IF Brommapojkarna is expected to win this match, with a slight edge in recent form coming off a win against Orgryte IS. The overall shape of the match suggests a closely contested and high-scoring encounter, with 3.0 goals expected on average. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 12.2% of the time.
At home, IF Brommapojkarna has scored an average of 2.4 goals and conceded 2.0 against similar opponents. Meanwhile, Degerfors IF has scored 2.25 goals and conceded 1.25 when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection is the Home win, with a 42% chance of occurring. The probabilities for the other outcomes are 26% for a draw and 32% for an away win. The model's selection for the total number of goals is Over 1.5, with an 81.6% chance of happening, and there is a 7% edge in this selection. The model also suggests Home or Away, with a 73.8% chance of occurring, and a 0% edge.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, with IF Brommapojkarna securing a 2-0 win over Degerfors IF. The home side’s recent form, now on a two-game winning run, underpinned the 2-0 result, while Degerfors returned from a defeat. The pre-match favourite was a home win, assigned a 42% probability, and the model’s call was correct. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Under 6.5 at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 94.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.9%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 91.8%. The final score matched the model’s expectations, confirming the accuracy of its selections.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna win✓ Hit
41.6%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.09
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
888Sport
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.35
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.50
Pinnacle
3.48
BetVictor
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Degerfors IF win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.38
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.53
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.43
1.43
1.50
1.25
1.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.78
0.75
1.75
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (21)
1.57
1.29
1.70
1.40
1.45
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.37
1.00
1.27
1.67
1.47
vs Stronger (16)
0.94
1.50
0.60
1.50
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (14)
1.79
1.21
1.80
0.80
1.78
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
@ 1.26+7.5%
Under 1.5
18.4%
@ 3.59-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.87
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.85+7.4%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 1.91-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.90
Unibet
1.89
Betfair
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
888Sport
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Bet365
1.95
SBO
1.94
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 3.07+5.5%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.34-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.14
888Sport
3.10
Under
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
@ 1.67+6.3%
No
38.3%
@ 2.07-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.70
William Hil
1.70
888Sport
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%@ 6.10+4.8%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.99+3.3%
1-2
7.8%@ 10.93+3.7%
1-0
6.8%@ 7.52+0.8%
2-0 ✓
6.4%@ 9.79+1.8%
2-2
6.3%@ 12.12+2.6%
0-0
6.0%@ 10.01+1.5%
0-1
5.7%@ 10.04+1.2%
IF Brommapojkarna goals ↓
Degerfors IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
5.7%
4.8%
2.2%
0.8%
1
6.8%
12%
7.8%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.4%
9.0%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.4%
4.8%
3.4%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.4%
2.0%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = IF Brommapojkarna goals (down), columns = Degerfors IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.78
AIK Stockholm
1.72
IF Elfsborg
1.63
BK Hacken
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.18
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
IF Brommapojkarna is 0.42 points better than Degerfors IF in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.28
Malmo FF
1.74
BK Hacken
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.41
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
IF Brommapojkarna is 0.53 goals better than Degerfors IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hammarby FF
0.95
Gais
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.06
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
Kalmar FF
1.53
BK Hacken
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.59
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
57%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
IF Brommapojkarna is 1.0 percentage points better than Degerfors IF in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
IF Brommapojkarna
For 4.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 13.3 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Degerfors IF
For 4.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IF Brommapojkarna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.4
3.5
4.0
3.0
24.6
24.9
24.3
vs Stronger (15)
9.9
10.1
9.7
3.7
4.6
2.9
27.4
27.6
27.1
vs Similar (35)
10.9
11.1
10.8
3.4
3.8
3.1
23.3
23.7
23.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
65%
57%
40%
54%
27%
76%
78%
74%
% under line
39%
35%
43%
60%
46%
73%
24%
22%
26%
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.5
3.5
3.2
3.8
25.3
25.7
24.8
vs Stronger (28)
9.5
10.2
8.7
3.6
3.8
3.5
25.1
25.9
24.2
vs Similar (22)
11.9
10.9
12.7
3.4
2.3
4.1
25.5
25.4
25.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
61%
55%
50%
40%
60%
82%
83%
82%
% under line
42%
39%
45%
50%
60%
40%
18%
17%
18%
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.3
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Halmstad
10.0
Hammarby FF
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
IF Elfsborg
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Degerfors IF
25.2
Gais
24.9
Vasteras SK FK
24.8
Hammarby FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.7
