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IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vs
54%
22%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

IBV Vestmannaeyjar are favored to win with a 54% chance, while the draw sits at 22% and Thor Akureyri’s win probability is 24%. The model’s pick is a home victory. The expected total goals is 3.6, with the most likely total being 3 goals at a 21% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.4% chance. IBV’s home form shows they average 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Thor’s away numbers are 1.73 scored and 1.73 conceded. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0%, Under 7.5 at 97.0%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.6%, Under 6.5 at 92.8%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.0%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 89.8%. Each pick carries its own probability, with edges noted where provided.

Results analysis

The upset was clear: Thor Akureyri snatched a 0-1 win after IBV Vestmannaeyjar’s recent run of three straight defeats. The pre-match favourite was Home win, with a 54% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 92.8%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 92.4%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win, leaving the model’s prediction incorrect.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar win✗ Miss
54.3%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.68
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.71
Dafabet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 3.98
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.24
Dafabet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.10
Thor Akureyri win✓ Hit
23.5%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 3.95
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.25
Dafabet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.08
Betano
4.05

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D24L22D25L22D01L12L22D13L01LA·FH 12/02A·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.531.441.501.211.57
vs Stronger (11)1.181.361.431.430.751.25
vs Similar (19)1.421.631.441.561.401.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-651W02L24L16L21W00D10W02L02L24LH·VAL10/03H·FYL17/03H·FH 04/04A·FRA12/07H·VIK18/07A·KA 27/07H·BRE04/08A·IA 09/08H·KEF15/08A·STJ23/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.432.501.071.941.75
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (24)1.751.581.801.301.711.79
vs Weaker (5)4.400.805.000.333.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%08%119%221%319%414%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.1%
@ 1.11+5.5%
Under 1.5
11.9%
@ 5.28-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Under
Betfair
6.50
Pinnacle
5.72
Superbet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.5%
@ 1.40+4.2%
Under 2.5
30.5%
@ 2.62-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Under
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.69
Superbet
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.2%
@ 2.03+2.7%
Under 3.5
51.8%
@ 1.69-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Under
Unibet
1.79
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.8%
@ 1.44+4.0%
No
32.2%
@ 2.53-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
No
Betfair
2.80
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.53
Betano
2.52

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%@ 8.11+3.8%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.85+3.5%
3-1
6.7%@ 10.82+2.6%
2-0
6.6%@ 10.17+2.2%
2-2
6.5%@ 11.16+2.5%
1-2
6.0%@ 12.65+2.4%
1-0
5.2%@ 10.76+1.0%
3-0
4.8%@ 14.17+1.6%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals ↓
Thor Akureyri goals →
01234
03.6%3.0%2.7%1.3%0.4%
15.2%9.3%6.0%2.8%1.0%
26.6%9.3%6.5%3.0%1.1%
34.8%6.7%4.7%2.2%0.8%
42.6%3.7%2.6%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IBV Vestmannaeyjar goals (down), columns = Thor Akureyri goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
KR Reykjavik
2.14
Fram Reykjavik
2.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.71
Stjarnan
1.71
FH hafnarfjordur
1.62
IA Akranes
1.50
Keflavik
1.44
Thor Akureyri
1.25
Breidablik
1.00
KA Akureyri
0.88
Valur Reykjavik
0.71
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0.25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 1.00 points worse than Thor Akureyri in terms of average points per game (0.25 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
3.57
Fram Reykjavik
2.56
Vikingur Reykjavik
2.43
IA Akranes
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
1.86
KA Akureyri
1.75
Stjarnan
1.71
Keflavik
1.67
Breidablik
1.25
FH hafnarfjordur
1.12
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
0.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.12 goals better than Thor Akureyri in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FH hafnarfjordur
0.88
Vikingur Reykjavik
1.43
Keflavik
1.44
KR Reykjavik
1.71
Breidablik
1.75
Fram Reykjavik
1.78
Thor Akureyri
1.88
IA Akranes
1.88
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.12
KA Akureyri
2.38
Valur Reykjavik
2.43
Stjarnan
2.43
IBV Vestmannaeyjar is 0.25 goals worse than Thor Akureyri in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar or Draw✗ Miss
76.5%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-0.0%
54%
22%
23%
covers IBV Vestmannaeyjar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
IBV Vestmannaeyjar or Thor Akureyri✓ Hit
77.8%
Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.18
Edge
-0.3%
54%
22%
23%
covers IBV Vestmannaeyjar + Thor Akureyri
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Draw or Thor Akureyri✓ Hit
45.7%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.03
Edge
+0.3%
54%
22%
23%
covers Draw + Thor Akureyri
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
William Hil
2.05

