (9)
€0m
AFT (7)
€0m
TR (8)
€0m
GRO (9)
€0m
IR (7)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Keflavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
IV wins
4
Draws
0
KEF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Keflavik · H/A from IV
DateH/AGameScore
07/10/23HIV Vs Keflavik1-1
16/07/23HIV Vs Keflavik1-1
29/04/23AKeflavik Vs IV1-3
10/10/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-1
30/07/22HIV Vs Keflavik2-2
07/05/22AKeflavik Vs IV3-3

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/06/24AGrindavik Vs IV3-1
20/06/24AAfturelding Vs IV0-3
13/06/24AGrotta Vs IV0-3
07/06/24AIR Reykjavik Vs IV2-2
01/06/24HIV Vs Fjolnir2-2
26/05/24ANjardvik Vs IV0-0
20/05/24HIV Vs Thor Akureyri1-1
10/05/24HIV Vs Throttur Reykjavik4-2
04/05/24ADalvĂ­k / Reynir Vs IV3-1
25/04/24HIV Vs Grindavik1-2

KeflavikKeflavik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/06/24HKEF Vs Njardvik1-1
20/06/24HKEF Vs Throttur Reykjavik1-1
15/06/24ADalvĂ­k / Reynir Vs KEF0-0
09/06/24HKEF Vs Valur Reykjavik2-2
05/06/24HKEF Vs Leiknir R.5-0
31/05/24AGrindavik Vs KEF2-2
25/05/24AThor Akureyri Vs KEF1-1
21/05/24HKEF Vs Afturelding3-0
16/05/24HKEF Vs IA Akranes3-1
10/05/24AGrotta Vs KEF1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.16
HomeWLWDD1.55
AwayDDWWL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%41%21%
AVG goals3.382.953.71
Over 1.5 %88%82%93%
Over 2.5 %76%59%89%
Over 3.5 %46%32%57%
Scored1.501.641.39
Conceded1.881.322.32
BTTS66%64%68%
Clean Sheet16%18%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Keflavik
Keflavik
Iceland: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDD1.08
HomeWWDDD1.30
AwayWLDDD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%30%17%
AVG goals3.343.443.22
Over 1.5 %88%93%83%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %48%52%43%
Scored1.601.851.30
Conceded1.741.591.91
BTTS72%74%70%
Clean Sheet16%19%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AftureldingAfturelding2543
52%
1.7
4337+6
3.2
80%
64%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.71.5
-
2KeflavikKeflavik2541
44%
1.6
4329+14
2.9
72%
60%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.2
-
3IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar2239
50%
1.8
5027+23
3.5
86%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.31.2
-
4FjolnirFjolnir2438
42%
1.6
3531+4
2.8
62%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5IR ReykjavikIR Reykjavik2438
42%
1.6
3434+0
2.8
83%
58%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
6NjardvikNjardvik2233
36%
1.5
3429+5
2.9
68%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
7Throttur ReykjavikThrottur Reykjavik2230
36%
1.4
3731+6
3.1
73%
55%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.4
-
8Leiknir R.Leiknir R.2228
36%
1.3
3334-1
3.0
64%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.5
-
9GrindavikGrindavik2226
27%
1.2
4046-6
3.9
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri2226
27%
1.2
3238-6
3.2
91%
59%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.7
-
11GrottaGrotta2216
18%
0.7
3150-19
3.7
91%
82%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.3
-
12DalvĂ­k / ReynirDalvĂ­k / Reynir2213
9%
0.6
2349-26
3.3
77%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Iceland: 1. Deild 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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