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.3%
@ 1.51-1.5%
Under 9.5
40.7%
@ 2.35+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.58
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.30
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.6%
Under 3.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.9%
Under 21.5
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-4.8%
42%
26%
32%
covers IF Brommapojkarna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna or Degerfors IF✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
+1.0%
42%
26%
32%
covers IF Brommapojkarna + Degerfors IF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Draw or Degerfors IF✗ Miss
58.4%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.71
Edge
+3.8%
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Degerfors IF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
SBO
1.74
Betfair
1.73
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.2%
@ 1.20+2.7%
Under
19.8%
@ 4.13-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.48
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
BetVictor
4.10
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.2%
@ 2.01+1.8%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.74-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.07
888Sport
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Superbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.2%
@ 4.27+0.4%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.19-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
888Sport
4.40
Pinnacle
4.36
Unibet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 9.90-1.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.04+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
9.90
Betfair
9.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.5%
@ 1.36+7.4%
Under
24.5%
@ 2.91-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.07
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
888Sport
2.90
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.76+7.3%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.41-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.82
Unibet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 6.94+3.4%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.08-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Degerfors IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 18.00+0.1%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to IF Brommapojkarna, so a minus line means IF Brommapojkarna give that many goals of a start and Degerfors IF receive them. At -1, IF Brommapojkarna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal IF Brommapojkarna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (IF Brommapojkarna)Actual: Draw
IF Brommapojkarna -2
8.9%
@ 8.33-1.9%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 6.03-2.1%
Degerfors IF +2
78.2%
@ 1.22+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
5.75
Unibet
5.60
Away
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Handicap -1 (IF Brommapojkarna)Actual: IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna -1
21.8%
@ 3.83-1.6%
Draw -1
19.8%
@ 3.74-4.1%
Degerfors IF +1
58.4%
@ 1.70+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Unibet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Away
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Bet365
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Handicap +1 (IF Brommapojkarna)Actual: IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna +1
67.8%
@ 1.30-1.4%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.99-0.9%
Degerfors IF -1
15.1%
@ 7.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.50
Away
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Superbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (IF Brommapojkarna)Actual: IF Brommapojkarna
IF Brommapojkarna +2
84.9%
@ 1.08-0.5%
Draw +2
9.6%
@ 10.00+0.4%
Degerfors IF -2
5.5%
@ 17.00+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
IF Brommapojkarna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.43
0.64
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.89
0.25
0.25
0.40
1.40
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.52
0.50
0.80
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.33
0.60
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.69
0.10
0.70
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.57
0.80
0.40
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.8%
@ 1.36+1.3%
Under 0.5
30.2%
@ 2.94-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.15
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.68-0.3%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.42+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.76
Betano
2.70
Unibet
2.70
1xBet
2.69
Under
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.1%
@ 6.65-0.8%
Under 2.5
86.9%
@ 1.08+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.75
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
57.5%
@ 1.85+7.5%
Under
42.5%
@ 1.86-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Unibet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 5.41-0.0%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.12+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Superbet
5.15
Betano
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 14.00-2.4%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 2.28-2.9%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.56+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
10Bet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
Betano
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 7.92-2.4%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.05+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.80
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 19.75-3.6%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
IF Brommapojkarna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.00
0.86
0.88
0.75
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.50
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (21)
1.14
0.76
1.20
0.60
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.67
0.67
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
0.81
0.50
0.80
0.83
0.83