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.7%
@ 1.09+4.5%
Under
11.3%
@ 5.79-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.55
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.90
BetVictor
3.60
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
64.1%
@ 1.50+2.7%
Under
35.9%
@ 2.38-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.42
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
37.2%
@ 2.48+0.4%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.45-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Betano
2.55
Under
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.7%
@ 4.86-1.3%
Under
82.3%
@ 1.14+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.4%
@ 1.29+4.3%
Under
24.6%
@ 3.17-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.31
Superbet
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.38+2.4%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.49-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Under
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 5.12-1.0%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.11+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Thor Akureyri over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 10.25-3.7%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to IBV Vestmannaeyjar, so a minus line means IBV Vestmannaeyjar give that many goals of a start and Thor Akureyri receive them. At -1, IBV Vestmannaeyjar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IBV Vestmannaeyjar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IBV Vestmannaeyjar)Actual: Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -2
17.2%
@ 4.40-2.4%
Draw -2
16.5%
@ 4.62-2.2%
Thor Akureyri +2
66.2%
@ 1.40+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
3.80
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Unibet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.37
Handicap -1 (IBV Vestmannaeyjar)Actual: Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -1
33.8%
@ 2.54-0.3%
Draw -1
20.6%
@ 3.70-2.8%
Thor Akureyri +1
45.7%
@ 2.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Unibet
2.28
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Unibet
3.30
Away
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.96
Handicap +1 (IBV Vestmannaeyjar)Actual: Draw
IBV Vestmannaeyjar +1
76.5%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 5.95-1.8%
Thor Akureyri -1
10.5%
@ 7.85-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.70
Handicap +2 (IBV Vestmannaeyjar)Actual: IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar +2
89.5%
@ 1.06+1.1%
Draw +2
6.8%
@ 13.00-0.4%
Thor Akureyri -2
3.7%
@ 21.00-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L12L01L00D02L11D01L01LA·FH 12/02A·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.440.750.710.64
vs Stronger (11)0.550.550.570.710.500.25
vs Similar (19)0.580.790.330.780.800.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L12L12L00D00D10W01L01L03LH·VAL10/03H·FYL17/03H·FH 04/04A·FRA12/07H·VIK18/07A·KA 27/07H·BRE04/08A·IA 09/08H·KEF15/08A·STJ23/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.601.430.430.880.75
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (24)0.710.670.800.600.640.71
vs Weaker (5)3.400.404.000.002.501.00
Clean sheet %57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
65.4%
@ 1.22-10.5%
Under 0.5
34.6%
@ 3.83+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.06-14.3%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.69+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
SBO
2.08
Under
Unibet
1.74
Superbet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 4.31-9.7%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.18+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.25
William Hil
4.20
Under
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.6%
@ 1.53-11.3%
Under
50.4%
@ 2.38+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Superbet
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.46
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Betano
2.25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 3.52-13.1%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.25+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.60
Marathonbet
3.55
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 8.65-7.5%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.03+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.9%
@ 2.12-9.0%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.65+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
Under
1xBet
1.68
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.63
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 6.52-6.6%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.08+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.60
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 11.00-7.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L21W13L21W01L10W11D12L00DA·FH 12/02A·FYL11/03H·THR04/04A·KR 12/07H·KA 19/07A·BRE27/07H·FRA01/08A·VIK09/08H·IA 16/08A·KEF23/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.831.000.750.500.93
vs Stronger (11)0.640.820.860.710.251.00
vs Similar (19)0.840.841.110.780.600.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Thor Akureyri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W01L12L04L21W00D00D01L01L21WH·VAL10/03H·FYL17/03H·FH 04/04A·FRA12/07H·VIK18/07A·KA 27/07H·BRE04/08A·IA 09/08H·KEF15/08A·STJ23/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.070.641.061.00
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (24)1.040.921.000.701.071.07
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.000.331.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (IBV Vestmannaeyjar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.12-3.5%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 5.23+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.5%
@ 1.65-11.9%
Under 1.5
55.5%
@ 2.13+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Under
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 2.93-12.2%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.35+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.92
1xBet
2.89
Marathonbet
2.89
Under
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.8%
@ 1.35-9.9%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.96+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Under
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.92
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 2.62-12.4%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.43+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.69
Superbet
2.65
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
IBV Vestmannaeyjar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 5.90-9.3%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.09+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Thor Akureyri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 1.78-9.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.92+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Thor Akureyri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 4.75-8.3%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.14+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.40
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Thor Akureyri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 9.25-8.1%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.03+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.9%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+7.3%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.0%1.03
Betano
1.03
----+8.1%✓ Hit
Under 7.597.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+4.2%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.8%1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.02
---+7.5%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
---+3.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals93.7%1.09
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
---+9.3%✓ Hit
Under 6.592.8%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
--+3.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.4%1.08
Betano
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
--+6.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.5%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+1.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals88.9%1.14
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
--+8.3%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals88.7%1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+4.5%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals88.3%1.18
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+9.7%✓ Hit
Over 1.588.1%1.11
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+5.5%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.9%1.25
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
--+13.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.584.6%1.10
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+0.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals83.2%1.11
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.09
+1.0%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals82.3%1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+1.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals80.7%1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
+12.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.8%1.12
William Hil
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-3.5%✗ Miss
Home or Away77.8%1.18
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-0.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.1%1.43
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
-+12.4%✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.5%1.20
Betano
1.24
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-0.0%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap76.5%1.19
Marathonbet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
---+2.5%✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals75.4%1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
+4.3%✓ Hit
Under 4.570.9%1.28
Unibet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
-0.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (26)
€5m
BRE (19)
€3m
VR (22)
€3m
STJ (22)
€3m
KR (18)
€3m
FR (19)
€2m
KA (22)
€2m
IA (19)
€2m
FH (21)
€2m
IV (18)
€2m
TA (21)
€2m
KEF (18)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (12)
€3m
VR (7)
€1m
KR (9)
€1m
BRE (6)
€1m
STJ (4)
€1m
KA (9)
€1m
TA (7)
€1m
FR (6)
€1m
KEF (6)
€1m
IA (6)
€1m
FH (8)
€0m
IV (6)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
STJ (6)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
VR (5)
€1m
KR (2)
€1m
FR (4)
€1m
KA (5)
€0m
TA (4)
€0m
IA (3)
€0m
FH (2)
€0m
KEF (5)
€0m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VR (10)
€2m
BRE (9)
€1m
STJ (12)
€1m
FR (9)
€1m
IA (10)
€1m
VR (10)
€1m
FH (11)
€1m
KR (7)
€1m
IV (6)
€1m
KA (8)
€1m
KEF (7)
€1m
TA (10)
€1m
IBV Vestmannaeyjar and Thor Akureyri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
IV wins
1
Draws
0
TA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs Thor Akureyri · H/A from IV
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/24AThor Akureyri Vs IV0-3
20/05/24HIV Vs Thor Akureyri1-1

IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AKeflavik Vs IV1-0
16/08/26HIV Vs IA Akranes1-3
09/08/26AVikingur Reykjavik Vs IV2-2
01/08/26HIV Vs Fram Reykjavik1-2
27/07/26ABreidablik Vs IV1-0
19/07/26HIV Vs KA Akureyri2-2
12/07/26AKR Reykjavik Vs IV5-2
04/04/26HIV Vs Throttur Reykjavik2-2
11/03/26AFylkir Vs IV4-2
12/02/26AFH hafnarfjordur Vs IV0-0

Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AStjarnan Vs TA4-2
15/08/26HTA Vs Keflavik0-2
09/08/26AIA Akranes Vs TA2-0
04/08/26HTA Vs Breidablik1-0
27/07/26AKA Akureyri Vs TA0-0
18/07/26HTA Vs Vikingur Reykjavik2-1
12/07/26AFram Reykjavik Vs TA6-1
04/04/26HTA Vs FH hafnarfjordur2-4
17/03/26HTA Vs Fylkir0-2
10/03/26HTA Vs Valur Reykjavik5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.08
HomeWDDLL1.39
AwayLLLDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%39%19%
AVG goals3.183.043.30
Over 1.5 %80%83%78%
Over 2.5 %56%61%52%
Over 3.5 %40%39%41%
Scored1.521.701.37
Conceded1.661.351.93
BTTS56%57%56%
Clean Sheet20%26%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Thor Akureyri
Thor Akureyri
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.78
HomeLLWWL1.96
AwayWLDLL1.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%59%48%
AVG goals3.763.564.00
Over 1.5 %92%93%91%
Over 2.5 %66%56%78%
Over 3.5 %50%44%57%
Scored2.222.412.00
Conceded1.541.152.00
BTTS64%63%65%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Fram ReykjavikFram Reykjavik918
56%
2.0
2316+7
4.3
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.61.8
-
2KR ReykjavikKR Reykjavik715
57%
2.1
2512+13
5.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1113.61.7
-
3KeflavikKeflavik913
44%
1.4
1513+2
3.1
78%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.71.4
-
4FH hafnarfjordurFH hafnarfjordur813
38%
1.6
97+2
2.0
62%
25%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.9
-
5Vikingur ReykjavikVikingur Reykjavik712
43%
1.7
1710+7
3.9
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.41.4
-
6IA AkranesIA Akranes812
38%
1.5
1915+4
4.2
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.9
-
7StjarnanStjarnan712
57%
1.7
1217-5
4.1
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.72.4
-
8Thor AkureyriThor Akureyri810
38%
1.2
715-8
2.8
62%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.9
-
9BreidablikBreidablik88
25%
1.0
1014-4
3.0
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.8
-
10KA AkureyriKA Akureyri87
12%
0.9
1419-5
4.1
75%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.82.4
-
11Valur ReykjavikValur Reykjavik75
14%
0.7
1317-4
4.3
100%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.92.4
-
12IBV VestmannaeyjarIBV Vestmannaeyjar82
0%
0.2
817-9
3.1
62%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.02.1
-
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →

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