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.64
1.00
0.40
1.22
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (IF Brommapojkarna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.21+2.2%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 3.99-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Under
Betano
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.5%
@ 2.04-0.2%
Under 1.5
54.5%
@ 1.72+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.05
888Sport
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 4.30-2.5%
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.19+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.1%
@ 1.59+3.0%
Under
38.9%
@ 2.21-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.16
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.2%
@ 3.83-1.0%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.22+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
IF Brommapojkarna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 9.75-3.6%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.04+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.4%
@ 1.88+2.1%
Under
48.6%
@ 1.83-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.0%
@ 5.49-0.9%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.11+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.30
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 13.88-3.9%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
888Sport
1.04
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Unibet
1.08
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
888Sport
1.08
10Bet
1.07
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.09
+0.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.6%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.18
888Sport
1.18
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.2%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
+4.0%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
77.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.8%
1.22
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
-
+1.0%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.36
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Betano
1.36
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.8%
1.28
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.2%
1.30
Unibet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.30
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+1.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
IF Brommapojkarna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg19%
Lukas Björklund18%
Andreas Troelsen16%
Sion Oppong14%
Anton Kurochkin12%
Simon Strand12%
Alex Timossi Andersson11%
Obilor Denzel Okeke10%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Kaare Barslund6%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Alex Timossi Andersson33%
Atle Wahlund33%
Jordan Simpson27%
Oliver Berg25%
Wilmer Odefalk25%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali22%
Lukas Björklund18%
Kevin Ackermann17%
Mohamed Wael Derbali14%
Mads Hansen13%
Oliver Zandén11%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Simon Strand6%
Kaare Barslund6%
Leo Cavallius6%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Sion Oppong0%
David Isso0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mads Hansen40%
Oliver Berg31%
Anton Kurochkin25%
Oliver Zandén11%
Rasmus Örqvist10%
Oskar Cotton9%
David Isso9%
Kamilcan Sever8%
Sion Oppong7%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mads Hansen27%
Oliver Berg12%
David Isso9%
Sion Oppong7%
Oliver Zandén5%
Kevin Ackermann0%
Simon Strand0%
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Rasmus Örqvist0%
Obilor Denzel Okeke0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Lukas Björklund0%
Mohamed Wael Derbali0%
Andreas Troelsen0%
Jordan Simpson0%
Kaare Barslund0%
Anton Kurochkin0%
Elton Hedstrom0%
Leo Cavallius0%
Kamilcan Sever0%
Oskar Cotton0%
Atle Wahlund0%
Bidemi Amole0%
Degerfors IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Rafferty20%
Erik Lindell17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nasiru Moro14%
Arman Taranis12%
Dijan Vukojevic11%
Daniel Sundgren8%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Sebastian Ohlsson6%
Samba Diatara5%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Dzabic38%
Alexander Lindgren33%
Daniel Sundgren31%
Karim Boutera25%
Nahom Girmai24%
Yiriyon Gideon20%
Sebastian Ohlsson18%
Kazper Karlsson18%
Erik Lindell17%
Ludvig Fritzson17%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Ahmad Faqa17%
Samba Diatara16%
Nasiru Moro14%
Matvei Igonen11%
Marcus Rafferty10%
Bilal Hussein9%
Olle Leonardsson8%
Arman Taranis6%
Elias Barsoum5%
Dijan Vukojevic0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Sundgren23%
Nahom Girmai18%
Juhani Pikkarainen17%
Nikolai Skuseth14%
Robin Dzabic12%
Matvei Igonen5%
Dijan Vukojevic5%
Elias Barsoum5%
Samba Diatara5%
Nasiru Moro0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Ludvig Fritzson0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Arman Taranis0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Marcus Rafferty0%
Yiriyon Gideon0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Rafferty20%
Dijan Vukojevic16%
Yiriyon Gideon7%
Ludvig Fritzson6%
Nasiru Moro0%
Matvei Igonen0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Erik Lindell0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Daniel Sundgren0%
Bilal Hussein0%
Juhani Pikkarainen0%
Arman Taranis0%
Robin Dzabic0%
Kazper Karlsson0%
Ahmad Faqa0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Nikolai Skuseth0%
Samba Diatara0%
Alexander Lindgren0%
Olle Leonardsson0%
Karim Boutera0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
IF Brommapojkarna's squad is €3m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€9m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
IF Brommapojkarna's attack is €2m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
IF Brommapojkarna and Degerfors IF have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
IF Brommapojkarna's defence is €1m more valuable than Degerfors IF's (€4m vs €3m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
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Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad